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Investors took record contrarian positions as the US dollar rallied

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10 år sedan

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21 december, 2016

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Investors took record contrarian positions as the US dollar rallied Investors cast doubt on US Dollar rally as they place US$99mn in short USD long EUR ETPs.

ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Investors took record contrarian positions as the US dollar rallied

Investors cast doubt on US Dollar rally as they place US$99mn in short USD long EUR ETPs.
2017 will likely continue to benefit cyclical and alternative ETPs such as copper and robotics as tail risks decline in the US.
Headwinds continue for oil and gold ETPs as oil prices remain near 6 month high while gold heads towards its lowest level in 2016.

After a 1% rally in the US Dollar, investors bet against the greenback. US Federal Reserve (Fed) governors surprised the market last week by increasing their expectations of rate hikes next year to three from two previously in their so-called ‘dot plots’. Their first rate increase in a year was well anticipated however. The European Central Bank (ECB), on the other hand, continues to diverge with the Fed, extending its bond-buying program to December 2017 and reducing the amount to buy per month from €80bn to €60bn from April next year. The surprising change in the Fed’s dot plot and policy divergence between the central banks sent the US dollar 1% higher against the Euro and 0.7% higher against the Sterling last week. ETP investors appear to think the move is overdone and placed US$99mn into short USD, long EUR ETPs and sold US$10mn out of long USD, short EUR ETPs.

We expect 2017 to benefit both cyclical and alternative assets. Investors have been piling into industrial metals ETPs, adding US$246mn inflows since February 2016 while robotics and cybersecurity ETPs recorded US$127mn and US$47mn inflows respectively this year. 2017 will likely see a large rotation in investors’ portfolio allocation as US and EU monetary policies diverge further, US treasury yields surge, while a strong US dollar weighs on gold despite the populist threat underpinning demand for the haven asset. We see cyclical assets such as base metals or alternative assets as the next year’s winners (albeit after a short-term correction).

Profit taking from oil ETPs continue as oil remains nears 6-month high. As mentioned in our blog, The mirage of deep oil production cuts, we believe market’s optimism following the OPEC meeting at the end of November is overdone. After rising 5.3% on average earlier this month following the meeting, oil prices jumped above the upper end of our range (US$55/bbl.) in the wake of Saudi Arabia’s announcement earlier last week about potentially cutting production further. While non-OPEC countries have also reduced production, we believe oil prices will pull back as investors acknowledge the gap between the OPEC’s promises and the numbers that will be published in the next oil report. The likelihood for US tight oil to turn on the tap again will add further pressure to oil prices.

Gold close to ending year where it started. Gold ETPs saw US$76.8mn of outflows as its price slipped further. With the Fed unwilling to let inflation rise further, the yellow metal tumbled 2.7% last week and is likely to see further downward pressure next year as the Fed implements a more aggressive rate policy which lead to US dollar appreciation. While political uncertainty remains elevated in Europe with the Brexit and the upcoming elections in the Netherlands, France and Germany, we believe the USD will continue to be a heavier driver of the gold price.

Video Presentation

Edith Southammakosane, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

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This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).

This communication is only targeted at qualified or professional investors.

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Fastställd utdelning i MONTDIV juni 2026

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6 timmar sedan

den

25 juni, 2026

Redaktionen

I veckan fastställdes utdelningen i MONTDIV juni 2026.Utdelningen i Montrose Global Monthly Dividend MSCI World UCITS ETF (MONTDIV ETF) fastställdes till till 0,48745 kronor per andel. Den är därmed högre än utdelningen för maj 2026 som uppgick till 0,47087 SEK per andel.

Utdelningen i MONTDIV juni 2026 beräknas betalas ut den 9 juli 2026.

Handla MONTDIV ETF

Montrose Global Monthly Dividend MSCI World UCITS ETF (MONTDIV ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på Nasdaq Stockholm.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

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0EMU ETF investerar i large caps från Eurozonen

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7 timmar sedan

den

25 juni, 2026

Redaktionen

Ossiam MSCI EMU UCITS ETF 1C (0EMU ETF) med ISIN LU3078637314, har som mål att replikera, före fondens avgifter och kostnader, resultatet för MSCI EMU-indexets stängningsnivå. MSCI EMU-indexet (”Indexet”) är ett totalavkastningsindex (återinvesterade nettoutdelningar) uttryckt i EUR, beräknat och publicerat av MSCI (”Indexleverantören”). För en detaljerad beskrivning av indexet, se avsnittet ”Beskrivning av indexet”. Den förväntade nivån för spårningsfel under normala förhållanden är 0,50 % över en ettårsperiod.

Den börshandlade fondens totala kostnadskvot (TER) uppgår till 0,12 % per år. Ossiam MSCI EMU UCITS ETF 1C replikerar utvecklingen av det underliggande indexet genom syntetisk replikering. Utdelningarna i ETFen återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 7 augusti 2025 och har sitt säte i Luxemburg.

Handla 0EMU ETF

Ossiam MSCI EMU UCITS ETF 1C (0EMU ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

Börs	Valuta	Kortnamn
Xetra	EUR	0EMU

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Mid-year reality check: webinar and new State of crypto report

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8 timmar sedan

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25 juni, 2026

Redaktionen

We’re halfway through 2026 – and it’s time to take stock.

In December, we published ten predictions for the crypto market this year. Six months in, we’re revisiting each of them in our State of crypto 2026: mid-year update – a clear-eyed look at where each thesis still stands, what’s landed ahead of schedule, and what still has time to play out. Join us for a live discussion on Wednesday 1 July at 4:00 PM CET, which will also provide an update on the broader market environment.

New report available now

Our overarching prediction was that 2026 would be the year crypto made the shift from narrative to fundamentals. The picture is more nuanced than we anticipated.

Two predictions are landing ahead of schedule: Prediction markets have recorded $57.5 billion in traded volume through May – more than half our $100 billion full-year target, and over ten times the same period last year. With the World Cup underway and US midterms in November, the second half has plenty of fuel.

• Our call that most Layer 2s would not survive 2026 has landed – and was endorsed in February by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, who declared the rollup-centric roadmap ”no longer makes sense.”

The rest – tokenized commodities, pre-IPO markets, stablecoin adoption – are delayed, not derailed. There’s a lot to unpack. Download the full report for our complete analysis.

Download the report

Ask your questions on the webinar

On Wednesday 1 July at 4:00 PM CET, join our Head of Macro Stephen Coltman, Chief Investment Strategist Adrian Fritz, and Global Head of Research Eliézer Ndinga for a live discussion of the report – covering their key takeaways, current market conditions, and our outlook for the second half of 2026.

When: Wednesday 1 July, 4PM CET
Program: Mid-year market update followed by live Q&A.
Where: via Zoom webinar – register below!

Register for the webinar

Best regards,

The 21shares team

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The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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