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ETC Group Crypto Market Compass #13 2024
Publicerad
1 år sedanden

• Cryptoassets continued to be under pressure amid record outflows from global crypto ETPs
• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” had declined significantly before reversing some of the declines more recently; The index is currently signalling neutral sentiment again
• Global crypto ETPs experienced the largest weekly net outflows ever recorded mainly driven by significant outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC)
Chart of the Week

Performance

Last week, cryptoassets underperformed on account of increased net outflows from global Bitcoin ETPs. Last week, saw the highest weekly net outflows ever recorded and the steepest net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs since trading launch.
However, most of these net outflows were concentrated in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) in the US which saw more than -2 bn USD in net outflows last week while other US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw continued net inflows. Accelerating outflows from GBTC could be related to ongoing FTX or Genesis bankruptcy sales that are likely going to last only temporary.
Accelerating outflows from GBTC have clearly darkened market sentiment which had fallen to the lowest levels since January 2024 when outflows from GBTC had also worsened market sentiment.
Another factor that has contributed to a worsening sentiment in crypto markets were reports that the SEC is waging a campaign to classify Ethereum as a security.
This comes at a time when the final deadline for the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF by one of the issuers is approaching fast (23rd of May). The odds for an earlier approval by the end of May 2024 have plummeted to around 22% following these reports according to the betting website Polymarket.
The recent assessment of Ethereum by the SEC seems to be inconsistent with earlier regulatory action. The mere fact that the SEC had allowed Ethereum futures to trade on regulated exchanges was explicitly an acknowledgement that ETH is a non-security.
However, the fact that even the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETFs was a close call within the SEC (3 yea vs 2 nay) still induces a lot of uncertainty regarding the approval of the Ethereum spot ETF.
On a positive note, BlackRock has recently launched a digital asset fund (called “BUIDL”) based on the Ethereum blockchain that intends to invest into tokenized assets. This seems to be a major endorsement amid the ongoing investigations by the SEC.
Besides, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at its latest FOMC meeting which was generally interpreted as dovish forward guidance as the Fed still telegraphed around 3 rate cuts à 25 bps this year.
Meanwhile, some major central banks such as the SNB in Switzerland and the Banco de México in Mexico have already delivered their first rate cut in what appears to be an early start to a global rate cutting cycle which would be a significant tailwind for cryptoassets going forward.

In general, among the top 10 crypto assets, Toncoin, Dogecoin, and XRP were the relative outperformers.
Overall altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin also picked up compared to the week prior, with around 60% of our tracked altcoins managing to outperform Bitcoin on a weekly basis.
Sentiment
Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” had declined significantly before reversing some of the declines more recently. The index is currently signalling neutral sentiment again.
At the moment, 10 out of 15 indicators are above their short-term trend.
There were significant reversals to the upside in BTC long futures liquidation dominance and the Altseason Index.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in ”Greed” territory as of this morning.
Besides, our own measure of Cross Asset Risk Appetite (CARA) has decreased throughout the week which signals diminishing bullish sentiment in traditional financial markets.
Performance dispersion among cryptoassets has continued to decline further amid the recent correction. However, overall performance dispersion still remains slightly elevated.
In general, high performance dispersion among cryptoassets implies that correlations among cryptoassets are low, which means that cryptoassets are trading more on coin-specific factors and that cryptoassets are increasingly decoupling from the performance of Bitcoin.
At the same time, altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin has recently picked up compared to the week prior, with around 60% of our tracked altcoins that have outperformed Bitcoin on a weekly basis. At the same time, there was a significant underperformance of Ethereum vis-à-vis Bitcoin last week.
In general, increasing altcoin outperformance tends to be a sign of increasing risk appetite within cryptoasset markets.
Fund Flows
Last week, we saw the highest weekly net outflows ever recorded across all types of products of around -1,153.3 mn USD (week ending Friday) based on Bloomberg data.
Global Bitcoin ETPs dominated with net outflows of -1,058.3 mn USD of which -887.7 mn (net) were related to US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone. In contrast, the ETC Group Physical Bitcoin ETP (BTCE) saw net inflows equivalent to +6.6 mn USD last week.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) experienced record net outflows of approximately -2,001.4 mn USD last week. However, other US spot Bitcoin ETFs even managed to attract +1,113 mn USD (ex GBTC).
Global Ethereum ETPs also saw significant net outflows last week of around -123.6 mn USD, which represents an acceleration of outflows compared to the week prior. Meanwhile, the ETC Group Physical Ethereum ETP (ZETH) had -3.9 mn USD in net outflows, while the ETC Group Ethereum Staking ETP (ET32) also experienced some net outflows (-3.3 mn USD) last week.
Besides, Altcoin ETPs ex Ethereum again managed to attract net inflows of around +29.9 mn USD last week.
In contrast, Thematic & basket crypto ETPs experienced minor net outflows of -1.3 mn USD, based on our calculations. The ETC Group MSCI Digital Assets Select 20 ETP (DA20) defied negative market trends with minor net inflows of around +0.4 mn USD last week.
Besides, the beta of global crypto hedge funds to Bitcoin over the last 20 trading remained at around 1.03 which implies that global crypto hedge funds have currently a neutral market exposure and are neither overweight nor underweight relative to the market.
On-Chain Data
Despite the recent consolidation below 70k USD in Bitcoin, coins continue to be taken off exchanges on a net basis as BTC exchange balances have recently reached a new multiyear low.
In contrast, Ethereum has seen a steady increase in exchange balances since the beginning of March which has exerted more downside pressure more recently.
We have recently observed some bearish BTC net transfers to exchanges from very large holders (> 10 mn USD wallet size) but mid-sized ($100k-$1M) to large holders ($1M-$10M) have continued to take coins off exchanges over the past week.
However, whale transfers to exchanges have recently turned slightly positive implying net sales by whales (entities that control at least 1,000 BTC) over the past week.
The cumulative volume delta (CVD), which measures the net difference between buying and selling trade volumes, was negative with around -910 mn USD in net selling volumes over the past week. Negative US spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows were certainly a major driver of this selling volume.
Ongoing consolidation appears to be relatively likely in the short term despite the upcoming Bitcoin Halving in April. The reason is that the positive effects from the Halving only become visible around 100 days after the Halving according to our latest analyses.
If the market was trading lower, we should find support in Bitcoin near 55.4k USD as the short-term holder’s cost basis is around that price level. Short-term holders tended to capitulate whenever the price dipped below their cost basis which should provide a solid basis for a continuation of the bull market.
Futures, Options & Perpetuals
Bitcoin futures traders reduced somewhat reduced their exposure during last week while perpetual open interest was mostly flat in BTC-terms. Futures open interest on the CME also decreased last week.
Futures long liquidations spiked last week on Tuesday above 100 mn USD according to data provided by Glassnode as Bitcoin dipped below 60k USD for a short period of time. Liquidations have levelled off significantly since then.
The Bitcoin futures basis also continued to decline from the recent highs observed at the beginning of March and was at around 21.2% p.a., at the time of writing this report.
The perpetual funding rate also mostly decreased last week and has only yesterday spiked as perpetual futures traders seem to have increased their exposure somewhat over the weekend.
In contrast, Bitcoin options’ open interest increased slightly last week. The Put-call open interest continued to decline compared to last week and is now at around 0.56 as option traders seem to unwind some of their downside hedges.
Put-call volume ratios spiked only briefly last week on Thursday in a sign of increased short-term risk aversion. For every BTC call traded, there were around 0.98 in puts traded on Thursday last week.
The 25-delta BTC 1-month option skew remained elevated but generally trended down as delta-equivalent calls were trading at a higher implied volatility than puts.
However, BTC option implied volatilities continued to come off the highs recorded at the beginning of March. Implied volatilities of 1-month ATM Bitcoin options are currently at around 70.9% p.a.
Bottom Line
• Cryptoassets continued to be under pressure amid record outflows from global crypto ETPs
• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” had declined significantly before reversing some of the declines more recently; The index is currently signalling neutral sentiment again
• Global crypto ETPs experienced the largest weekly net outflows ever recorded mainly driven by significant outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC)
Disclaimer
Important Information
The information provided in this material is for informative purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or solicitation to conclude a transaction. This document (which may be in the form of a blogpost, research article, marketing brochure, press release, social media post, blog post, broadcast communication or similar instrument – we refer to this category of communications generally as a “document” for purposes of this disclaimer) is issued by ETC Issuance GmbH (the “issuer”), a limited company incorporated under the laws of Germany, having its corporate domicile in Germany. This document has been prepared in accordance with applicable laws and regulations (including those relating to financial promotions). If you are considering investing in any securities issued by ETC Group, including any securities described in this document, you should check with your broker or bank that securities issued by ETC Group are available in your jurisdiction and suitable for your investment profile.
Exchange-traded commodities/cryptocurrencies, or ETPs, are a highly volatile asset and performance is unpredictable. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The market price of ETPs will vary and they do not offer a fixed income. The value of any investment in ETPs may be affected by exchange rate and underlying price movements. This document may contain forward-looking statements including statements regarding ETC Group’s belief or current expectations with regards to the performance of certain asset classes. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such statements will be accurate and actual results could differ materially. Therefore, you must not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. This document does not constitute investment advice nor an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any product or make any investment. An investment in an ETC that is linked to cryptocurrency, such as those offered by ETC Group, is dependent on the performance of the underlying cryptocurrency, less costs, but it is not expected to match that performance precisely. ETPs involve numerous risks including, among others, general market risks relating to underlying adverse price movements and currency, liquidity, operational, legal, and regulatory risks.
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Is Quantum Computing Approaching a Tipping Point?
Publicerad
57 sekunder sedanden
24 juni, 2025
Wave after wave of transformative technologies have marked the past 100 years — each moving from invention to mass adoption, reshaping society and generating significant economic value along the way. Now, in the 21st century, we may be approaching the next major technological breakthrough: the advent of the quantum computing era.
From the rise of television in the mid-20th century to the smartphone revolution of the early 2000s and, most recently, the breakthrough of generative artificial intelligence, new technologies have defined generations. Take the internet, for example: in the late 1960s, a group of U.S. government researchers began linking computers, inventing a new way to share information. Over the following decades, scientists built upon that foundation. Then, in the 1990s, the World Wide Web emerged — opening the internet to the public and creating the digital backbone for email, ecommerce and social media.
Much like the internet in the 1980s, quantum computing’s evolution is accelerating — it looks closer to a ‘tipping point’ that could release its immense potential. While the technology’s theoretical foundations were established in the late 20th century, only in recent years has this set a wave of innovation in motion. As the wave gathers pace, it has the potential to disrupt industries like finance, medicine and cybersecurity. Even so, it’s important to acknowledge that — despite early use cases — commercial success is not yet assured, and broad adoption may still face challenges.
The Rise of Quantum Computing

Source: VanEck Research.
Building Momentum: Quantum Investment and Innovation
The growing commitment from governments and leading tech companies signals that quantum computing may be approaching a tipping point. According to McKinsey & Company, public investments now exceed $42 billion, underscoring national interest in this transformative technology.1 At the same time, the private sector is rapidly advancing, with over 10,000 quantum-related patents granted in the past five years.2
Global Public Quantum Technology Investments

Source: McKinsey & Company (2024). Quantum Technology Monitor.
Economic opportunities are already being explored in various industries. For instance, in finance, quantum computing could be used for optimizing investment portfolios, risk analysis and fraud detection, while also posing a long-term challenge to existing encryption standards. In healthcare, it has promise for drug discovery, molecule simulation and medical data analysis. A notable example is IBM’s collaboration with the U.S. Cleveland Clinic, where the first quantum computer dedicated to healthcare was installed in 2023. Among other applications, it is used to enhance machine learning models for prescribing antibiotics, drawing on a dataset of 4.7 million cases in a 2025 publish case study.3
More recently, D-Wave Quantum Inc, a Californian quantum computing company, made headlines by claiming quantum supremacy on a “useful, real-world problem” through a quantum-optimized simulation of magnetic materials. The achievement—peer-reviewed and published in the journal Science—has sparked widespread discussion across the scientific and tech communities. It could mark a significant step forward in applying quantum computing to materials science.4
The Current State of Quantum Computing
Putting things into perspective, quantum computing is shifting from theoretical research into early-stage commercial exploration — marked by rapid progress, but also significant technical challenges.
As part of this transition, several companies are now offering quantum computers—either through physical purchase and delivery, or via remote access through cloud platforms. Pricing ranges from free public access to enterprise-level subscription models.5 In the past six months, major players have announced notable hardware milestones: Google introduced its Willow chip, Microsoft unveiled its Majorana processor, and Amazon announced Ocelot, which uses cat qubits to improve error correction.
While these developments are promising, they primarily reflect advancements in hardware rather than immediate commercial utility. Most current systems still operate within the so-called NISQ (Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum) era — capable of impressive demonstrations but limited by error rates and a lack of scalability. They remain largely experimental and not yet viable for broad, real-world applications.
As a result, much of the current enthusiasm is rooted in long-term potential rather than proven performance. The gap between laboratory breakthroughs and widespread deployment remains wide — and closing it will require sustained innovation and focused execution. Leading firms have acknowledged these challenges and laid out clear roadmaps to address them. Most recently, IBM updated its quantum roadmap, aiming to deliver a fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029.6
From Potential to Progress
Quantum computing may be approaching a tipping point, with the potential to drive significant innovation. Being an emerging technology, its progress is likely to be uneven, and widespread adoption is far from guaranteed.
Investors who recognize its long-term potential may find it worthwhile to watch the development closely. The next breakthrough could be nearer than we think — and for those who are prepared, it may offer a chance to engage with one of the most promising frontiers in modern technology.
To receive more insights, sign up to our email Newsletter.
1 McKinsey & Co 2024 Technology Monitor.
2 EconSight AG, data as of March 31st 2025, for 2020-2024.
3 Cleveland Clinic, Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Predict Which Antibiotic To Prescribe for UTIs, 2025.
4 D-Wave, Beyond Classical: D-Wave First to Demonstrate Quantum Supremacy on Useful, Real-World Problem, 2025.
5 Examples: https://www.rigetti.com/novera, https://www.ibm.com/quantum/pricing. Accessed May 2025.
6 Example: https://www.ibm.com/roadmaps/quantum/.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
This information originates from VanEck (Europe) GmbH, Kreuznacher Str. 30, 60486 Frankfurt, Germany, and has been appointed as distributor of VanEck products in Europe by the UCITS Management Company, VanEck Asset Management B.V. The Management Company is incorporated under Dutch law and registered with the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM).
For investors in Switzerland: VanEck Switzerland AG, with registered office in Genferstrasse 21, 8002 Zurich, Switzerland, has been appointed as distributor of VanEck´s products in Switzerland by the Management Company. A copy of the latest prospectus, the Articles, the Key Information Document, the annual report and semi-annual report can be found on our website www.vaneck.com or can be obtained free of charge from the representative in Switzerland: Zeidler Regulatory Services (Switzerland) AG, Neustadtgasse 1a, 8400 Winterthur, Switzerland. Swiss paying agent: Helvetische Bank AG, Seefeldstrasse 215, CH-8008 Zürich.
For investors in the UK: This is a marketing communication targeted to FCA regulated financial intermediaries. Retail clients should not rely on any of the information provided and should seek assistance from a financial intermediary for all investment guidance and advice. VanEck Securities UK Limited (FRN: 1002854) is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures LLP (FRN: 452811), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK, to distribute VanEck´s products to FCA regulated firms such as financial intermediaries and Wealth Managers.
This material is only intended for general and preliminary information and shall not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice. VanEck (Europe) GmbH and its associated and affiliated companies (together “VanEck”) assume no liability with regards to any investment, divestment or retention decision on the basis of this information. The views and opinions expressed are those of the author(s) but not necessarily those of VanEck. Opinions are current as of the publication date and are subject to change with market conditions. Information provided by third party sources is believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed.
Investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. For any unfamiliar technical terms, please refer to ETF Glossary | VanEck.
This document has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of VanEck.
© VanEck (Europe) GmbH ©VanEck Switzerland AG © VanEck Securities UK Limited
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CRRY ETC ger syntetisk exponering mot råvarumarknaden
Publicerad
1 timme sedanden
24 juni, 2025
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry (CRRY ETC) med ISIN XS3022291473, syftar till att följa BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet. BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet ger exponering mot en hävstångspremie (även känd som råvarubäringsfaktorn) från skillnaden i bäringskostnader mellan långa och korta positioner i terminskontrakt för samma uppsättning underliggande råvaror.
Den börshandlade produktens TER (total expense ratio) uppgår till 0,40 % per år. WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är den enda ETCen som följer BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return-indexet. ETCen replikerar det underliggande indexets resultat syntetiskt med en swap.
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är en liten ETC med 48 miljoner euro i förvaltat kapital. Denna ETC lanserades den 24 april 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland.
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry är en fullt säkerställd, UCITS-godkänd börshandlad råvara (ETC) utformad för att ge investerare en totalavkastningsexponering mot en korg av råvaruterminskontrakt. ETCen ger en totalavkastning bestående av den dagliga utvecklingen av BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index (BNPIF73P), plus ränteintäkterna justerade för att återspegla avgifter och kostnader i samband med produkten.
Till exempel, om BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index stiger med 1 % under en dag, kommer ETCen att stiga med 1 % exklusive avgifter. Men om BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index faller med 1 % under en dag, kommer ETC:n att falla med 1 % exklusive avgifter.
BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index ger en exponering mot skillnaden i utvecklingen av två underliggande råvaruindex som syftar till att generera positiv avkastning som är oberoende av råvarumarknadsmiljön. Dess syfte är därför inte att direkt följa rörelser på råvarumarknaderna. BNP Paribas Enhanced Commodity Carry Excess Return Index använder även hävstång, vilket innebär att dess värde kan stiga eller falla mer än skillnaden i prestanda mellan de två råvaruindex som den har exponering mot.
Varför investera?
- Få exponering mot en hävstångspremie (även känd som råvarubäringsfaktor) från skillnaden i bäringskostnader mellan långa och korta positioner i terminskontrakt för samma uppsättning underliggande råvaror.
- UCITS-kvalificerade och fullt säkerställda.
- Transparent prestanda och avgifter.
- Lätt att investera: regelbaserad exponering mot bäringsfaktorn utan behov av att hantera råvaruterminer.
- Riskhantering: Du kan inte förlora mer än det investerade beloppet.
- Likviditet: Handlas på börsen, med flera auktoriserade deltagare (AP) och marknadsgaranter (MM).

Handla CRRY ETC
WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Carry (CRRY ETC) är en europeisk börshandlad råvara. Denna ETPhandlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.
Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETC genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.
Börsnoteringar
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Bitcoin is resilient despite the Middle East war
Publicerad
22 timmar sedanden
23 juni, 2025
As tensions between Israel and Iran escalate, Bitcoin’s price has held steady, remaining firmly above the $100K mark. While many assets tend to falter during periods of global uncertainty, Bitcoin’s resilience is catching the eye of everyday investors, strengthening its appeal as a reliable store of value in turbulent times.


What makes Solana the go-to blockchain today
Solana is quickly winning over the crypto world. With lightning-fast speeds and low fees, it’s become a top choice, not just for retail investors but also for institutions seeking real-world utility. What’s more, even crypto exchanges that run their own blockchains are now turning to Solana for its unmatched performance and efficiency.



Bitcoin’s new upgrade is on the way
Bitcoin is preparing for an upgrade known as OP_RETURN, designed to unlock new use cases and drive broader adoption. This is especially relevant as nearly 30% of its supply hasn’t moved in over five years. However, the update is stirring controversy, with critics questioning its impact on Bitcoin’s original purpose.


Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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