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The Fed rate hike looms large for commodities

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Commodity ETP Weekly - The Fed rate hike looms large for commodities Precious metal basket inflows hit 8-month high as FOMC meeting looms.

Commodity ETP Weekly – The Fed rate hike looms large for commodities

  • Precious metal basket inflows hit 8-month high as FOMC meeting looms.
  • Divergent oil flows favour Brent as pressure remains on crude prices after OPEC monthly report continues to show an oversupplied market.
  • Flows into copper ETPs continue as further supply cuts reinforce a tighter market in 2016. 

Inflows into Brent ETPs broadly offset outflows from WTI ETPs, although the outlook remains polarised. OPEC’s latest annual report continued to highlight the global supply glut, with output in November climbing 1% to 31.7mbpd. The market reacted negatively to the news with Brent crude oil closing below US$40/bbl for the first time since December 2008. WTI crude also reached a near 7-year low of US$35.80. Brent crude ETPs received inflows totalling US$18.7mn last week, broadly offsetting the US$22.1mn in outflows from WTI crude ETPs. Nonetheless, the headline total of outflows in WTI ETPs belies what we believe to be a significantly polarised market, with US$11.7mn of inflows into ETFS Daily Leveraged WTI crude oil (LOIL).

Energy sector ETPs received inflows for the fifth consecutive week, totalling US$205mn over the period.
Third consecutive weekly inflow into precious metal basket ETPs. Inflows into precious metals basket ETPs totalled US$14mn, the highest level since April 2015. While silver has yet to decouple from gold and is likely to range trade, platinum group metals (PGM) are being hampered by a weaker South African Rand. With South African production dominating global PGM supply, a weaker Rand is enabling miners to keep production elevated as it raises profitability. Political uncertainty is rising and the weaker Rand is likely to be a weight on PGM prices for the foreseeable future.

Gold ETPs break three week losing streak, registering modest inflows of US$1.2mn. Gold has been range trading ahead of the FOMC meeting this week, where an interest rate hike is expected. Near-term weakness could transition into medium term strength as inflation pressures build globally, and put downward pressure on real interest rates. Additionally, while the near certain rate hike could boost the USD and buffet the gold price (and commodities more broadly), we expect that the peak for the USD strength will occur in Q1 2015, turning a headwind into a tailwind.

ETFs Copper (COPA) receives third consecutive weekly inflows, totalling US$2mn. Following reports that Chinese smelters agreed to cut production, last week Freeport-McMoRan announced it is cutting 45,000 tonnes of copper, equivalent to around 0.3% of the global market. With the copper market in its fifth year of deficit, ongoing production cuts in the sector will continue to produce a tighter fundamental environment and we feel that it is only a matter of time before prices begin to respond.

Key events to watch this week.  The divergence in central bank policy is likely to be highlighted, with the FOMC looming large this week, with meetings also for the Riksbank, Norges Bank and the Bank of Japan. We expect a rate hike is a near certainty and that the market should begin to focus on the path of future tightening. We feel that the market is underpricing the magnitude that the Fed will need to raise rates in 2016 in order to counteract inflationary forces.

Video Presentation

Martin Arnold, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

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Is Mobile Powering the Future of Gaming?

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The global gaming industry has evolved into one of the world’s most dynamic entertainment sectors, expected to generate $188.9 billion in 2024 and surpass $200 billion by 2027, outpacing film and music combined.

The global gaming industry has evolved into one of the world’s most dynamic entertainment sectors, expected to generate $188.9 billion in 2024 and surpass $200 billion by 2027, outpacing film and music combined.

From arcades to smartphones, the gaming industry has continuously evolved with each technological shift. Today, mobile gaming is a major player the market, currently accounting for the largest share of global revenues. As digital platforms, cloud gaming, and eSports continue to grow, gaming is establishing itself as a core part of the global entertainment economy.

Mobile gaming is leading this transformation, currently accounting for the majority of industry revenues and 40% of all global app downloads. With 5G adoption and 90% smartphone penetration expected by 2030, billions of new players will join the market, making gaming more accessible than ever.

However, the rollout of 5G also carries risks, uneven global infrastructure buildout, high capital costs for carriers, and potential fragmentation across networks could delay or limit the full realization of these benefits.

Source: Vantage Market Research, 2023; Pelham Smithers, 2020

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IMPORTANT INFORMATION

This is marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KID/KIID before making any final investment decisions. These documents are available in English and the KIDs/KIIDs in local languages and can be obtained free of charge at www.vaneck.com, from VanEck Asset Management B.V. (the “Management Company”) or, where applicable, from the relevant appointed facility agent for your country.

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Fyra nya börshandlade fonder från JP Morgan

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JPM Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF förvaltas aktivt och investerar i en portfölj av aktier från Nasdaq 100 med en overlay-strategi. Denna strategi implementeras genom köp- och säljoptioner, med positioner som innehas under en period av tre månader. ETFen finns i både ackumulerande och utdelande andelsklasser.

JPM Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF förvaltas aktivt och investerar i en portfölj av aktier från Nasdaq 100 med en overlay-strategi. Denna strategi implementeras genom köp- och säljoptioner, med positioner som innehas under en period av tre månader. ETFen finns i både ackumulerande och utdelande andelsklasser.

JPM US Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF förvaltas aktivt och investerar i en portfölj av aktier från S&P 500 med en overlay-strategi. Denna strategi implementeras genom köp- och säljoptioner, med positioner som innehas under en period av tre månader. ETFen finns i både ackumulerande och utdelande andelsklasser.

nxtAssets ripple direct ETP ger enkel tillgång till utvecklingen av kryptovalutan Ripple (XRP). ETPen är fysiskt säkerställd av de underliggande kryptovalutorna. Handel är möjlig antingen i euro eller amerikanska dollar.

WisdomTree Physical Stellar Lumens ger enkel tillgång till utvecklingen av kryptovalutan Stellar. ETPen är fysiskt säkerställd av de underliggande kryptovalutorna.

NamnISIN
Kortnamn
AvgiftUtdelnings-
policy
JPM Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF – USD (acc)IE000JIPY1U8
HEQQ (EUR)
0,50%Ackumulerande
JPM Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF – USD (dist)IE0006UQKVQ0
HEQD (EUR)
0,50%Utdelande
JPM US Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF – USD (acc)IE000VAZZYM3
HEOL (EUR)
0,50%Ackumulerande
JPM US Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay Active UCITS ETF – USD (dist)IE000K4JG8P9
HEDL (EUR)
0,50%Utdelande
nxtAssets ripple direct ETPDE000NXTA034
NXTX (EUR)
NTXY (USD)
1,00% 
WisdomTree Physical Stellar LumensGB00BN7K9C82
WXLM (EUR)
0,50% 

Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 595 ETFer, 203 ETCer och 282 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 25 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.

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AIFS ETF en satsning på infrastruktur för artificiell intelligens

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iShares AI Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (AIFS ETF) med ISIN IE000X59ZHE2, försöker spåra STOXX Global AI Infrastructure-index. STOXX Global AI Infrastructure-index spårar prestanda för företag över hela världen som är engagerade inom området AI-infrastruktur. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

iShares AI Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (AIFS ETF) med ISIN IE000X59ZHE2, försöker spåra STOXX Global AI Infrastructure-index. STOXX Global AI Infrastructure-index spårar prestanda för företag över hela världen som är engagerade inom området AI-infrastruktur. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,35 % p.a. iShares AI Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD (Acc) är den enda ETF som följer STOXX Global AI Infrastructure-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 5 december 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

Fonden strävar efter att uppnå avkastning på din investering, genom en kombination av kapitaltillväxt och inkomst på fondens tillgångar, vilket återspeglar avkastningen från STOXX Global AI Infrastructure Index, fondens jämförelseindex (”Index”).

Handla AINS ETF

iShares AI Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (AIFS ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Euronext Amsterdam.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

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Euronext AmsterdamUSDAINF
Borsa ItalianaEURAINF
Euronext ParisEURAINF
XETRAEURAIFS

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