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Poised for further weakness?

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USD Poised for further weakness? The EUR/USD and GBP/USD are trading at the top of their respective ranges established after Trump’s election.

ETF Securities Weekly Investment Insights USD Poised for further weakness?

Trade idea – LUSB LN & SUSB LN

Highlights

  • USD has fallen against its major currency counterparts as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) projections fell short of hawkish expectations.
  • The EUR/USD and GBP/USD are trading at the top of their respective ranges established after Trump’s election.
  • Further upside would require a significant catalyst, which could come in the form of a failed attempt to pass healthcare reform in US House of Representatives. In this scenario the GBP has potential to gain as shorts remain considerably elevated.
  • Otherwise, these pairs could retrace recent gains as the probability of rate hikes later in the year appear largely underpriced according to Federal Fund futures.

Last week, the failure of the Fed to raise its prospective interest rate trajectory put pressure on the US Dollar. The trade weighted value of the currency has fallen almost 2% in recent days tracing a 20 basis point (bp) drop in 10 year nominal US treasury yields. Despite raising the benchmark Federal funds rate by 25 bps as expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its December projections for the benchmark rate virtually intact, defying market expectations of a more aggressive tightening plan.

US Dollar weakness has coincided with positive news for the Euro and Sterling sending both pairs higher. Moderating rate hike expectations surfaced as Emmanuel Macron delivered strong performances in the first series of live presidential debates and the UK released healthy retail sales data. The confluence of factors has prompted both pairs to break through both their respective 50 and 100 day moving averages but remain at the top of recent ranges.

From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD have both reached key resistance points that have emerged following the Trump election. Traditional momentum indicators have yet to signal that either pair is overbought but are approaching such levels. A move higher above these levels would likely trigger buying but would require a significant catalyst.

One such catalyst could emerge from the contentious vote on a healthcare reform bill that is scheduled to be held in the House of Representatives today (having been postponed from yesterday) and acts as a precursor to Trump’s ability to pass his sweeping fiscal reform program. Should Trump fail then the US Dollar could come under pressure as optimistic growth and tightening expectations are curbed. In the alternative case where the bill is passed, then prospects for the US Dollar would be more positive. The market is currently pricing in a probability of a June rate hike at 54%, which could rise in coming months and allow the currency to retrace recent losses.

In terms of speculative positioning, shorts against the US Dollar are 70% below their five year average while longs have been trimmed to more reasonable levels. Meanwhile, Euro longs are at record highs and GBP shorts at record lows. In this respect, any further weakness in the US Dollar could be best expressed through GBP. Poised for further weakness?

Important Information

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).

This communication is only targeted at qualified or professional investors.

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iShares Space Technologies UCITS ETF investera bortom jorden

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iShares Space Technologies UCITS ETF Ticker: STAR, ST4R (Kortnamn kan variera beroende på lokala noteringar) Indexet inkluderar ett snabbspår för börsintroduktion, vilket gör det möjligt att lägga till kvalificerade företag

iShares Space Technologies UCITS ETF

Ticker: STAR, ST4R (Kortnamn kan variera beroende på lokala noteringar)

TER: 0,50 %

ISIN: IE000A9G9R73

Jämförelseindex: STOXX Global Space Satellites and Drones Index

Rymdindustrin befinner sig i en brytpunkt, då tillgången till rymdindustrin skiftar från rent statligt ledda program till en bredare blandning av myndigheter och välkapitaliserade offentliga och privata aktörer.

iShares Space Technologies UCITS ETF (ST4R) fångar hela värdekedjan i denna expanderande rymdekonomi, inklusive snabbare börsintroduktioner, från uppskjutningsleverantörer och återanvändbara tekniker som sänker kostnaden för tillgång till omloppsbana, till satellitoperatörer och de efterföljande tillämpningar som är beroende av rymdbaserad infrastruktur.

Varför ST4R?

  1. Ren tematisk exponering

ST4R investerar i företag som genererar minst 25 % av intäkterna från rymd-, drönar- eller satellitverksamhet, vilket säkerställer en tydlig tematisk anpassning*.

  1. Positionera investeringar i centrum för Artemis-erans ekosystem

ST4R fångar upp företag som drar nytta av den expanderande rymdekonomin, understödd av statliga program, försvarsutgifter och accelererande privata investeringar*.

  1. Snabbspår för ledare

Indexet inkluderar ett snabbspår för börsintroduktion, vilket gör det möjligt att lägga till kvalificerade företag genom ad hoc- eller extraordinära ombalanseringar efter notering.

Handla ST4R ETF

iShares Space Technologies UCITS ETF är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

HÄMTA FONDINFORMATION >

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JIPD ETF delar ut månadsvis

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JPM US Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF EUR Dist (JIPD ETF) med ISIN IE000RE0SQM6, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond (ETF). Delfondens mål är att generera inkomst och långsiktig kapitaltillväxt. Delfonden strävar efter att

JPM US Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF EUR Dist (JIPD ETF) med ISIN IE000RE0SQM6, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond (ETF). Delfondens mål är att generera inkomst och långsiktig kapitaltillväxt. Delfonden strävar efter att

(i) investera i en portfölj av aktier som huvudsakligen består av företag som har sitt säte i, eller bedriver huvuddelen av sin ekonomiska verksamhet i, USA, och
(ii) sälja aktieköpoptioner och/eller aktieindexköpoptioner för att generera inkomst genom tillhörande utdelningar och optionspremier.

Den börshandlade fondens totala kostnadskvot (TER) uppgår till 0,35 % per år. Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till andelsägarna månadsvis.

JPM US Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF EUR Dist är en mycket liten ETF med 25 miljon euro i förvaltat kapital. ETFen lanserades den 6 november 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland. Denna ETF använder sig av fysisk replikering. Den börshandlade fonden använder sig av fysisk replikering.

Handla JIPD ETF

JPM US Equity Premium Income Active UCITS ETF EUR Dist (JIPD ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
XetraEURJIPD
Borsa Italiana S.P.A.EURJIPD

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Quantum computers can’t break bitcoin. Yet.

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21Shares have published a new report examining what the quantum threat actually looks like for digital assets, including the timeline, the potential exposure, the prep required, and what this all might mean for asset allocators.

21Shares have published a new report examining what the quantum threat actually looks like for digital assets, including the timeline, the potential exposure, the prep required, and what this all might mean for asset allocators.

The exposure is larger than most appreciate. Between 4 million and 6.9 million bitcoin have permanently visible account numbers, aka public addresses and public keys, making them vulnerable to a quantum attack. Nearly every active Ethereum account and every Solana account face the same structural exposure.

The timeline shifted in March. On March 31, Google’s quantum team, alongside researchers from the Ethereum Foundation and Stanford, published findings showing the computing power needed to break this encryption is around 20x lower than the field previously believed.

You can’t prepare adequately for a quantum break if you determine that one is six months or a year ahead. You have to act before there’s a real perceived risk – but by definition that means sounding the alarm ’too early’.

The good news is that network preparation is further along than most investors realize. Bitcoin took its first step in Feb 2026 with the merger of BIP-360, a quantum-resistant address proposal. Ethereum has working code and ten independent teams building toward network migration. Solana has a path most observers have missed entirely.

The window is narrowing, but it hasn’t closed. Download full report

Follow for more quantum content.

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If you have any questions or want to discuss a product in detail, please visit our website at www.21shares.com

Research Newsletter

Each month the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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