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The automation Opportunity

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The automation Opportunity a 2018 Outlook. In the run-up to Christmas, the convenience offered by Amazon Prime is something that many of us take for granted. As Amazon’s

The automation Opportunity a 2018 Outlook. In the run-up to Christmas, the convenience offered by Amazon Prime is something that many of us take for granted. As Amazon’s competitors struggle to catch up, the Prime service is putting tremendous pressure on supply chains around the world. The growth of the Prime service has been greatly facilitated by the higher intensity afforded by Amazon’s warehouse robots. It provides just one example of how robotics, automation and artificial intelligence are fast transforming our world.

Amazon’s 2012 acquisition of Kiva Systems – now Amazon Robotics – was a turning point for the automation industry. Kiva’s robots greatly improved flexibility and productivity at Amazon’s warehouses, allowing the company to offer faster service and making its Prime offering viable and sustainable.

Now that Amazon has taken Kiva in house, other companies are striving to accelerate the automation of supply chains elsewhere. So, as 2018 unfolds, we should see increased application of automation around the globe. Jeremie Capron, Managing Partner and Director of Research at Robo Global, says “with only around 5% of warehouses currently automated, there is vast scope for growth here”. Logistics is just one of the many fields undergoing a robotics revolution. Manufacturing is set to be transformed by technologies such as autonomous manipulation and machine vision. The former uses robots to recognise and select specific components, while the latter performs quality inspection in place of human eyes, through a combination of cameras and advanced algorithms.

We are also seeing the widespread deployment of collaborative robots – autonomous machines that can work alongside human operators, rather than having to be ‘caged’ for safety reasons. This allows machines to do the more onerous or repetitive tasks, while human workers can concentrate on adding value in more sophisticated ways.

‘Cobots’ are becoming cheaper, smaller and easier to program, and the sector is now growing at an annualised rate of over 50%.1

These automated tools aren’t perfect. But they are constantly improving through the use of artificial intelligence: specifically, machine learning. “When automated systems make a mistake,” says autonomous-systems pioneer Raffaello D’Andrea, PhD, “learningenabled algorithms allow them to avoid making it again. In mundane tasks, this gives them a real advantage over human workers, who can make the same errors repeatedly because of distraction or fatigue.

And, crucially, machine learning allows solutions to be disseminated quickly across machines worldwide.”

But it’s not only in the repetitive processes of logistics and manufacturing that robots are making an impact. They’re taking on much more complex tasks too. Autonomous vehicles are already with us – and will be making their presence felt in the year ahead. “Before 2018 is out,” according to Jeremie Capron, “we’re likely to see the first autonomous taxi. As with so much automation, this will start small – probably in a single town or city – before broadening out as mistakes are corrected and customer experiences are improved.”

Healthcare will be another growth area in 2018. Robotic surgery systems have been around for some time, but their use is accelerating.

Intuitive Surgical’s da Vinci robots performed some 750,000 abdominal procedures in 2016;2 in 2017, the growth rate has been in the mid to high teens.3 And robots are now being used for other procedures too, including spinal surgery. The use of 3D systems to model the spine leads to greater precision and better patient outcomes. Israel’s Mazor Robotics has reported increased sales of its spinal systems this year,4 but with potential for huge improvements in surgical safety, there is much more to come here.

For investors looking to harness these powerful trends, there are several important considerations. First, penetration of the existing markets in manufacturing, logistics and healthcare is still very low.

So the automation megatrend is very much in its infancy. Investors therefore have an opportunity to ‘get in early’. They should also be aware, however, that growth may be volatile and is not guaranteed.

The disrupters may themselves be disrupted.

Second, the implications of a given technology can be hard to predict. The benefits of Kiva’s robots were initially thought to lie in enhanced cost efficiency. But warehouse operators saw the main advantages in the flexibility they offered and in the elimination of human inefficiency. Similarly, the use of a given technology can skip from one application to another, and from one industry to the next. The initial application of an autonomous system can be seen as a testing ground, in which a technology is refined and enhanced – before it finds other applications elsewhere. Jeremie Capron notes that these developments are inherently unpredictable, because artificial intelligence and robotics are systems-led phenomena: “new capabilities are developed, and applications of those capabilities follow”.

Third, because it’s hard to predict where the next breakthrough will come, it’s important for investors to have exposure across the theme. Not only does this position portfolios for the unexpected breakouts, but it also ensures that they are not overexposed to the biggest names in the business. Some of the best-known industrial robotics companies – the likes of Fanuc, ABB and Rockwell – are highly cyclical. “This cyclicality can be terrifying for investors,” says Richard Lightbound, Managing Director and CEO EMEA of ROBO Global. “So spreading investments across a broad range of companies should result in a much smoother ride than simply buying the flagship industrial firms. And, as we come to the end of an extraordinary year for technology stocks, this diversification also avoids overexposure to companies such as Nvidia that are now trading on elevated valuations.”

Above all, it is worth noting that this revolution is only at the beginning and could continue to see growth. Kiva started selling its systems only in 2005. Few could have foreseen that it would be playing such a large part in the expansion of e-commerce today.

The growth pattern typical in robotics, automation and artificial intelligence means that companies can rise from a barely noticeable start to global prominence in a short period of time. This implies that there is considerable growth to be captured in emergent technologies.

By Christmas 2018, this exciting megatrend will be much further advanced – doubtless having taken some surprising turns along the way. But for far-sighted investors, there’s no time like the present.

For more information, visit:
etfsecurities.com/futurepresent

1 ReportsnReports, Collaborative Reports Market by Payload Capacity, September 2017
2 Intuitive Surgical, Annual Report 2016
3 Reuters, Intuitive Surgical raises 2017 procedure growth forecast, April 2017
4 The Motley Fool, This Growing Robotics Company Is a Hit With Surgeons, Nov 2017

Important Information

This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (“ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”). While this communication is made by ETFS UK, certain content has been produced and provided for ETFS UK by ROBO Global Partners Ltd. (“ROBO Global®”). ROBO Global® is an independent, unaffiliated third party to ETFS UK.

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BNQP ETC är en satsning på kopparpriset

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BNPP RICI Kupfer (TR) Enhanced ETC (BNQP ETC), med ISIN DE000PB8R1C7, försöker spåra RICI Enhanced Copper-index. RICI Enhanced Copper-index spårar priset på terminskontrakt på koppar.

BNPP RICI Kupfer (TR) Enhanced ETC (BNQP ETC), med ISIN DE000PB8R1C7, försöker spåra RICI Enhanced Copper-index. RICI Enhanced Copper-index spårar priset på terminskontrakt på koppar.

Denna ETCs TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 1,00 % p.a. BNPP RICI Kupfer (TR) Enhanced ETC är den största ETC som följer RICI Enhanced Copper-index. Denna ETC replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda syntetiskt med en swap.

BNPP RICI Kupfer (TR) Enhanced ETC är en mycket liten ETC med 1 miljon euro tillgångar under förvaltning. Denna ETC lanserades den 13 oktober 2016 och har sin hemvist i Nederländerna.

Information

ISINDE000PB8R1C7
Securities identification number (German WKN)PB8R1C
BloombergBNQP GY
ReutersBNQP.DE
TypeETC
Entitlement0.00926322
CurrencyEUR
Currency hedgedNo
Roll optimizedYes
LeveragedNo
Physical deliveryNo
Total Return Yes
ExchangeFrankfurt Stock Exchange (Regulated Market – Xetra®), Stuttgart Stock Exchange
Trading periods08:15 am – 20:00 pm
Maturityopen end

Handla BNQP ETC

BNPP RICI Kupfer (TR) Enhanced ETC (BNQP ETC) är en europeisk börshandlad produkt. Denna ETC handlas på till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETC genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
XETRAEURBNQP

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HANetfs Hector McNeil om tillväxt i aktiva ETFer

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HANetfs medgrundare och medVD Hector McNeil pratade med Proactives Stephen Gunnion om den betydande trender och tillväxt i aktiva ETFer.

HANetfs medgrundare och medVD Hector McNeil pratade med Proactives Stephen Gunnion om den betydande trender och tillväxt i aktiva ETFer.

McNeil förklarade att uppkomsten av aktiva strategier är en naturlig utveckling efter framgången med passiva investeringsspårare och smarta beta-tematiska ETFer. Han lyfte fram bekvämligheten med att köpa ETF:er via onlineplattformar och inflytandet från den amerikanska marknaden, där 75 % av nya ETFer är aktiva.

McNeil nämnde att HANetf får allt större förfrågningar om aktiva ETFer, vilket speglar en bredare trend i Europa. Tillväxten på ETF-marknaden förväntas öka exponentiellt, med tillgångar som förväntas öka från 11 biljoner dollar till 30 biljoner dollar globalt inom de kommande fem åren.

McNeil påpekade skattefördelarna med att hålla amerikanska aktier i irländskt hemmahörande ETFer, och betonade en källskatt på 15 % på utdelning jämfört med 30 % i andra jurisdiktioner. Han noterade att attraktionen mot aktiva ETFer också drivs av potentiella alfavinster och det växande intresset från stora kapitalförvaltare i Europa. Till exempel gick Guinness Global Investors nyligen med i HANetfs plattform.

Han nämnde också att strategier sträcker sig över aktie-, ränte- och optionsbaserade produkter.

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C71P ETF en penningmarknadsfond som investerar i korta amerikanska statsskuldsväxlar

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Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill UCITS ETF USD Accumulating (C71P ETF) med ISIN IE000GSIFIB0, strävar efter att spåra Solactive 1-3 månaders amerikanska T-Bill-index. Solactive 1-3 månaders amerikanska T-Bill-index följer amerikanska dollar denominerade statsobligationer utgivna av det amerikanska finansdepartementet. Tid till förfall: 1-3 månader.

Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill UCITS ETF USD Accumulating (C71P ETF) med ISIN IE000GSIFIB0, strävar efter att spåra Solactive 1-3 månaders amerikanska T-Bill-index. Solactive 1-3 månaders amerikanska T-Bill-index följer amerikanska dollar denominerade statsobligationer utgivna av det amerikanska finansdepartementet. Tid till förfall: 1-3 månader.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,07 % p.a. Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill UCITS ETF USD Accumulating är den enda ETF som följer Solactive 1-3 månaders amerikanska T-Bill-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar).

Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill UCITS ETF USD Accumulating är en mycket liten ETF med 1 miljon euro tillgångar under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 6 december 2023 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Skäl att överväga C71P

Exponering för amerikanska statsobligationer: Genom att investera i kortfristiga amerikanska statsskuldväxlar kan ETF erbjuda ett mycket likvidt, räntebärande alternativ till kontanter.

Låg volatilitet: ETFen är koncentrerad till löptider på 1-3 månader och syftar till att maximera exponeringen mot kortfristiga statsräntor, vilket kan minska portföljvolatiliteten och hjälpa investerare att spåra rådande marknadsräntor.

ETF-effektivitet: Denna ETF ger exponering mot en korg av kortfristiga amerikanska statsskuldväxlar för bara en kostnadskvot på 0,07 % – allt i en enda affär.

Handla C71P ETF

Global X 1-3 Month T-Bill UCITS ETF USD Accumulating (C71P ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
XETRAEURC71P
London Stock ExchangeGBPCLPP
London Stock ExchangeUSDCLIP

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NamnVikt (%)Värdepapperstyp
B 01/25/249.18Treasury Bill
B 02/15/247.67Treasury Bill
B 02/01/247.60Treasury Bill
B 02/08/247.51Treasury Bill
B 01/18/247.29Treasury Bill
B 01/11/247.21Treasury Bill
B 01/04/247.14Treasury Bill
B 01/02/246.97Treasury Bill
B 01/09/246.97Treasury Bill
B 01/16/246.96Treasury Bill

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