Yesterday, Governor Kuroda presented his “comprehensive assessment” of the BoJ’s monetary easing, a highly anticipated review that resulted in a market sell-off of long-dated Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) in July as investors feared a reduction in monetary accommodation. In his speech, Kuroda stated that the BoJ will continue to provide monetary easing while suggesting he will refrain from cutting interest rates further. BoJ unlikely to cut rates further.
In his speech, Governor Kuroda insisted on the unlimited capacity of the monetary easing and signaled that the Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE) will remain in place until the BoJ achieves its inflation mandate of 2%. He also observed that inflation is likely to remain close to zero in the near term and mentioned several external factors that have been acting as headwinds to the BoJ’s policy, in particular the negative impact of the announcement of the tax hike in April 2014. The increasing emphasis on structural reforms has been the leitmotiv of Kuroda’s recent speeches. We believe the Japanese government could play an increasing role, through fiscal and tax reforms, in elevating the potential of the economy and in turn lifting inflation expectations.
While investors were focusing on the risks to the size and the duration of the asset purchases, instead Kuroda emphasised the costs of negative interest rates for banks and pensions’ profitability. He added that concerns over the future of the financial intermediaries could weigh on people’s confidence and negatively affect the economy. Overall, Kuroda stressed that monetary policy “should be conducted in a flexible manner” and that the BoJ has a “broad range of options”.
At its next meeting on September 21st, we believe the BoJ could increase the size and enlarge the universe of its asset purchases in order to boost consumer’s confidence while leaving its policy rate unchanged. In the meantime, we expect the JGBs yield curve to remain steep. Long-dated Japanese yields were slightly up on the day, suggesting market participants are still expecting a policy change to steepen the yield curve and alleviate the adverse impacts of negative rates on banks’ profitability.
Morgane Delledonne, Fixed Income Strategist at ETF Securities
Morgane Delledonne joined ETF Securities as Fixed Income Strategist in 2016. Morgane has an extensive experience in Monetary policy, Fixed Income Markets and Macroeconomics gained at the French Treasury’s Office in Washington DC and most recently in her role as Macroeconomist and Strategist at Pictet&Cie in Geneva. Morgane holds a Bachelor of Applied Mathematics from the University of Nice Sophia Antipolis (France), a Master of Economics and Finance Engineering and a Master of Economic Diagnosis from the University of Paris Dauphine (France).
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Research Newsletter
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Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITSETF C-EUR (LYOR ETF) med ISIN LU1190417599, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond. Denna ETF strävar efter att uppnå kortsiktig avkastning med låg volatilitet genom att investera i en portfölj av finansiella instrument och återköpsavtal.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,10 % p.a. Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITSETF C-EUR är den billigaste och största ETF som följer Lyxor Smart Overnight Return-index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet syntetiskt med en swap.
Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITSETF C-EUR är en mycket stor ETF med tillgångar på 1 565 miljoner GBP under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 2 mars 2015 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.
Investeringsmål
Lyxor Smart Overnight Return – UCITSETF C-EUR är en UCITS-kompatibel börshandlad fond som syftar till att uppnå kortsiktig avkastning högre än Euro Short-Term Rate (€STR) med extremt låg volatilitet. Fonden är aktivt förvaltad och investerar i en diversifierad portfölj av finansiella instrument och återköpsavtal, i en miljö med strikt risk- och likviditetsövervakning. €STR återspeglar grossistkostnaderna för euro utan säkerhet över natten för banker i euroområdet. €STR beräknas och publiceras av ECB.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRO, Nordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.
WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Leveraged ETPoch WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily ShortETP erbjuder en trippelhävstångsinvestering i ”Magnificent 7” amerikanska blue-chip-aktier. De syftar till att tredubbla den dagliga utvecklingen för WisdomTree U.S. Bluechip Select Index. Båda ETNerna är fullt säkerställda skuldebrev.
WisdomTree PHLX Semiconductor 3x Daily Leveraged ETPoch WisdomTree PHLX Semiconductor 3x Daily ShortETP ger en trippel daglig hävstångsexponering, lång respektive kort, mot de 30 största börsnoterade företagen i USA som huvudsakligen är involverade i design, distribution, tillverkning och försäljning av halvledare. Båda ETNerna är fullt säkerställda skuldebrev.
Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 484 ETFer, 202 ETCer och 265 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 25 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.