ETF Assets to Pass $3 trillion Milestone in 2015ETF Assets to Pass $3 trillionMilestone in 2015Deutsche Bank – Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy – Global
ETF assets up by 17% reaching $2.64 trillion in 2014 driven by record inflows
The global ETF Industry experienced best growth ever pushing AUM to $2.6 trillion by the end of 2014 reaching a new record. The strong 17% growth was mainly attributable to organic sources (i.e. new money inflows) which made up 14.6%, while price appreciation had a much less significant contribution of 2.7% – definitely different from previous years when both components had contributed almost equally to the overall growth.
The global ETF industry received healthy cash flows during 2014 recording cash inflows for +$328bn which represent significant growth compared to the previous two years in which the industry attracted +$263bn (2013) and +$247bn (2012), respectively. During the last three years equities have stood as leaders contributing the major portion of the inflows, but during 2014 fixed income ETFs also showed significant signs of growth and contributed +$89.3bn in inflows (vs. +$24.4bn in 2013).
The US, Europe, Asia-Pac, and RoW regional ETF assets closed the year at $1.92 trillion (+19%), $438.9bn (+11%), $201.4bn (+20%), and $77.8bn (+5.6%), respectively. Global ETP (including ETC/ETVs) assets grew by 16% to $2.7 trillion last year.
We expect global ETF assets to pass $3 trillion in 2015
We project the industry will continue to grow at a fast pace in 2015. In our base case scenario, assuming a neutral market condition, global ETF assets may grow c.20%: broken down into 11.6% or $305bn growth from new cash flows, and 9% from price appreciation. This growth should put the ETF assets well on their way to $3.2 trillion by the end of 2015. We expect the US ETF market to be the major contributor with similar asset growth (19.5%) and inflows in the vicinity of $230bn. In a bull market case, ETF assets may grow over 30% approaching $3.5 trillion. We expect ETPs (including ETFs and other exchange traded products such as ETVs/ETCs) to experience a similar, but slightly lower, growth rate than ETFs and reach about $3.26 trillion in 2015 in our base case scenario, and pass $3.5 trillion in a bull market case.
ETF flows suggest investors preferred less risky assets
US Equity-focused ETPs played a major role in 2014 as investors took positions to benefit from an improving US economy, allocating $234.5bn to such funds. We saw significant flows going into different segments in fixed income space, but caution was the main theme for the year as investors embraced safer products as their main allocation preference. After suffering what can only be described as the worst year for Commodity-focused ETPs during 2013 from a flows perspective, we saw investors’ lack of interest continue during 2014.
Among Equity products, US-focused Equity ETPs received the largest inflows, gathering $161.1bn in fresh cash. Meanwhile, other significant flows worth highlighting during 2014 were DM Broad (+$44.5bn), Japan (+$18.2bn), Germany (-$10.6bn), China (-$3.3bn), India (+$3.2bn) and ETPs benchmarked to Financials (+$17.8bn) and Energy (+$11.4bn). Meanwhile, actively managed products witnessed inflows of $3.6bn. Fixed Income saw strong inflows into Corporates ($30.0bn) and Sovereign ($23.0bn) benchmarked products, with a clear preference toward quality and less interest-rate sensitive products, with Short and Medium Duration products capturing $13.3bn and $16.7bn inflows.
We expect developed markets to capture most of the flow attention during 2015, especially the US underpinned by a better macro backdrop. Japan should see renewed interest as another chapter of “Abenomics” is written; while Europe’s ability to capture flows will depend on their ability to convince markets that the ECB measures are bringing forth the right fruits. In Emerging Markets caution will most likely be the theme for the year with significant differentiation across regions and countries. India and China are most likely to continue to attract most of the new flows in the EM space. If higher volatility expectations materialize, fixed income should experience additional safe-haven driven demand. Commodities should continue to experience weakness once again in the current year.
ETF trading activity up 13% in 2014 reaching $18.7 trillion and will continue to rise
Trading activity picked up in 2014 again with ETF turnover levels registering a rise of 13% over 2013. Overall turnover levels in 2014, 2013 and 2012 were $18.7 trillion, $16.5 trillion and $15.3 trillion, respectively. In 2014, Asian ETFs again recorded the highest increase of 41.6% in trading volumes ($925bn), after a 100% increase in 2013, significantly surpassing European on-exchange volumes ($698bn, up 16%). US ETFs continue to dominate the global ETF trading activity ($16 trillion, up 14.6%). We expect to see ETF trading activity to further increase in 2015 due to wider adoption of ETFs and more product offerings.
ETF markets advance globally with no sign of slowing down
In the US, ETFs beat Mutual Funds in the race for new assets in a year that should have favored mutual funds. Organic growth was the main driver behind ETFs, while Mutual Funds failed to record significant organic growth. US investors continue to use ETFs to control different aspects of their portfolios, behavior that was manifested by strong trends in currency hedged and “smart beta” ETFs. We believe that macro developments and ETF investors’ strategies will continue to support the growth in these two product areas during 2015.
In Europe, ETFs continue to blend with the markets as the products available allow investors to implement strategies around important market developments such as the ECB stimulus package, and Russian headwinds. In addition, some investors are also considering ETFs as an alternative to Futures; while new product development continues gaining traction with “smart beta” ETFs recording remarkable growth in 2014.
In Asia-Pac, we saw more developments and opening up of the Asian equity markets to global investors through growth of Japan ETFs, asset allocation changes by Japanese pension funds, RQFII program, fund passport systems, etc. As a result, Asia-Pacific ETFs experienced the fastest percentage growth in 2014 (20%) comparing with the US and Europe in USD terms while the growth was almost 30% in local currency. We expect this trend will continue in 2015. More specifically, RQFII ETFs will continue to shine in 2015 after assets registered 77% YoY growth in 2014; Japan and JPX-Nikkei 400 ETFs will benefit from increasing equity allocation by Japanese pension funds; Fund passport and mutual recognition programs are in sight; ETFs listed globally with investment focus in Asia-Pacific will continue to grow, especially with Japan, China and India exposure; leverage and short ETFs will continue to be adopted by institutional investors as a good trading tool.
As April winds down, markets remain on edge, with escalating tariffs and renewed trade tensions keeping volatility in focus. In this summary of our full-length newsletter, we spotlight gold and gold equities, both of which have surged to record levels. We also take a step back from the day-to-day noise in crypto to explore the broader shifts in the regulatory landscape in our latest Whitepaper and present Celestia in detail. Finally, we assess how Moat indexes have held up and evolved amid the turbulence.
Gold & Gold mining equities tend to shine during stress periods
Source: VanEck, World Gold Council.
Gold has attracted renewed interest from investors amid concerns about inflation, currency volatility, and overall market uncertainty. Gold mining companies have recently reported improved profit margins and cash generation, with some initiating share buybacks and maintaining relatively strong balance sheets. Despite these developments, many continue to trade below their historical valuation averages.
While historical trends indicate that gold and gold mining equities have outperformed during certain periods of market stress, these patterns may not repeat under different economic conditions. Performance can be influenced by a range of factors including interest rates, central bank policy, geopolitical developments, and investor sentiment.
⚖️ Whitepaper Highlights: How New Crypto Regulations May Shape the Future
Cryptocurrencies are entering a new era. With the re-election of Donald Trump and the implementation of the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, digital assets are moving into a landscape defined not just by innovation, but also by regulatory clarity.
MiCA’s structured and transparent approach aims to promote legitimacy, safeguard investors, and enhance trust in digital asset markets across Europe. It could also serve as a blueprint for other jurisdictions looking to regulate crypto effectively.
Most blockchains, like Ethereum or Bitcoin, are monolithic which means they perform all major functions (consensus, data availability, and execution) on a single layer. This design ensures security but according to new modular networks, limits scalability and flexibility.
The modular blockchain thesis, which Celestia is leading, proposes separation of layers and respective responsibilities in the network.
Note: This article in not accessible to our UK readers.
🌊 Riding the Gold Wave
Chasing the Vein: Fund Flows into Gold Miners
Source: Mining.com. Data as of 21 March 2025. Note: Data covers 493 funds with combined assets under management of $62 billion.
U.S. equity markets experienced significant declines during the month of March. Meanwhile, spot gold price recorded new all-time highs, surpassing the $3,000 per ounce mark on 14 March and closing at a record price of $3123.57 on March 31, a 9.30% ($265.73) monthly gain. As of 31 March, gold prices have risen by 93.61% over the past five years (1). Investors should keep in mind that past performance is not representative of future results.
The gold miners, as represented by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDMNTR), outperformed significantly, up 15.51% during March (2). This gain reflects both their operational leverage to rising gold prices and market perceptions of relative value. However, gold miners can also be subject to heightened volatility, operational risks, and sensitivity to commodity price swings.
While gold and gold equities may serve as diversifiers in a portfolio due to their historically low correlations with many asset classes, investors should remain mindful of the inherent risks, including price volatility, currency movements, and shifts in investor sentiment that can lead to rapid reversals in performance.
Market turbulence in March weighed on stocks. The Moat Index was not immune to the market turmoil, as it declined along with the broad U.S. equity market ending the month lower. However, the Moat Index showed resilience relative to the S&P 500—thanks in part to defensive sector resilience and underweight exposure to mega-caps.
At the same time, the SMID Moat Index lagged small and mid-caps in March. Smaller U.S. stocks were also impacted by global trade tensions and economic growth concerns with the broad small- and mid-cap benchmarks falling during the month. However, year-to-date, the SMID Moat Index remains ahead of the broader small- and mid-cap markets.
(1) Source: World Gold Council, ICE Data Services, FactSet Research Systems Inc.
(2) Source: Financial Times.
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BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado (BBVAE ETF) med ISIN ES0105321030, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,20 % p.a. ETFen replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (halvårsvis).
BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado har tillgångar på 133 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 3 oktober 2006 och har sin hemvist i Spanien.
Beskrivning BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado
Med BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado deltar investerare i ökningen av värdet på aktierna i de 50 största konglomeraten i euroområdet (euroområdet). Euro Stoxx 50-indexet inkluderar aktier från 8 länder i euroområdet: Belgien, Finland, Frankrike, Tyskland, Irland, Italien, Nederländerna och Spanien.
Explore Dogecoin’s impact on crypto, turning internet memes into cultural and financial assets.
𝕋𝕚𝕞𝕖 ℂ𝕠𝕕𝕖𝕤:
00:00 – Intro
00:27 – Where do Memes come from?
03:13 – What are some of the first Memes you remember?
10:28 – Do these things have value?
14:04 – The different types of cryptocurrencies
17:20 – How did Dogecoin start?
24:26 – What is some of the utility?
28:36 – How does it fit into the portfolio?
30:38 – Final thoughts
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
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