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Markets suffered from increased selling pressure this week on the back of bankruptcy fears looming over crypto bank Silvergate which has been dragged down by the FTX collapse and the recent regulatory crackdown in the US. Over the past week, Bitcoin and Ethereum dipped by 4.7% and 4%, respectively. This week’s biggest winner was MakerDAO (ticker: MKR), which saw returns increase by 15%. The leading factor to MKR price action may be attributed to MakerDAO’s plans to allow users to borrow DAI against its governance token MKR. The paradox is that this yet-to-be-implemented move may cause a liquidity risk if the token drops significantly. Moreover, last month, we learned that MakerDAO registered $19M in profits in 2022. The cryptoassets that suffered the most losses last week were Boba (-14%) within scaling solutions and Cardano (-9%) among data platforms.
Figure 1: Weekly TVL and Price Performance of Major Crypto Categories
Source: 21Shares, CoinGecko, DeFi Llama. Close data as of March 7.
Key takeaways
• Bankruptcy fears loom over crypto bank Silvergate as it discontinues its exchange network platform in what they described as a risk-based decision.
• Account Abstraction arrives on Ethereum; Polygon releases web3 identification service
• Uniswap releases mobile wallet app, considering an expansion to Avalanche
• Magic Eden embarks on a month of “Mint Madness,” showcasing collections across Polygon, Ethereum, and Solana.
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Spot and Derivatives Markets
Figure 2: Bitcoin and Ethereum Futures Annualized Rolling Basis
Source: Glassnode
The futures market for Bitcoin and Ethereum is in backwardation resulting in a positive annualized yield of 3% over the past three months. Traders profit from rolling over to cheaper long-dated futures contracts vs. the spot price of both BTC and ETH. Namely, the expected future price of both assets is cheaper than the current spot price, so investors get the same quantity of the underlying assets at a cheaper cost of capital. Backwardation can occur as a result of a higher demand for BTC and ETH in the spot market than the contracts maturing in the future through the futures market. This is a testament to a spot-driven rally since the start of the year.
On-chain Indicators
Figure 3: USDC, BUSD, and USDT Market Capitalization
Source: Glassnode
Over the past year, the channel size of the Lightning network has increased by over 80%. In other words, off-chain BTC transactions can now hold almost 0.072 BTC per channel, as shown in Figure 3. Moreover, Xapo Bank, a leading Bitcoin custodian, and licensed private bank announced that it has started using Lightspark to offer Lightning-based Bitcoin payments.
Next Week’s Calendar
Source: Forex Factory
Read our full report here
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
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