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Health, Happiness, and Higher Rates

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Health, Happiness, and Higher Rates. Now that the Fed has raised rates, there is more to celebrate than the holidays. Not only is the U.S. economy stronger, but 2016 may bring unique opportunities.

Health, Happiness, and Higher Rates. Now that the Fed has raised rates, there is more to celebrate than the holidays. Not only is the U.S. economy stronger, but 2016 may bring unique opportunities.

Watch Now  

https://youtube.com/watch?v=v6XgzP9DmXA

Video Transcript

TOM BUTCHER: After much anticipation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it is raising short-term interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Jan, it looks as if we are wishing our clients health, happiness, and now higher rates this holiday season.

JAN VAN ECK: I think it is indeed a reason to celebrate because I think the Fed is saying that the U.S. economy is strong enough to withstand a normalization of monetary policy. It started a year ago with a roll-off of QE3, i.e., the third round of quantitative easing. Now it seems that the Fed is comfortable enough with U.S. labor statistics and the global economic situation, which had caused the Fed to delay this rate hike a couple of times in 2015. First, I think turbulence in Europe and the strengthening U.S. dollar against the euro concerned the Fed; then came [stock market] turbulence in China over the summer. Now there is reason to celebrate and things are relatively good.

The question is: What are the implications of the rate hike on our asset classes? I think there are few direct implications. With respect to commodities, there is still much consolidation that needs to wipe through the markets, and if a normal cycle is upon us, commodities should bottom in the first quarter of 2016 [see 11/25 post]. We think that this process will continue largely unaffected by the Fed’s rate hike.

Additionally, growth is slow in the developed markets and China is slowing; global growth has been weak for two years now. There are many headwinds, and we think these trends will persist as well.

What gets us excited for 2016 is what we call growth spots, meaning sectors in different countries that may grow 20% or more, regardless of whether global growth is only 2%. That’s how we are looking at 2016, and the Fed’s interest rate hike doesn’t really impact that outlook.

BUTCHER: Thank you very much.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE

This content is published in the United States for residents of specified countries. Investors are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this content. Nothing in this content should be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell shares of any investment in any jurisdiction where the offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction, nor is it intended as investment, tax, financial, or legal advice. Investors should seek such professional advice for their particular situation and jurisdiction. You can obtain more specific information on Van Eck Global strategies by visiting Investment Strategies.

The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker(s) and are current as of the posting date. Commentaries are general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice. Opinions are subject to change with market conditions. All performance information is historical and is not a guarantee of future results.

Please note that Van Eck Securities Corporation offers investment portfolios that invest in the asset class(es) mentioned in this post and video.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment strategy carefully before investing. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Van Eck Securities Corporation. © Van Eck Global.

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Deutsche Börse välkomnar TEQ Capital som ny ETF-utgivare

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Från och med förra torsdagen handlas den första börshandlade fonden som emitterats av TEQ Capital på Deutsche Börse.

Från och med förra torsdagen handlas den första börshandlade fonden som emitterats av TEQ Capital på Deutsche Börse.

TEQ – General Artificial Intelligence EUR UCITS ETF erbjuder investerare fokuserad exponering mot globalt noterade företag som bidrar avsevärt till utveckling, implementering och kommersialisering av generell artificiell intelligens (General AI). Generell AI avser en form av artificiell intelligens som – till skillnad från specialiserad ”smal” AI – kan tillämpa kunskap flexibelt inom ett brett spektrum av intellektuella uppgifter och uppnå prestanda på mänsklig nivå eller till och med övermänsklig nivå.

Upp till 100 företag kommer att väljas ut från fem kärnteknikkategorier längs den allmänna AI-värdekedjan: ledande AI-utvecklare och molnleverantörer, AI-chip, AI-tillverkning, datorinfrastruktur samt dataplattformar och IT-säkerhetslösningar.

NamnISIN
Kortnamn
AvgiftUtdelnings-
policy
TEQ – General Artificial Intelligence EUR UCITS ETF (Acc)LU3098954871
TGAI (EUR)
0,69%Ackumulerande

Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 683 ETFer, 203 ETCer och 286 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 29,4 miljarder euro är Deutsche Börse Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.

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ESAH ETF ger exponering mot amerikanska småbolag

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BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA Small Cap Min TE UCITS ETF USD Acc (ESAH ETF) med ISIN IE000ZME9TM4, syftar till att följa MSCI USA Small Cap Select Filtered Min TE-indexet. MSCI USA Small Cap Select Filtered Min TE-indexet följer amerikanska småbolagsaktier. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljömässiga, sociala och bolagsstyrningsaspekter). Indexet syftar också till att minimera spårningsfelet i förhållande till moderindexet (MSCI USA Small Cap).

BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA Small Cap Min TE UCITS ETF USD Acc (ESAH ETF) med ISIN IE000ZME9TM4, syftar till att följa MSCI USA Small Cap Select Filtered Min TE-indexet. MSCI USA Small Cap Select Filtered Min TE-indexet följer amerikanska småbolagsaktier. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljömässiga, sociala och bolagsstyrningsaspekter). Indexet syftar också till att minimera spårningsfelet i förhållande till moderindexet (MSCI USA Small Cap).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total expense ratio) uppgår till 0,25 % per år. BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA Small Cap Min TE UCITS ETF USD Acc är den billigaste och största ETF som följer MSCI USA Small Cap Select Filtered Min TE-indexet. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets utveckling genom fullständig replikering (genom att köpa alla indexkomponenter). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 16 maj 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland.

Handla ESAH ETF

BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA Small Cap Min TE UCITS ETF USD Acc (ESAH ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

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XETRAUSDESAH

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BTC and ETH: price predictions minus the crystal ball

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Welcome to the State of Crypto Weekly, an investor-focused newsletter from 21shares that dives into the key trends driving the digital asset landscape.

Welcome to the State of Crypto Weekly, an investor-focused newsletter from 21shares that dives into the key trends driving the digital asset landscape.

This week, we’re unveiling our Price Predictions series, unpacking the key drivers for the year ahead:

  • Where is Bitcoin headed in 2026?
  • Why we think Ethereum can go up to $4,200 this year, and what could drag it down to $1,700.

And, should you find yourself in Davos this week, we would love to connect with you. If you’re up for combining alpine views with crypto conversation, please reach out to our President Duncan Moir, Research Strategist Darius Moukhtarzadeh, or Head of Northern Europe Bernhard Wenger.

Predicting prices is arguably the financial world’s favorite game. In the cryptocurrency market, that interest is multiplied by historical narratives around volatility and market reactions. But what really drives prices? And what do we think is on the cards for Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2026?

WHERE IS BITCOIN HEADED IN 2026?

ETF gravity vs. Macro ceiling

The halving’s influence has peaked. By early 2026, Bitcoin’s price will no longer be driven by this supply shift but by how effectively long-term holders absorb sell-offs from ETFs during shifts in the global economy.

WHY WE THINK ETHEREUM CAN GO UP TO $4,200 THIS YEAR…

And what could drag it down to $1,700

Price action is now driven less by the ultrasound money narrative that shaped Ethereum from 2021-2023 and more by ETF flows and whether real economic throughput on Ethereum can translate into sustainable, profitable consumer applications.

This shift has accelerated over the past quarter as Ethereum’s position as the preferred venue for stablecoins and tokenized assets has further consolidated.

In case you missed it

21shares in the world

Commenting on lower inflation data in the US

Crypto research strategist Matt Mena was quoted on CoinDesk: “This morning’s CPI report has provided the definitive anchor the market needed to clear the lingering data fog from late 2025. Core CPI coming in lower than expected reinforces the Fed’s soft landing narrative and increases chances of further cuts this year, even amid political noise around the DOJ’s investigation into Chair Powell.”

Matt was also quoted on Forbes: ”This Supreme Court ruling on federal tariff authority will be a massive volatility driver for both the dollar and risk assets.”

On our radar

What we’re keeping an eye on

Catch Bruna on CNN Brasil

Our senior sales associate, Bruna Cabús, will be on CNN Brasil tomorrow, Tuesday, at 7:30 PM BRT to talk about crypto. In the meantime, connect with her on LinkedIn.

Darius in Davos

Our very own crypto research strategist Darius Moukhtarzadeh will be speaking at Web3 Hub in Davos on Thursday, January 22.

Connect with us today

If you have any questions or want to discuss a product in detail, please visit our website at www.21shares.com

Digitala valutor

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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