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Tornado Cash Banned in the US, Game dApps Thriving, and More!

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Game dApps Bitcoin barely moved over the past seven days while Ethereum saw an increase in price by 4.9%. Avalanche recorded a 21.31% increase week-over-week, following its listing on Robinhood on August 8 alongside Stellar. Other outliers from this past week are Chainlink and Polkadot, each recording an increase of 19.7% and 16.27% respectively, in addition to Binance Coin whose price increased by almost 14%; all on the back of developments which we will delve deeper into further in this newsletter.

Bitcoin barely moved over the past seven days while Ethereum saw an increase in price by 4.9%. Avalanche recorded a 21.31% increase week-over-week, following its listing on Robinhood on August 8 alongside Stellar. Other outliers from this past week are Chainlink and Polkadot, each recording an increase of 19.7% and 16.27% respectively, in addition to Binance Coin whose price increased by almost 14%; all on the back of developments which we will delve deeper into further in this newsletter.

Key Takeaways

• New bipartisan bill wants to hand jurisdiction over BTC and ETH to CFTC
• Wallet addresses holding 100 ETH or more increase ahead of Merge
• USDT, FRAX to honor redemptions on new POS ETH chain, won’t support POW fork
• Gaming dApps account for 60% of all blockchain activity in July
• Multiple ETHPOW forks are expected to launch post-merge

Macro, Regulations; Spot, and Derivatives Markets

Bank of England raised interest rates to 1.75% in the biggest increase since 1995, while estimating inflation to peak at 13.3% in October. July’s US inflation data is scheduled to be released on August 10 and the next Federal Reserve meeting is slated to take place on September 21.

In its earnings report, Microstrategy reported a $918M impairment charge on its Bitcoin holdings in Q2, compared to $414.2M for Q2 of 2021. On the back of that news, former CEO of Microstrategy Michael Saylor stepped down to assume the role of executive chairman to focus primarily on innovation and long-term corporate strategy, while continuing to provide oversight of the Microstrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy as head of the Board’s Investments Committee.

A new bipartisan legislation wants to hand the regulatory authority over Bitcoin and Ethereum to the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). There has been a long dispute in Congress over whose place it is to regulate cryptoassets, the Securities and Exchange Comission (SEC) or the CFTC. The Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of 2022 grants the CFTC ”exclusive jurisdiction” over cryptocurrency trades that meet commodities law. Aiming to bring more clarity into the space, the bill aims to introduce a new term “digital commodity,” leaving it up to the CFTC to define.

The SEC charged 11 people linked to Forsage for fraud, calling the decentralized smart contracts platform a textbook pyramid scheme. A few days later, documents were leaked to the public showing that the SEC had open cases on all US-based crypto exchanges, along with Binance. More law enforcement that took place last week:

• New York State Department of Financial Services marked its first crypto law enforcement action by fining Robinhood $30M for violating cybersecurity and AML laws, an event the company has been expecting since last year.
• Celsius is facing a lawsuit from over 300 of its custody clients claiming rightful ownership of $180M of firm’s assets locked in bankruptcy proceedings.
• Portuguese banks closed accounts of crypto exchanges, on the back of “suspicious transactions.”

Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts wants Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to rewrite guidelines permitting banks to hold reserve-backed stablecoins like USDC and USDT. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank called stablecoins and Bitcoin problematic while calling central bank digital currencies a “holy grail” for cross-border payments in a report published earlier this month.

On-chain Indicators

Figure 1: Lightning Network Capacity

Source: Glassnode

The Lightning Network, which allows for near-instant transaction finality, has almost 4.5K BTC in its capacity, which means over $100M are ready for peer-to-peer payments on the Bitcoin blockchain network. That is 500 more BTC since June.

Figure 2: Addresses with 100 ETH or more

Source: Glassnode

Ethereum is leaving 2018 levels in terms of wallets holding 100 ETH or more. Over the past week, wallets holding 100 ETH or more have increased by more than 200.

Read the full report here

Media Coverage

Our Director of Research Eliezer Ndinga was featured on Blockworks to talk about price developments and market sentiment. You can read more here.

In other news, our very own research associate Carlos Gonzales was featured on Forbes to discuss Litecoin. You can read more about it here.

Last but not least, we’re thrilled to welcome Sherif El-Haddad as 21Shares’ first Head of Middle East Sales as we expand into new markets. You can read more here.
News

Tornado Cash Just Got Banned in the US

What happened?

The US Department of Treasury banned Tornado Cash, a decentralized protocol used to obfuscate the trail of transactions for privacy, for facilitating the laundering of the proceeds of cybercrimes, according to the statement. The US Treasury said that Tornado Cash has been used to launder more than $7B worth of cryptoassets since it launched in 2019. That figure amounts to the total value of cryptoassets that have been sent through Tornado Cash since launch.

Why does it matter?

The move comes after the US Treasury linked the $600M+ Ronin Bridge exploit to North Korean cybercriminal Lazarus Group, which sent approximately $80.3M worth of ETH through Tornado Cash, according to blockchain analytics firm Elliptic.

Back in July, Chainalysis revealed that 10% of all funds coming from illicit addresses are sent to crypto mixers, such as Tornado Cash and Blender.io which has been recently sanctioned earlier by the US on the back of the infamous Axie Infinity hack.

Tornado Cash announced in April that it’s using Chainalysis’ oracle contracts to block wallet addresses sanctioned by the US. ”Maintaining financial privacy is essential to preserving our freedom; however, it should not come at the cost of non-compliance,” said the Tornado Cash team.

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Playing the AI revolution through commodities and gold’s curious rally

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“A single search query on Chat GPT consumes around 1500% more energy than a simple search google search. The overall energy amounts are marginal on their own. Even taken in aggregate, it is a blip in terms of total global energy demand. However, it is illustrative of the potential big increases in electricity demand that will come from the AI revolution.

“A single search query on Chat GPT consumes around 1500% more energy than a simple search google search. The overall energy amounts are marginal on their own. Even taken in aggregate, it is a blip in terms of total global energy demand. However, it is illustrative of the potential big increases in electricity demand that will come from the AI revolution.

“Over the past 20 years, the US has seen its electricity demand stagnate. While its economy has grown, it has been able to avoid the need to add electricity generation thanks to efficiency savings. But this is now changing, and a big reason is the boom in data centre demand, with AI datacentre demand in particular.

“For example, Virginia has one of the densest clusters of data centres in the US. Dominion, the utility company servicing the state, had previously forecast net energy to increase by 2.9% between 2022 and 2037. Now they forecast a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 4.4% between 2023 and 2028, principally due to energy demand from data centres. Similar patterns can be expected across the country.

“So, while many investors are chasing the AI theme through exposure to tech stocks, especially through big names such as Microsoft, it is also worth highlighting the materials or commodity angle — a literal picks and shovels approach.

“Nuclear energy will provide a key role in supplying the electricity for this expected boom in electricity demand, particularly given its zero-carbon credentials. We’ve already seen Amazon purchase a data centre situated next to a nuclear power plant in Pennsylvania for Amazon Web Services.

“With more nuclear energy generation, uranium will see greater demand. The uranium market is already tight with forecast deficits of supply vs demand. Primary uranium mine supply is significantly trailing demand, with a cumulative forecasted supply shortfall of approximately 1.5 billion pounds by 2040. This added component will put more pressure on the uranium price, to the benefit of the miners.

“But generating electricity is only one part of the story. At the same time, getting the electricity generated by nuclear energy to the end user requires transmission. That requires a lot of copper. A build of new data centres will require a buildout of copper-intensive transmission lines.

“As with uranium, the copper market is facing a supply deficit. Copper will be a key metal in the energy transition, with 2.5x more copper wiring in an EV vs a conventional car, while solar panels and wind turbines require grid expansions and upgrades. The additional demand for copper from the AI revolution and data centre build up simply adds to this.”

HANetf is the issuer of the Sprott Uranium Miners UCITS ETF (U3O8), Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (U8NJ) and the Sprott Copper Miners ESG-Screened UCITS ETF (ASWD).

Gold’s curious rally

“Gold has hit several new all-time-highs this year, breaching $2,431/oz. This has been driven by central bank buying, geopolitical-driven safe-haven buying, emerging market investment demand, as well as anticipation around forthcoming Federal Reserve rate cuts, albeit with declining expectations regarding the latter.

“But it is worth looking into some of these drivers themselves. Let’s start with anticipated rate cuts. Gold looks more attractive when interest rates are low or expected to be cut. Gold is a non-yielding asset, so it becomes more attractive the lower yields are on other assets such as bonds. So, with the year starting with expectations of several Federal Reserve rate cuts, gold came into focus.

“But the curious case of this year’s gold market rally is that, despite expectations around these rate cuts gradually receding, with more cautious language from the Fed and some less than positive inflation data prints, the gold rally has continued unabated.

“There are several reasons for this. First, the geopolitical climate is increasingly top of mind for investors. The war in Ukraine continues and we’ve seen a potentially dramatic escalation in the Middle East with Israel and Iran launching missile attacks on one another.

“At the same time, we’ve continued to see central banks buying gold for their reserves. This has principally, but not only, been driven by China. This is geopolitics related, as many see the Chinese central bank’s gold buying being driven by a movement among the BRICS countries towards de-dollarisation. But a key point here is that central banks are a potentially less price-sensitive buyer – their demand is driven by other strategic considerations.

“But while gold has rallied, gold ETF and ETC investors have been absent. This is not how it usually works. Inflows into gold ETFs and ETCs have historically been fairly well correlated with the gold price, but this year a gap opened up. US and European investors were selling gold while the price went up. However, latest data from the World Gold Council now shows that in March, there were slight positive inflows in gold ETFs among American investors. Europeans were still selling, but the uptick in gold ETFs in the US does potentially suggest a trend change.”

HANetf is issuer of The Royal Mint Responsibly Sourced Physical Gold ETC (RM8U) and AuAg ESG Gold Mining UCITS ETF (ESGO).

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ETBB ETF en utdelande fond som spårar Euro Stoxx 50

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BNP Paribas Easy EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF (ETBB ETF) med ISIN FR0012740983, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.

BNP Paribas Easy EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF (ETBB ETF) med ISIN FR0012740983, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18 % p.a. ETFen replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i denna ETF delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

BNP Paribas Easy EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF har tillgångar på 144 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETF lanserades den 27 juli 2015 och har sin hemvist i Frankrike.

Handla ETBB ETF

BNP Paribas Easy EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF (ETBB ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Euronext Paris.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURETBB
Stuttgart Stock ExchangeEURETBB
Euronext ParisEURETBB
SIX Swiss ExchangeEURETBB
XETRAEURETBB

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Ny råvaru-ETF från L & G ger tillgång till den breda råvarusektorn via terminskontrakt

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Sedan i torsdags är en ny börshandlad fond utgiven av Legal & General Investment Management handlas på Xetra och Börse Frankfurt. Det är en råvaru-ETF från L & G ger tillgång till den breda råvarusektorn via terminskontrakt.

Sedan i torsdags är en ny börshandlad fond utgiven av Legal & General Investment Management handlas på Xetra och Börse Frankfurt. Det är en råvaru-ETF från L & G ger tillgång till den breda råvarusektorn via terminskontrakt.

L&G Multi-Strategy Enhanced Commodities ex-Agriculture & Livestock UCITS ETF (XEXA) erbjuder investerare tillgång till prestanda för en korg av råvaror från energi-, industri- och ädelmetallsektorerna via terminskontrakt med olika förfallodatum. Sektorn för jordbruk och levande nötkreatur ingår inte.

ETFen är helt säkerställd. Eftersom terminskontrakt har en begränsad löptid stängs de vanligtvis före utgången och rullas över till ett nytt kontrakt med en senare löptid. Beroende på om det köpta terminskontraktet är billigare eller dyrare än det sålda terminskontraktet realiseras rullningsvinster eller rullningsförluster.

NamnISINAvgiftUtdelnings-
policy
Referens-
index
L&G Multi-Strategy Enhanced Commodities ex-Agriculture & Livestock UCITS ETFIE000MQ5XEW10,30%AckumulerandeBarclays Backwardation Tilt Multi-Strategy Ex-Agriculture & Livestock Capped TR Index

Produktutbudet i Deutsche Börses XTF-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 157 ETFer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 14 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer i Europa.

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