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Brexit – Is the end of March still likely?

Publicerad

9 år sedan

den

12 mars, 2017

Redaktionen

Weekly Investment Insights – Brexit – Is the end of March still likely?

Highlights

May’s second defeat in the Lords has added to uncertainty surrounding the triggering of Article 50, pressuring the GBP.
In all likelihood the “Brexit Bill” should gain approval during the next week setting the stage for an official announcement.
The risk comes from a rebellion in the Commons that could see government credibility damaged or even a snap election

May suffers second defeat

Theresa May’s EU Notification of Withdrawal Bill (the Bill) suffered its second setback in as many weeks on Tuesday, as the House of Lords voted for the inclusion of a yet another amendment to the landmark legislation. While the first centred on guaranteeing the rights of approximately 3 million EU citizens working in the UK, the second change would allow Parliament to have a direct say on the final terms of a future Brexit deal. In the meantime, the GBP has fallen to seven week lows against both the US Dollar and the Euro (see Figure 1) as investors continue to express concern over the imminent (in theory) trigger of Article 50. The question now is what the timeline will be of May actually triggering Article 50 given recent events and whether a March-end deadline is still realistic.

Figure 1: Uncertainty pushes GBP lower

(click to enlarge)

Next step and risks

At the start of next week (March 13th) the House of Commons is expected to vote on the amendments put forward. The most likely outcome is that with the government’s 17 member working majority the amendments will be overturned, sending the Bill back to the House of Lords. The House of Lords can vote for additional amendments (different from before) and begin a process known as “ping pong” with the lower house. Political pundits feel this is unlikely though as the Lords do not want to be viewed as frustrating the referendum result and in turn the will of the British public. Therefore, in the earliest case we could see May trigger the Article as early as next week.

However there are risks involved. Pro-EU backbenchers in the Conservative Party could coordinate to prevent amendments being implemented, prolonging the process further and creating greater uncertainty. This could see the Sterling move lower as it is clear that the market needs clarity over future proceedings. In the aftermath of the second vote in the Lord’s, the government took the swift steps of removing the former Conservative deputy prime minister Lord Heseltine from his post as government advisor, sending a signal that rebellion will not be tolerated.

Potential Dates

In any case, should the Lord’s approve the Bill in the early part of next week May will have to act tactfully in determining a trigger date. On the 15th March is the Dutch general election where controversial populist Geert Wilders is leading in the polls and then immediately after (17th-18th) is the Scottish National Party (SNP’s) spring conference where the increasingly disillusioned political party could announce a second independence referendum. The key date to avoid is the EU Summit to be held on March 27th, which commemorates the 1957 signing of the Treaty of Rome. Should May overshadow this event with the UK’s formal notification of departure, could spark a hostile reaction, something that will likely be reflected in an uptick in the EUR/GBP currency pair.

Investors wishing to express the investment views outlined above may consider using the following ETF Securities ETPs:

Currency ETPs

GBP Base

ETFS Long EUR Short GBP (GBUR)
ETFS Short EUR Long GBP (URGB)
ETFS Long USD Short GBP (GBUS)
ETFS Short USD Long GBP (USGB)

USD Base

ETFS Long GBP Short USD (LGBP)
ETFS Short GBP Long USD (SGBP)

ETFS 3x Long GBP Short EUR (EGB3)
ETFS 3x Short GBP Long EUR (GBE3)
ETFS 3x Long GBP Short USD (LGB3)
ETFS 3x Short GBP Long USD (SGB3)
ETFS 3x Long USD Short GBP (USP3)
ETFS 3x Short USD Long GBP (PUS3)
ETFS 3x Long EUR Short GBP (EUP3)
ETFS 3x Short EUR Long GBP (SUP3)

ETFS 5x Long GBP Short EUR (EGB5)
ETFS 5x Short GBP Long EUR (GBE5)

Basket

ETFS Bullish GBP vs G10 Currency Basket Securities (LGBB)
ETFS Bearish GBP vs G10 Currency Basket Securities (SGBB)

Important Information

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).

This communication is only targeted at qualified or professional investors.

Liknande ämnen:Brexit ETF Securities

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JGBL ETF är en aktivt förvaltad portfölj av aktier i globala företag

Publicerad

19 timmar sedan

den

1 maj, 2026

Redaktionen

Janus Henderson Global Research-Engineered Equity Active Core UCITS ETF USD Acc (JGBL ETF) med ISIN IE000Y3FZEN4, strävar efter att överträffa indexreferensvärdet på lång sikt genom att investera i en aktivt förvaltad portfölj av aktier och/eller depåbevis utfärdade av globala företag.

Den nuvarande tillgångsstorleken är 8 miljoner USD. Den börshandlade fonden är aktivt förvaltad.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total expense ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % per år. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets resultat fysiskt. Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 21 oktober 2025 och har sitt säte på Irland.

Investeringsprocess

Fonden kommer att investera minst 80 % av sina tillgångar i aktier eller depåbevis utfärdade av globala företag på utvecklade marknader. Den kan också investera upp till 15 % av sina tillgångar i aktier och/eller depåbevis från företag på tillväxtmarknader.

Fonden kan investera i företag av alla storlekar inom alla branscher. Den kommer vanligtvis att ha 125–275 innehav (och förväntas inte ha färre än 125 innehav).

Fonden kan också inneha kontanter. Den kan använda derivat i syfte att säkra/riskreducera.

Fonden kan tillfälligt investera utanför dessa riktlinjer vid hantering av teckningar, inlösen, för likviditetshantering eller i defensiva syften, inklusive att navigera i ovanliga marknadsförhållanden.

Investeringsmål

ETFen kombinerar expertinsikter från Janus Hendersons analysteam med benchmarkmedveten portföljkonstruktion. Våra mycket erfarna analytiker utför djupgående fundamental forskning och samarbetar i stor utsträckning inom sina sektorteam för att generera investeringsinsikter. Dessa insikter matas in i en portföljoptimeringsprocess som är utformad för att betona aktieurval och minimera oavsiktlig risk. Processen innefattar även robusta ESG-exkluderingar och en allokering på minst 15 % till hållbara investeringar (SFDR artikel 8). Resultatet är en diversifierad och i stort sett sektorneutral portfölj, med ett mål för spårningsfel på 1,25–1,75 % i förhållande till MSCI World Index.

Handla JGBL ETF

Janus Henderson Global Research-Engineered Equity Active Core UCITS ETF USD Acc (JGBL ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond (ETF) som handlas på Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

Börs	Valuta	Kortnamn
London Stock Exchange	USD	JGBL
Xetra	EUR	JGBL

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Bitcoin for beginners: 4 things to know before investing

Publicerad

20 timmar sedan

den

1 maj, 2026

Redaktionen

What is Bitcoin and should you invest? In this video, Dan from 21shares breaks down the 4 things every investor needs to know about Bitcoin – including what it is, why people buy it, how it fits in a portfolio, and how to get exposure.

Whether you’re new to Bitcoin or exploring it for the first time as part of your investment strategy, this beginner-friendly guide covers everything in plain English.

0:00 Introduction

0:32 What is Bitcoin?

2:22 Why invest in Bitcoin?

2:45 Bitcoin scarcity: only 21 million

3:41 Bitcoin vs government Control

4:17 Who is buying Bitcoin?

6:00 How does Bitcoin fit in a portfolio?

7:03 How to invest in Bitcoin

7:18 Bitcoin ETF vs self custody

9:30 Risks of investing in Bitcoin

9:49 Bitcoin summary

Learn more at https://21shares.com

Connect with us today

If you have any questions or want to discuss a product in detail, please visit our website at www.21shares.com

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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ESAQ ETF spårar MSCI USA Index

Publicerad

21 timmar sedan

den

1 maj, 2026

Redaktionen

BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD Acc (ESAQ ETF) med ISIN IE000CPT8DH7, syftar till att följa MSCI USA-indexet. MSCI USA-indexet följer de ledande aktierna på den amerikanska marknaden.

Den börshandlade fondens totala kostnadskvot (TER) uppgår till 0,04 % per år. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets utveckling genom fullständig replikering (genom att köpa alla indexkomponenter). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD Acc är en mycket liten ETF med 15 miljoner euro i förvaltningstillgångar. Denna ETF lanserades den 14 januari 2026 och har sitt säte i Irland.

Handla ESAQ ETF

BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD Acc (ESAQ ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.