Fallna änglar är sådana obligationer vars kreditvärdighet har sänkts från investment grade (BBB- eller högre) till hög avkastning (BB + och lägre). Även om denna trend kan verka oroande för de investerare som jagar en hög direktavkastning är det nödvändigtvis inte en dålig sak. Fallna änglar har ofta en högre kvalitet än den genomsnittliga företagsobligationen med samma kreditbetyg, ger en högre avkastning och har större chanser att öka sitt kreditbetyg till investment grade. Det betyder att Därför en tillströmning av dessa företag skulle kunna öka den långsiktiga avkastningspotentialen för sektorn av högavkastande obligationer.
Fallna änglar ger högre direktavkastning
På den europeiska obligationsmarknaden har fallna änglar historiskt sett gett en högre avkastning än högavkastande företagsobligationer. Skillnaden är signifikant, skillnaden i avkastning har legat på mer än tre (3) procent årligen under de senaste tio åren. Under de senaste 14 åren har de fallna änglarna överträffat högavkastande företagsobligationer under 10 av dessa år.
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Det finns anledningar till att fallna änglar har lyckats bättre än de högavkastande obligationerna, nedan har vi listan några av dessa anledningar.
Lägre sannolikhet för en nedgradering
Efter att ha nedgraderats till icke-investment grade tenderar kreditbetyget för en fallen ängel att vara stabilt. Per den 31 december 2015 hade 88 procent av de europeiska fallna änglarna ett kreditbetyg i kategorin BB, medan endast 4 procent hade ett kreditbetyg på CCC+ eller lägre.
Högre sannolikhet för uppgradering
Precis som fallna änglar ser färre nedgraderingar än högavkastande obligationer tenderar de också att ha en högre sannolikhet att uppgraderas i framtiden, ofta på grund av ledningen inleder betydande åtgärder för att förändra kapitalstrukturen och skuldsättningen.
Priserna tenderar att falla innan en nedgradering
När ett företags framtida utsikter försämras, säljs deras obligationer av till lägre kurser i väntan på framtida nedgraderingar. Det betyder att när en fallen ängel kommer med i ett index för högavkastande obligationer så har nedgraderingen redan skett och priserna redan rasat.
Priserna stiger ofta efter en nedgradering
Eftersom priserna på dessa obligationer faller tenderar de också att börja stiga därefter. Detta beror delvis på tekniska faktorer – många högavkastande investerare börjar köpa obligationer för att minska deras tracking error till index – men också på grund av fundamenta. Fallna änglar tenderar att vara större än genomsnittsföretaget som gett ut en högavkastande obligation och har fler alternativ för att bevara eller förbättra sina betyg, allt från avyttring av tillgångar eller aktieemissioner kontra mindre företagen.
Baserat på studier från bland annat Merrill Lynch kan vi anta att vi kommer att få se en större volym på den europeiska obligationsmarknaden, i första hand bland de så kallade fallna änglarna, redan under 2016. Det är inte omöjligt att de fallna änglarna kan komma att öka denna delmarknads volym med mellan tio och tolv procent. Detta innebär att de fallna änglarna kommer attraktiva investeringsmöjligheter eftersom den europiska marknaden för nedgraderade emittenter är mer diversifierad över flera sektorer än vad den är i USA där det i första hand är råvarubolag som har nedgraderats.
Betänk emellertid att bara för att de fallna änglarna historiskt sett har gett en högre avkastning betyder det inte att det alltid kommer att vara så. Under 2010 och 2011 utvecklades de fallna änglarna sämre än efterställda banklån och perifera euroobligationer.
Wave after wave of transformative technologies have marked the past 100 years — each moving from invention to mass adoption, reshaping society and generating significant economic value along the way. Now, in the 21st century, we may be approaching the next major technological breakthrough: the advent of the quantum computing era.
From the rise of television in the mid-20th century to the smartphone revolution of the early 2000s and, most recently, the breakthrough of generative artificial intelligence, new technologies have defined generations. Take the internet, for example: in the late 1960s, a group of U.S. government researchers began linking computers, inventing a new way to share information. Over the following decades, scientists built upon that foundation. Then, in the 1990s, the World Wide Web emerged — opening the internet to the public and creating the digital backbone for email, ecommerce and social media.
Much like the internet in the 1980s, quantum computing’s evolution is accelerating — it looks closer to a ‘tipping point’ that could release its immense potential. While the technology’s theoretical foundations were established in the late 20th century, only in recent years has this set a wave of innovation in motion. As the wave gathers pace, it has the potential to disrupt industries like finance, medicine and cybersecurity. Even so, it’s important to acknowledge that — despite early use cases — commercial success is not yet assured, and broad adoption may still face challenges.
The Rise of Quantum Computing
Source: VanEck Research.
Building Momentum: Quantum Investment and Innovation
The growing commitment from governments and leading tech companies signals that quantum computing may be approaching a tipping point. According to McKinsey & Company, public investments now exceed $42 billion, underscoring national interest in this transformative technology.1 At the same time, the private sector is rapidly advancing, with over 10,000 quantum-related patents granted in the past five years.2
Global Public Quantum Technology Investments
Source: McKinsey & Company (2024). Quantum Technology Monitor.
Economic opportunities are already being explored in various industries. For instance, in finance, quantum computing could be used for optimizing investment portfolios, risk analysis and fraud detection, while also posing a long-term challenge to existing encryption standards. In healthcare, it has promise for drug discovery, molecule simulation and medical data analysis. A notable example is IBM’s collaboration with the U.S. Cleveland Clinic, where the first quantum computer dedicated to healthcare was installed in 2023. Among other applications, it is used to enhance machine learning models for prescribing antibiotics, drawing on a dataset of 4.7 million cases in a 2025 publish case study.3
More recently, D-Wave Quantum Inc, a Californian quantum computing company, made headlines by claiming quantum supremacy on a “useful, real-world problem” through a quantum-optimized simulation of magnetic materials. The achievement—peer-reviewed and published in the journal Science—has sparked widespread discussion across the scientific and tech communities. It could mark a significant step forward in applying quantum computing to materials science.4
The Current State of Quantum Computing
Putting things into perspective, quantum computing is shifting from theoretical research into early-stage commercial exploration — marked by rapid progress, but also significant technical challenges.
As part of this transition, several companies are now offering quantum computers—either through physical purchase and delivery, or via remote access through cloud platforms. Pricing ranges from free public access to enterprise-level subscription models.5 In the past six months, major players have announced notable hardware milestones: Google introduced its Willow chip, Microsoft unveiled its Majorana processor, and Amazon announced Ocelot, which uses cat qubits to improve error correction.
While these developments are promising, they primarily reflect advancements in hardware rather than immediate commercial utility. Most current systems still operate within the so-called NISQ (Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum) era — capable of impressive demonstrations but limited by error rates and a lack of scalability. They remain largely experimental and not yet viable for broad, real-world applications.
As a result, much of the current enthusiasm is rooted in long-term potential rather than proven performance. The gap between laboratory breakthroughs and widespread deployment remains wide — and closing it will require sustained innovation and focused execution. Leading firms have acknowledged these challenges and laid out clear roadmaps to address them. Most recently, IBM updated its quantum roadmap, aiming to deliver a fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029.6
From Potential to Progress
Quantum computing may be approaching a tipping point, with the potential to drive significant innovation. Being an emerging technology, its progress is likely to be uneven, and widespread adoption is far from guaranteed.
Investors who recognize its long-term potential may find it worthwhile to watch the development closely. The next breakthrough could be nearer than we think — and for those who are prepared, it may offer a chance to engage with one of the most promising frontiers in modern technology.
2 EconSight AG, data as of March 31st 2025, for 2020-2024.
3 Cleveland Clinic, Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Predict Which Antibiotic To Prescribe for UTIs, 2025.
4 D-Wave, Beyond Classical: D-Wave First to Demonstrate Quantum Supremacy on Useful, Real-World Problem, 2025.
5 Examples: https://www.rigetti.com/novera, https://www.ibm.com/quantum/pricing. Accessed May 2025.
6 Example: https://www.ibm.com/roadmaps/quantum/.
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WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry (CRRY ETC) med ISIN XS3022291473, syftar till att följa BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet. BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet ger exponering mot en hävstångspremie (även känd som råvarubäringsfaktorn) från skillnaden i bäringskostnader mellan långa och korta positioner i terminskontrakt för samma uppsättning underliggande råvaror.
Den börshandlade produktens TER (total expense ratio) uppgår till 0,40 % per år. WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är den enda ETCen som följer BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet. ETCen replikerar det underliggande indexets resultat syntetiskt med en swap.
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är en liten ETC med 48 miljoner euro i förvaltat kapital. Denna ETC lanserades den 24 april 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland.
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är en fullt säkerställd, UCITS-godkänd börshandlad råvara (ETC) utformad för att ge investerare en totalavkastningsexponering mot en korg av råvaruterminskontrakt. ETCen ger en totalavkastning bestående av den dagliga utvecklingen av BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index (BNPIF73P), plus ränteintäkterna justerade för att återspegla avgifter och kostnader i samband med produkten.
Till exempel, om BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index stiger med 1 % under en dag, kommer ETCen att stiga med 1 % exklusive avgifter. Men om BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index faller med 1 % under en dag, kommer ETC:n att falla med 1 % exklusive avgifter.
BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index ger en exponering mot skillnaden i utvecklingen av två underliggande råvaruindex som syftar till att generera positiv avkastning som är oberoende av råvarumarknadsmiljön. Dess syfte är därför inte att direkt följa rörelser på råvarumarknaderna. BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index använder även hävstång, vilket innebär att dess värde kan stiga eller falla mer än skillnaden i prestanda mellan de två råvaruindex som den har exponering mot.
Varför investera?
Få exponering mot en hävstångspremie (även känd som råvarubäringsfaktor) från skillnaden i bäringskostnader mellan långa och korta positioner i terminskontrakt för samma uppsättning underliggande råvaror.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETC genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.
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Research Newsletter
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