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Gold ETPs See Largest Inflows In Two Years As Ukraine Risks Fail To Dissipate
Gold ETPs See Largest Inflows In Two Years As Ukraine Risks Fail To Dissipate. Last week marked the fifth consecutive week of net inflows into long gold ETPs, with monthly flows the highest in two years as European investors’ watch Russia’s continued meddling in the Ukraine with trepidation. Meanwhile flows into long oil ETPs reached their highest in eight weeks as falling oil prices and continued high political risk in the Middle East attracted investors. Although at the end of last week Russian President Putin offered dovish rhetoric to seek a peaceful resolution in Ukraine and Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki agreed to step down in a move that could de-escalate the growing tensions between Shiites and minority Sunnis, significant risks remain. Many see Putin’s offering of an olive branch as disingenuous, while the EU’s debate on arming Kurds highlights that the conflict in Iraq is unlikely to be resolved any time soon.
ETF Securities physical gold ETPs saw US$75.5mn of inflows last week, bringing the trailing 4 week total to US$282.6mn, the highest since August 2012. Continuing the trend of the past five weeks, haven demand for gold has surged despite the price only gaining 0.6% in the past month. Investors appear to believe that a number of tail risks are becoming increasing less remote and are seeking hedges. The conflicts in Ukraine, Iraq, Syria and Libya combined with the returning debt problems in Argentina and lacklustre growth in Europe appear to be causing investors to re-assess (or at least hedge) their risky asset allocations.
Long oil ETP inflows rise to US$41.7mn, the highest in eight weeks as lower prices continue to attract investors. While long Brent ETPs have seen 10 consecutive weeks of inflows, long WTI ETPs are now starting to receive interest with US$11.9mn flowing in last week to add to the US$2.1mn the week before. The WTI benchmark slipped 5% over the past month, despite numerous conflicts in oil exporting countries still raging. Investors have been buying into the recent price dip as supply could tighten quickly if these conflicts remain unresolved for too long. Flows into Brent ETPs rose to US$29.8mn, as many perceive this benchmark to react more strongly to non-US geopolitical events.
Inflows into ETFS Daily Leveraged Silver (LSIL) reach 12 week high
Investors bought US$5.0mn of leveraged exposure to silver as the price dipped 1% last week and 6% over the month. With the price of gold and silver having moved in opposite directions in recent weeks, tactical investors have been buying silver in hope of rebound. The medium term price fundamentals look strong. The Silver Institute suggests that silver demand is expected to grow at around 5% per annum between 2014 and 2016, higher than the rate of global growth. Accordingly, we feel that silver’s structural industrial prospects are bright, especially from the electronics and electrical sector.
Weak loan and money supply growth in China set a bearish tone for industrial metals last week
With demand for industrial metals highly sensitive to growth in China, the disappointing loan data from China spooked a number of investors and they withdrew US$5.9mn from ETFS Zinc (ZINC). However, we believe that mine closures and rising demand will drive the next leg of a bull market in zinc to US$2510/tonne from US$2265/tonne currently.
Key events to watch this week
With the Federal Reserve getting closer to finishing its bond-buying programme, investors will be focused on the minutes from its recent meeting to gauge just how quickly the central bank intends to tighten thereafter.
Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.
Important Information
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
The global gaming industry has evolved into one of the world’s most dynamic entertainment sectors, expected to generate $188.9 billion in 2024 and surpass $200 billion by 2027, outpacing film and music combined.
From arcades to smartphones, the gaming industry has continuously evolved with each technological shift. Today, mobile gaming is a major player the market, currently accounting for the largest share of global revenues. As digital platforms, cloud gaming, and eSports continue to grow, gaming is establishing itself as a core part of the global entertainment economy.
Mobile gaming is leading this transformation, currently accounting for the majority of industry revenues and 40% of all global app downloads. With 5G adoption and 90% smartphone penetration expected by 2030, billions of new players will join the market, making gaming more accessible than ever.
However, the rollout of 5G also carries risks, uneven global infrastructure buildout, high capital costs for carriers, and potential fragmentation across networks could delay or limit the full realization of these benefits.
Source: Vantage Market Research, 2023; Pelham Smithers, 2020
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IMPORTANT INFORMATION
This is marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KID/KIID before making any final investment decisions. These documents are available in English and the KIDs/KIIDs in local languages and can be obtained free of charge at www.vaneck.com, from VanEck Asset Management B.V. (the “Management Company”) or, where applicable, from the relevant appointed facility agent for your country.
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