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ETC Group Crypto Market Compass #25 2024

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ETC Group Crypto Market Compass #25 2024 Last week, cryptoassets underperformed traditional assets as risks to global growth are increasing

• Last week, cryptoassets underperformed traditional assets as risks to global growth are increasing

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” continues to fluctuate around neutral levels of sentiment

• Global growth expectations as priced by traditional financial markets have plunged to the lowest level since March 2023 which has negatively affected Cryptoasset Sentiment as well


Chart of the Week

Performance

Last week, cryptoassets underperformed traditional assets such as equities and bonds as risks to global growth are increasing.

In fact, global growth expectations as priced by traditional financial markets have plunged to the lowest level since March 2023 when Silicon Valley Bank collapsed. This has affected overall Cryptoasset Sentiment negatively as well (Chart-of-the-Week). This was accompanied by persistent net outflows from global crypto ETPs as well.

Nonetheless, major US equity indices continued to rallye to new all-time highs although the outperformance of both Bunds and gold vis-à-vis equities hints at some safe-haven demand.

One of the major reasons why global growth expectations are being revised downwards is the fact that US economic data have continued to underwhelm consensus expectations. The Bloomberg US ECO Surprise Index, which measures how important macro data releases have over- or underwhelmed expectations, has decreased to the lowest level since 2019. It appears as if the market is generally catching up to this worsening macro environment.

Although major equity benchmark indices like the S&P 500 have not shown any weakness, cyclical macro trades such as the AUD/JPY exchange rate, US cyclicals/defensives stock sectors, copper/gold are already signalling that the outlook for global growth is weakening.

A recent rise in French sovereign risks amid political developments in France is also contributing to higher macro uncertainty. French 5-year Credit Default Swaps (CDS) that insure against a default of the French government have increased to the highest level since May 2020 as the market is increasingly discounting the possibility of a so-called “FREXIT” – an exit of France from the EU and the Eurozone.

In this context, Bitcoin can be viewed as a hedge against sovereign default since it is a counterparty risk-free and censorship-resistant decentralized network. We have presented this kind of sovereign default hedge model in our latest Bitcoin Investment Case report as well.

Further repricing of global growth expectations to the downside amid increasing US recession risks could be a continuing headwind for Bitcoin and cryptoassets in the short term as there tends to be high correlation between our Cryptoasset Sentiment Index and changes in Global Growth Expectations (Chart-of-the-Week).

In this context, it is also important to highlight that changes in global growth expectations have been the most dominant macro factor over the past 6 months, explaining over 80% of the performance variation in Bitcoin over that period.

However, we continue to believe that the recent correction is not a cyclical top, but rather an intermediate correction in the bull market, which is why we suggest using any kind of macro weakness as an opportunity to add exposure ahead of very important developments in the coming months.

One of the main reasons is that we still expect the positive performance effects from the Bitcoin Halving to take effect from summer onwards as explained in one of our Crypto Market Espresso reports.

Moreover, recent comments by SEC chairman Gary Gensler imply that spot Ethereum ETFs in the US are likely going to be launched earlier than September. This is bound to support Ethereum’s performance as well as explained here.

In addition, the recent monetary policy actions by the ECB and Bank of Canada signal that the liquidity tide is already turning which is bound to be a very significant tailwind for Bitcoin and cryptoassets over the medium to long term as explained here. A likely US recession renders a U-turn in Fed monetary policy very likely as well.

Last but not least, the latest political developments in the US show that the political consensus is moving towards a mainstream acceptance of cryptoassets. For instance, Joe Biden’s presidential campaign has recently started to accept crypto payments for campaign financing as well.

Moreover, Joe Biden’s administration will attend a Bitcoin roundtable with congressional officials in DC in order to discuss how to keep Bitcoin and blockchain innovation inside the U.S.

These developments follow recent pledges by Trump to support Bitcoin mining in the US.

In general, among the top 10 crypto assets, Toncoin, XRP, and Ethereum were the relative outperformers.

Overall, altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin has rebounded significantly compared to the prior week, with around 60% of our tracked altcoins managing to outperform Bitcoin on a weekly basis. This is consistent with the fact that Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin by approximately 200 bps last week, which is generally a sentiment gauge for the overall altcoin market.

Sentiment

Despite the recent price correction, our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Index” continues to fluctuate around neutral levels of sentiment.

At the moment, 5 out of 15 indicators are above their short-term trend.

Last week, there were significant reversals to the upside in the altseason index and in the BTC long futures liquidation dominance.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index signals ”Greed” as of this morning.

Performance dispersion among cryptoassets still remains very low. Most altcoins are still trading in line with Bitcoin.

Altcoin outperformance vis-à-vis Bitcoin has increased significantly compared to the week prior, with around 60% of our tracked altcoins outperforming Bitcoin on a weekly basis, which is consistent with the fact that Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin last week.

In general, increasing (decreasing) altcoin outperformance tends to be a sign of increasing (decreasing) risk appetite within cryptoasset markets and the latest altcoin outperformance could signal increasing appetite for risk at the moment.

Meanwhile, sentiment in traditional financial markets has plunged to the lowest level since November 2023, judging by our own measure of Cross Asset Risk Appetite (CARA).

Fund Flows

Last week, we saw a significant turnaround in net fund flows into global crypto ETPs with around -647.1 mn USD in net outflows.

Global Bitcoin ETPs saw net outflows of -637.1 mn USD last week, of which -580.6 mn USD (net) were related to US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone. Over the past 5 trading days, 4 days have shown negative net outflows.

Flows into Hong Kong spot Bitcoin ETFs were almost flat, with minor net inflows of around +0.3 mn USD, according to data provided by Bloomberg.

The ETC Group Physical Bitcoin ETP (BTCE) saw minor net outflows equivalent to -5.1 mn USD while the ETC Group Core Bitcoin ETP (BTC1) saw net inflows of +0.2 mn USD last week.

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw accelerating net outflows with approximately -274.4 mn USD last week. Although iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) continued to see net inflows (+41.6 mn USD) last week, other major US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows, e.g. FBTC with around -146.3 mn USD in net outflows.

Global Ethereum ETPs also saw a reversal in flows last week, with net outflows totalling -10.9 mn USD.

However, the ETC Group Physical Ethereum ETP (ZETH) continued to see net inflows of +0.2 mn USD last week. The ETC Group Ethereum Staking ETP (ET32) saw neither in- nor outflows last week (+/- 0 mn USD).

Altcoin ETPs ex Ethereum were the only investment vehicles that experienced net inflows of around +4.8 mn USD last week.

Lastly, Thematic & basket crypto ETPs continue to see minor net outflows of -3.9 mn USD, based on our calculations. The ETC Group MSCI Digital Assets Select 20 ETP (DA20) defied negative market trends and managed to attract +0.4 mn USD in net inflows last week.

Meanwhile, global crypto hedge funds continued to trim down their market exposure to Bitcoin aggressively. The beta of global crypto hedge funds’ performance has declined to only 0.59 over the past 20 trading days.

On-Chain Data

Before last week, we observed that net buying volumes on Bitcoin spot exchanges was negative despite ongoing net inflows into global Bitcoin ETPs. The negative volumes have even accelerated last week with -810 mn USD more selling than buying volume on BTC spot exchanges.

While exchanges continue to see net outflows overall, whales have consistently transferred BTC to exchanges on a net basis which has certainly increased selling pressure from large investors.

Whales are defined as network entities that control at least 1,000 BTC. The absolute number of whales has also declined last week which also supports the observation that whales have been distributing coins. Nonetheless, overall exchange balances for both BTC and ETH continue to hover near multi-year lows.

Meanwhile, there is some evidence that BTC miners have also started distributing some coins. However, these distributions appear not to be happening via exchanges but over-the-counter (OTC). OTC daily miner selling volumes have recently spiked to the highest level since March according to data provided by CryptoQuant. There has also been in a minor uptick in BTC miner transfers to exchanges last week and BTC aggregate miner balances have reached the lowest level since April 2019 according to data provided by Glassnode.

The risk is that miner transfers could accelerate if the market continued to trade lower and decrease below many miners marginal cost of production.

In general, Bitcoin network hash rate is still around -8% lower than at the Halving on the 20th of April. So, Bitcoin miners still have not managed to increase their hash rate signalling ongoing economic headwinds. It is interesting to note that based on data provided by the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance the average efficiency of the global Bitcoin mining fleet has significantly increased since the Halving as the energy consumption per hash has declined from around 80 Joules per terahash (J/Th) to around 26.4 J/Th.

This implies that miners have already shut off and replaced a significant proportion of inefficient mining hardware following the latest Halving which means that the risk of a significant miner capitulation are rather low.

Futures, Options & Perpetuals

Last week, both BTC futures and perpetuals open interest declined somewhat as traders pared down their derivatives exposure. Open interest on CME also declined significantly by around -10k BTC. Meanwhile, both short and long liquidations stayed relatively but the market swung from a dominance in long liquidations to a dominance in short liquidations in a very short period.

This reduction in open interest seems to be consistent with a decline in the Bitcoin futures basis by almost 200 bps compared to the week prior. Meanwhile, the weighted average of perpetual funding rates continued to be positive throughout the week which signals that the recent price correction has not yet induced any kind of short-term capitulation among BTC futures traders.

Bitcoin options’ open interest increased slightly over the course of last week. The slight increase in relative put-call open interest ratios implies that this increase was mostly driven by an increase in put open interest on a net basis. A put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying at a specific price in the future. Relative put-call volume ratios also increased throughout the week which supports this observation. So, BTC option traders have overall increased their downside bets/hedges last week on a net basis.

The increase in the 25-delta BTC 1-month option skew also corroborates the view that there was increased demand for puts relative to calls.

However, BTC option implied volatilities decreased significantly last week. Implied volatilities of 1-month ATM Bitcoin options are currently at around 45.9% p.a.


Bottom Line

• Last week, cryptoassets underperformed traditional assets as risks to global growth are increasing

• Our in-house “Cryptoasset Sentiment Indicator” continues to fluctuate around neutral levels of sentiment

• Global growth expectations as priced by traditional financial markets have plunged to the lowest level since March 2023 which has negatively affected Cryptoasset Sentiment as well


To read our Crypto Market Compass in full, please click the button below:

This is not investment advice. Capital at risk. Read the full disclaimer

© ETC Group 2019-2024 | All rights reserved

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From digital asset to safe haven: Why is Bitcoin acting like gold?

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Bitcoin’s price has taken a different path from U.S. stocks over the past weeks. While major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced declines, Bitcoin has risen to its highest levels in recent months, positioning itself as a safe haven, similar to gold. Understand how Bitcoin and gold have been synced for some time and what the correlation might look like in the future.

Bitcoin’s price has taken a different path from U.S. stocks over the past weeks. While major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced declines, Bitcoin has risen to its highest levels in recent months, positioning itself as a safe haven, similar to gold. Understand how Bitcoin and gold have been synced for some time and what the correlation might look like in the future.

Ethereum’s big reboot: Why investors should be excited

Ethereum is making headlines due to a potential change in its core software, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), that operates across thousands of computers, enabling Ethereum to execute smart contracts and securely track transactions. However, Ethereum’s co-founder, Vitalik Buterin, has suggested replacing the EVM with a new system called RISC-V. Discover why the change is necessary and its potential impact on investors.

Thousands of altcoins, but no altcoin season: What comes next?

Over the past year, the crypto market has entered a new era. Bitcoin hit new all-time highs, outperforming other cryptocurrencies and decoupling from the stock market. Unlike previous cycles, the expected “altcoin season” did not occur, with Bitcoin remaining strong and money not flowing into other cryptocurrencies or altcoins. So, the big question is: Has altcoin season run its course?

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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WELC ETF ger exponering mot företag inom sällanköpsvaror

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Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) med ISIN IE00061J0RC6, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från den diskretionära konsumentsektorn. ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning) beaktas vid valet av värdepapper.

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) med ISIN IE00061J0RC6, strävar efter att spåra S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary-indexet spårar stora och medelstora företag från den diskretionära konsumentsektorn. ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning) beaktas vid valet av värdepapper.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18% p.a.. Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) är en mycket liten ETF med 5 miljoner euro förvaltade tillgångar. Denna ETF lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ESG UCITS ETF DR – EUR (D) försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet för S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Consumer Discretionary Index (Netto Total Return Index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omvikta företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket.

Handla WELC ETF

Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF DR EUR (D) (WELC ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURWELC
XETRAUSDWEL2
XETRAEURWELC

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

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AMAZON.COM INCUSD18.89 %Sällanköpsvaror
TESLA INCUSD13.29 %Sällanköpsvaror
HOME DEPOT INCUSD5.75 %Sällanköpsvaror
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LOWE S COS INC COM US 0.50USD2.38 %Sällanköpsvaror
SONY GROUP CORP (JT)JPY2.25 %Sällanköpsvaror
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Introduction to Celestia

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To understand Celestia’s value and its role in the ecosystem, it's helpful to first understand how traditional blockchain systems are structured.

To understand Celestia’s value and its role in the ecosystem, it’s helpful to first understand how traditional blockchain systems are structured.

Most blockchains, like Ethereum or Bitcoin, are monolithic which means they perform all major functions (consensus, data availability, and execution) on a single layer. This design ensures security but according to new modular networks, limits scalability and flexibility.

The modular blockchain thesis, which Celestia is leading, proposes separation of layers and respective responsibilities in the network. Instead of having one network and its validators perform all of its functions, it may be better to have specialized layers:

• Consensus Layer: Ensures that all nodes agree on the order of transactions.

Data Availability Layer: Ensures transaction data is accessible to all participants.

• Execution Layer: Processes the actual logic and computation of smart contracts.

By unbundling these components, developers can build more efficient, flexible systems that scale far beyond what monolithic blockchains can support. Not all applications need similar levels of security and not all applications need to scale up to millions of transactions. Additionally, one application might be scaling beyond the capabilities of its host network, severely effecting the available data throughput of other applications. This limits developers to the monolithic technology stack provided by a virtual machine such as Ethereum’ EVM.

The Issue of Data Availability

One of the most misunderstood yet crucial components of any blockchain is data availability. In simple terms, it ensures that the data behind each block is fully accessible and verifiable by all participants in the network. Another way to describe it is as the confidence a user can have that the data required to verify a block is really available to all network participants. Data availability is therefore important to all stakeholders of the blockchain ecosystem.

If a block producer withholds data, then nodes cannot verify the block, which leads to potential censorship or fraud.

Traditionally, a blockchain network can offer data availability with the following mechanisms:

• Full Replication: Every node stores the entire blockchain and verifies all data. Secure but not quite scalable.

• Sharding: Breaks the blockchain into smaller pieces (shards), spreading data across nodes. Scalable but highly complex to implement.

• Committee-Based Models: Small groups of nodes are trusted to verify data availability. Efficient, but less decentralized.

Celestia takes a completely different approach using a novel method called Data Availability Sampling (DAS). Instead of requiring every node to download all data, DAS allows lightweight nodes to randomly sample small chunks of a block. If enough pieces are retrievable, the node can confidently assume the full block is available. This slashes resource requirements while maintaining security and decentralization.

Why Data Availability Matters

Data availability might sound like a nerdy technical term, but it’s one of the most important yet one of less invisible parts of how blockchains work.

Let’s say you’re using a crypto app to trade tokens, store art, or move money. Every time you do something, that action (also referred to as a transaction) needs to be recorded and shared with the rest of the network so everyone agrees it happened. If that data disappears or can’t be verified, the whole system becomes untrustworthy. You might think your tokens moved but if no one else can see that record or a different version of that record, it’s as if it never happened.

Here’s a real-life parallel: imagine a public scoreboard at a sports game. If the scorekeeper shows the score to only a few people and then hides the board, how can the rest of the crowd trust the result? Everyone needs to see the score to believe it’s fair. In crypto, data availability is what makes sure the scoreboard is always visible to all participants at any time.

How DAS Changes the Game

Traditionally, ensuring data availability meant every node had to download and verify the entire block of data for any purpose related to particular data inside the block, like reading a whole newspaper just to check one article. Ethereum and most competing monolithic layer-1’s operate this way. It works, but it’s expensive, slow, and becomes less practical as blockchains scale in terms of data throughput required by its Dapps therefore limiting the types of applications that developers can build.

Celestia’s Data Availability Sampling (DAS) is a breakthrough that lets even simple devices (like smartphones) verify that a block’s data is available—by checking just a few random pieces. If enough pieces are found and correct, the network can be confident the full block is truly there and correct.

This innovation means:

• Light clients can safely participate in the network without downloading everything.

• Rollups and app-chains can post their data to Celestia with minimal overhead.

• Scalability skyrockets without sacrificing decentralization.

Celestia’s Role in Scaling Applications

Celestia is the first blockchain designed specifically to be a modular data availability layer. That means it doesn’t execute smart contracts or handle transactions directly, instead, it provides a foundation for others to build new networks, also referred to as rollups.

Developers can launch rollups or full execution environments, and use Celestia to handle the consensus and data availability side. This unlocks several key benefits:

• Massive scalability: Apps can scale independently from each other.

• Customization: Developers choose their own virtual machines, consensus mechanism and execution logic.

• Decentralization: Thanks to DAS, even small devices can validate the system.

This approach flips the script on how we think about launching and scaling blockchains. Instead of competing for space on a monolithic chain, apps get their own chains, backed by Celestia’s secure and scalable data availability layer while giving developers full stack control over their applications.

Celestia Enables Scalability and Offers Full-Stack Control

Using the restaurant example from Sui vs Aptos. Imagine a big, busy restaurant where the chefs, waiters, and cashiers all work in the same small kitchen. It gets crowded, orders take forever, and sometimes things go wrong while the backlog of orders keeps growing. That’s how traditional blockchains work, doing everything in one place.

Now imagine if the restaurant separated the jobs: the chefs cook in a big kitchen, waiters serve from a clean dining area, and the cashiers handle payments at the front desk. Everything runs smoother, faster, and the restaurant can grow in a environment that is less prone to congestion. That is what Celestia is doing for blockchains. Let’s say a small specialty restaurant opens up next door, leveraging Celestia’s register and order management system. That new restaurant can fully focus on delivering the best food and experience to customers, knowing that Celestia’s technology won’t be the limiting factor when scaling up their kitchen. The modularity that Celestia’s restaurant offers is allowing a lot of small scale restaurants to exist without the overhead of individual administrative work. It goes even a step further, Celestia allows you to just use it register while letting smaller restaurants pick their own kitchen (execution environment) and order management system (consensus layer).

In conclusion, Celestia is challenging the believe that blockchains should always be monolithic and blockchains need to offer the same technology stack to all developers on its chain. It is a significant leap forward in the crypto ecosystem and opens possibilities that were previously not feasible.

Diversify Crypto Exposure to Modular Blockchain Technology with the VanEck Celestia ETN

Key features of the VanEck Celestia ETN

• Celestia enables secure scaling of blockchain applications with modular technology.

• Fully-collateralized by TIA in cold-storage.

• Total return of TIA: Tracks the MarketVector™ Celestia VWAP Close Index (MVTIAV).

Why VanEck Crypto ETNs? Here’s why:

• With nearly 70 years in asset management and a strong track record in crypto, we bring deep industry knowledge and proven reliability.

• We combine traditional financial strengths with cutting-edge crypto innovation, backed by a CEO who truly believes in crypto’s future.

• We ensure clarity in our product structures and avoid high-risk or opaque practices, with assets fully backed by cryptocurrency in secure cold storage.

• Our assets are secured by a licensed European bank in Liechtenstein, providing top-tier compliance and security.

• We use the safest institutional custody setup available, prioritizing your security over cost savings.

Crypto is an asset class with high potential returns but investing in digital assets comes with great risk, why choose products that potentially introduce even more risks? Choose VanEck for a secure, transparent, and expertly managed crypto investment experience.

Main Risk Factors:

Investors should note that there is no direct ownership for the crypto assets, but a claim against Issuer to receive such assets.

• Complexity risk: The complexity of the project and its technological concepts make it challenging to assess its viability and valuation.

Adoption risk: Celestia introduces additional adoption risk as it is uncertain if the concept of modular blockchains will succeed.

Technology risk: Celestia introduces additional technology risk due to the technology being less mature and therefore could be more prone to bugs and exploits.

Regulatory Risk: market disruptions and governmental interventions may make digital assets illegal.

Risk of Losses and Volatility: The trading prices of many digital assets have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. There is a risk of total loss as no guarantee can be made regarding custody due to hacking risk, counterparty risk and market risk.

• Other risks specific to this ETN’s Digital Assets can also be found on the VanEck Crypto Academy.

This is not financial research but the opinion of the author of the article. We publish this information to inform and educate about recent market developments and technological updates, not to give any recommendation for certain products or projects. The selection of articles should therefore not be understood as financial advice or recommendation for any specific product and/or digital asset. We may occasionally include analysis of past market, network performance expectations and/or on-chain performance. Historical performance is not indicative for future returns.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

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This information originates from VanEck (Europe) GmbH, Kreuznacher Strasse 30, 60486 Frankfurt am Main, Deutschland and VanEck Switzerland AG, Genferstrasse 21, 8002 Zurich, Switzerland.

It is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice. VanEck (Europe) GmbH and its associated and affiliated companies (together “VanEck”) assume no liability with regards to any investment, divestment or retention decision taken by the investor on the basis of this information. Views and opinions expressed are current as of the date of this information and are subject to change with market conditions. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward looking statements, which do not reflect actual results. VanEck makes no representation or warranty, express or implied regarding the advisability of investing in securities or digital assets generally or in the product mentioned in this information (the “Product”) or the ability of the underlying Index to track the performance of the relevant digital assets market.

Investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal up to the entire invested amount and the extreme volatility that ETNs experience. You must read the prospectus and KID before investing, in order to fully understand the potential risks and rewards associated with the decision to invest in the Product. The approved Prospectus is available at www.vaneck.com. Please note that the approval of the prospectus should not be understood as an endorsement of the Products offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market.

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Investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal up to the entire invested amount and the extreme volatility that ETNs experience. You must read the prospectus and KID before investing, in order to fully understand the potential risks and rewards associated with the decision to invest in the Product. The approved Prospectus is available at www.vaneck.com. Please note that the approval of the prospectus should not be understood as an endorsement of the Products offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market.

Performance quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results and which may be lower or higher than current performance.

Current performance may be lower or higher than average annual returns shown. Performance shows 12 month performance to the most recent Quarter end for each of the last 5yrs where available. E.g. ’1st year’ shows the most recent of these 12-month periods and ’2nd year’ shows the previous 12 month period and so on. Performance data is displayed in Base Currency terms, with net income reinvested, net of fees. Brokerage or transaction fees will apply. Investment return and the principal value of an investment will fluctuate. Notes may be worth more or less than their original cost when redeemed.

Index returns are not ETN returns and do not reflect any management fees or brokerage expenses. An index’s performance is not illustrative of the ETN’s performance. Investors cannot invest directly in the Index. Indices are not securities in which investments can be made.No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of VanEck.

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