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Commodity prices bottoming out

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Commodity ETP Weekly - Commodity prices bottoming out Surge in oil prices triggered first ETPs outflows since December 2015.

Commodity ETP Weekly – Commodity prices bottoming out


•  Silver inflows begin to track gold inflows.
•  Surge in oil prices triggered first ETPs outflows since December 2015.
•  Price recovery across the metal complex should eventually translate into flows.

Major commodity prices are showing signs of recovery. Both oil benchmarks along with most metals have been posting positive returns for at least the third consecutive week.

Commodity ETPs are witnessing another bipolarised week of flows dominated by net inflows into precious metals and net outflows out of energy commodities.
Central bank meetings in Europe and the US this month will be highly followed as the outcome from both is likely to set the band in which commodities will trade for the rest of the year.

Silver inflows begin to track gold inflows. Last week investors continued to pile into gold ETPs for the 9th consecutive week, recording inflows of US$79.2mn. The price of gold rose 1.2% over the past week, crossing US$1,280/oz. on Friday as US market opened. Buoyant US non-farm payroll for February combined with an upward revision of December and January payroll data failed to weigh on gold prices as one would expect. Strong labour market data signals the US economy is recovering and is likely to increase the odds for another rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on March 16. While expectations of rate hikes usually weigh on gold price, heightened uncertainty in cyclical markets has seen demand for gold and its price rise as investors look for safety in a haven asset. While silver has failed to follow gold prices higher, inflows last week were more comparable, with US$72.8mn of inflows into silver.

Surge in oil prices triggered first ETPs outflows since December 2015. Last week saw Brent and WTI surging 5% and 4.5% respectively. Both benchmarks were trading around their two-month highs for most of the week. Surging oil prices seems to indicate that the reduction of oil production in the US combined with keys OPEC members’ decision to freeze production at January levels could be sufficient to reduce the oversupply on the global oil market. Despite larger-than-expected stockpile, US oil production declined for the 6th consecutive week the level last seen in November 2014, lending support to oil prices.

Price recovery across the metal complex should eventually translate into flows. All metals including gold have reached multi-year lows (although at different times) within the past 6 months and they have all recovered since, posting an average return of 17% from their respective lows. Nickel saw the most impressive rally, up 19% over the past 3 weeks. With the exception of palladium, futures net long positions over the past month rose by 62% on average. Gold saw the largest increase in net long positions, up 160%, the result of rising long positions and falling short positions. It looks like the excessive pessimism toward metals is fading away with industrial metals basket ETPs recording positive flows for the third consecutive week.

Key events to watch this week. All eyes will be on Mario Draghi and the ECB meeting this Thursday as the central bank previously indicated that further action will be taken to support the Eurozone economy if necessary. Poor economic data in the euro area combined with recent European bank rout has increased investor expectations that the ECB will decide to ease policy further. A disappointing Q4 GDP data reading for the Eurozone due two days before the meeting will only add pressure on the ECB to deliver. Trade balance data for key countries will provide an update on global demand for commodities.

Video Presentation

Edith Southammakosane, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

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April in ETFs: Gold at New Highs, Crypto in Transition, and Moat Index Holding Steady

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As April winds down, markets remain on edge, with escalating tariffs and renewed trade tensions keeping volatility in focus. In this summary of our full-length newsletter, we spotlight gold and gold equities, both of which have surged to record levels. We also take a step back from the day-to-day noise in crypto to explore the broader shifts in the regulatory landscape in our latest Whitepaper and present Celestia in detail. Finally, we assess how Moat indexes have held up and evolved amid the turbulence.

As April winds down, markets remain on edge, with escalating tariffs and renewed trade tensions keeping volatility in focus. In this summary of our full-length newsletter, we spotlight gold and gold equities, both of which have surged to record levels. We also take a step back from the day-to-day noise in crypto to explore the broader shifts in the regulatory landscape in our latest Whitepaper and present Celestia in detail. Finally, we assess how Moat indexes have held up and evolved amid the turbulence.

Your VanEck Europe team wishes you a great read.


Featured Articles

🥇 Are Gold Mining Equities Regaining Attention Amid Rising Gold Prices?

Gold & Gold mining equities tend to shine during stress periods

Source: VanEck, World Gold Council.

Gold has attracted renewed interest from investors amid concerns about inflation, currency volatility, and overall market uncertainty. Gold mining companies have recently reported improved profit margins and cash generation, with some initiating share buybacks and maintaining relatively strong balance sheets. Despite these developments, many continue to trade below their historical valuation averages.

While historical trends indicate that gold and gold mining equities have outperformed during certain periods of market stress, these patterns may not repeat under different economic conditions. Performance can be influenced by a range of factors including interest rates, central bank policy, geopolitical developments, and investor sentiment.

→ Read more

⚖️ Whitepaper Highlights: How New Crypto Regulations May Shape the Future

Cryptocurrencies are entering a new era. With the re-election of Donald Trump and the implementation of the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, digital assets are moving into a landscape defined not just by innovation, but also by regulatory clarity.

MiCA’s structured and transparent approach aims to promote legitimacy, safeguard investors, and enhance trust in digital asset markets across Europe. It could also serve as a blueprint for other jurisdictions looking to regulate crypto effectively.

→ Read the Whitepaper Highlights

⛓️ Introduction to Celestia

Most blockchains, like Ethereum or Bitcoin, are monolithic which means they perform all major functions (consensus, data availability, and execution) on a single layer. This design ensures security but according to new modular networks, limits scalability and flexibility.

The modular blockchain thesis, which Celestia is leading, proposes separation of layers and respective responsibilities in the network.

→ Read more

Note: This article in not accessible to our UK readers.

🌊 Riding the Gold Wave

Chasing the Vein: Fund Flows into Gold Miners

Source: Mining.com. Data as of 21 March 2025. Note: Data covers 493 funds with combined assets under management of $62 billion.

U.S. equity markets experienced significant declines during the month of March. Meanwhile, spot gold price recorded new all-time highs, surpassing the $3,000 per ounce mark on 14 March and closing at a record price of $3123.57 on March 31, a 9.30% ($265.73) monthly gain. As of 31 March, gold prices have risen by 93.61% over the past five years (1). Investors should keep in mind that past performance is not representative of future results.

The gold miners, as represented by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDMNTR), outperformed significantly, up 15.51% during March (2). This gain reflects both their operational leverage to rising gold prices and market perceptions of relative value. However, gold miners can also be subject to heightened volatility, operational risks, and sensitivity to commodity price swings.

While gold and gold equities may serve as diversifiers in a portfolio due to their historically low correlations with many asset classes, investors should remain mindful of the inherent risks, including price volatility, currency movements, and shifts in investor sentiment that can lead to rapid reversals in performance.

→ Read more

🌪️ Moat Stocks Weather Tariff Tumble

Market turbulence in March weighed on stocks. The Moat Index was not immune to the market turmoil, as it declined along with the broad U.S. equity market ending the month lower. However, the Moat Index showed resilience relative to the S&P 500—thanks in part to defensive sector resilience and underweight exposure to mega-caps.

At the same time, the SMID Moat Index lagged small and mid-caps in March. Smaller U.S. stocks were also impacted by global trade tensions and economic growth concerns with the broad small- and mid-cap benchmarks falling during the month. However, year-to-date, the SMID Moat Index remains ahead of the broader small- and mid-cap markets.

→ Read more


This is a preview of our monthly ETF insights email newsletter.

To receive the full version, sign up here.


(1) Source: World Gold Council, ICE Data Services, FactSet Research Systems Inc.

(2) Source: Financial Times.

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BBVAE ETF är en spansk ETF som spårar Eurostoxx 50

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BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado (BBVAE ETF) med ISIN ES0105321030, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.

BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado (BBVAE ETF) med ISIN ES0105321030, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,20 % p.a. ETFen replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (halvårsvis).

BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado har tillgångar på 133 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 3 oktober 2006 och har sin hemvist i Spanien.

Beskrivning BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado

Med BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado deltar investerare i ökningen av värdet på aktierna i de 50 största konglomeraten i euroområdet (euroområdet). Euro Stoxx 50-indexet inkluderar aktier från 8 länder i euroområdet: Belgien, Finland, Frankrike, Tyskland, Irland, Italien, Nederländerna och Spanien.

Handla BBVAE ETF

BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado (BBVAE ETF) är en börshandlad fond (ETF) som handlas på Bolsa de Madrid.

Bolsa de Madrid är en marknad som få svenska banker och nätmäklare erbjuder access till, men DEGIRO gör det.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Bolsa de MadridEURBBVAE

Största innehav

VärdepapperVikt %
ASML Holding NVNL00102732158,59%
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SEFR00001210145,60%
SAP SEDE00071646005,16%
TotalEnergies SEFR00001202714,59%
Siemens AGDE00072361013,70%
Schneider Electric SEFR00001219723,46%
Future on Euro Stoxx 503,02%
Sanofi SAFR00001205782,99%
L’Oreal SAFR00001203212,98%
Allianz SEDE00084040052,93%

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The Art of Meme-ing: How Dogecoin Redefined Value

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Explore Dogecoin's impact on crypto, turning internet memes into cultural and financial assets.

Explore Dogecoin’s impact on crypto, turning internet memes into cultural and financial assets.

𝕋𝕚𝕞𝕖 ℂ𝕠𝕕𝕖𝕤:

00:00 – Intro

00:27 – Where do Memes come from?

03:13 – What are some of the first Memes you remember?

10:28 – Do these things have value?

14:04 – The different types of cryptocurrencies

17:20 – How did Dogecoin start?

24:26 – What is some of the utility?

28:36 – How does it fit into the portfolio?

30:38 – Final thoughts

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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