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Cryptoassets of the Month: MATIC, SOL, and More
Every month, our research team will present the cryptoassets of the month that increased or dropped in value by more than 15%. With a data-driven approach, we highlight the most important developments and events causing price movements.
Figure 1 – 30-Day Performance: Cryptoassets of the Month vs. Traditional Asset Classes
Data Source: Messari and Yahoo Finance, from 15-Oct-2022 to 14-Nov-2022 (Close Price)
Polygon (MATIC)
16.10%
Polygon’s native token MATIC rose 16.10% in the past month as the platform made massive strides toward mainstream adoption. On November 2, Meta announced that creators would soon be able to mint, buy, and sell Polygon-based NFTs on Instagram. On the same day, as part of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)’s Project Guardian, JP Morgan completed its first live blockchain trade against a liquidity pool of tokenized JPY and SGD deposits using a modified version of Aave on Polygon. In December last year, our very own Director of Research pointed out, ”Polygon is really the sleeping giant. Your favorite apps will all be accessible there in the coming year”. Indeed, Polygon’s multifaceted approach to scaling Ethereum has paid off this year.
Aave (AAVE)
-17.95%
Aave (AAVE) traded down 17.95% over the past month. JP Morgan executed its first live DeFi trade using a modified version of the Aave protocol in Polygon. This event represents a significant step toward bringing traditional financial assets into DeFi, fully realizing the opportunities afforded by smart contracts. In another exciting development, Aave companies announced that they would experiment with the first testnet deployment of GHO, a fully collateralized dollar-pegged stablecoin governed by AAVE holders. Finally, a proposal to deploy Aave on zkSync 2.0, a protocol using zero-knowledge proofs to scale Ethereum, passed.
Algorand (ALGO)
18.18%
Algorand’s native token ALGO traded down 18.18% over the past month despite ecosystem traction. On November 10, the Algorand Foundation launched a series of bounties hosted on Immunefi. The bounties, which feature payouts up to $2 million, are focused on enhancing the security of the core protocol and the ecosystem’s DeFi applications. In addition, FIFA recently launched ”FIFA+ Collect” on Algorand’s blockchain. This digital marketplace allows football fans worldwide to buy and sell 2022 World Cup digital collectibles (NFTs), which will take place between November 20 and December 18 in Qatar.
Solana (SOL)
52.75%
Solana’s native token SOL traded down 52.75% over the past month. On November 2, a CoinDesk report showed that Alameda Research had roughly $1.2 billion worth of SOL in its balance sheet, equivalent to 10% of the cryptoasset’s circulating supply. The now-bankrupt trading firm sold off large amounts of SOL in a failed attempt to raise liquidity, triggering a liquidation cascade. Despite these setbacks, Solana’s ecosystem has achieved escape velocity. In addition to Polygon, Meta also integrated support for Solana-based NFTs, allowing Instagram and Facebook users to connect their accounts directly to their Phantom wallet. Then, on November 5, Google Cloud announced that they were running a Solana validator and would add support for the blockchain in BigQuery next year.
FTX Token (FTT)
93.60%
FTX Token (FTT) traded down 93.60% over the past month due to FTX’s insolvency. FTT provided various benefits to users of the now-bankrupt FTX crypto exchange. On November 2, CoinDesk leaked Alameda’s balance sheet, showing that $5.2 billion of the trading firm’s $14.6 billion of assets (36%) were held in FTT. In light of these revelations, Binance chose to liquidate a portion of FTT on its books, which spooked investors, prompting a bank run on the FTX exchange. On November 8, FTX halted withdrawals, and the price of FTT dropped more than 80% in 24 hours. After failing to raise capital, on November 11, more than 130 entities tied to FTX.com, FTX US, and Alameda Research filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, with the Alameda petition listing assets and liabilities of at least $10 billion each.
Read full report here
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
• Global crypto asset adoption rates are significantly higher than previously estimated.
• The data generally suggest that both the US and Europe may be at the cusp of mass retail adoption – a situation often referred to as “Hyperbitcoinization” in the context of Bitcoin.
• Chances are that the growth of adoption will surprise to the upside due to the fact that we are most likely at the inflection point from ”Early Adopters” to ”Early Majority”.
Trump recently made a public statement implying that 50 million Americans already held ”crypto”. The most recent surveys among US consumers seem to support this number.
It is no surprise that cryptoassets have become a major topic during the US presidential election as the parties have become increasingly aware that cryptoasset users could play a significant role at the ballot.
Both Trump and Robert Kennedy Jr. are scheduled to deliver a pro-Bitcoin speech at the upcoming Bitcoin conference in Nashville over the weekend.
It seems as if cryptoasset users are not a small minority anymore that can be ignored.
Here are some recent US bitcoin and crypto adoption surveys for comparison (% of total population in brackets):
• Security.org: 93 mn (28%)
• Unchained: 86 mn (26%)
• Statista: 53.6 mn (16%)
• Morning Consult: 44.2 mn (13%)
• Finder: 38.4 mn (11%)
In general, cryptoasset adoption has been on the rise globally.
A recent global survey among institutional investors conducted by Fidelity even implies that 51% of surveyed institutional investors have already invested into cryptoassets such as Bitcoin.
Another recent consumer survey by Statista implies that approximately every 5th person (21%) worldwide has already invested into cryptoassets.
However, it’s important to highlight that among the top 10 regions with the highest adoption rates, 8 regions are developing countries.
So, cryptoasset adoption rates are even significantly higher among developing countries than in developed countries that often suffer from chronically high inflation rates and weak domestic currencies.
That being said, the data generally suggest that both the US and Europe may be at the cusp of mass retail adoption – a situation often referred to as “Hyperbitcoinization” in the context of Bitcoin.
The reason is that technological adoption in general tends to accelerate at the threshold from the so-called “early adopters” to the “early majority” which is around 16% adoption rate based on the model of technological adoption famously put forth by Rogers (1962).
Global adoption rates are already at 21% while adoption rates in the US and Europe are at around 16% and 14%, respectively. So, there is a strong case for an acceleration of adoption rates in these regions and globally over the coming years.
Recent political developments in the US also imply that Bitcoin and cryptoassets are gradually becoming mainstream.
Trump has recently endorsed domestic Bitcoin mining in the US and both Democrats and Republicans have started accepting crypto payments for campaign financing.
The big success of the spot Bitcoin ETFs this year and the fact that additional types of spot crypto ETFs are being launched marks a significant shift in sentiment among US regulators in this regard.
In short, chances are that the growth of adoption will surprise to the upside due to the fact that we are most-likely at the inflection point from ”Early Adopters” to ”Early Majority”.
Bottom Line
• Global crypto asset adoption rates are significantly higher than previously estimated.
• The data generally suggest that both the US and Europe may be at the cusp of mass retail adoption – a situation often referred to as “Hyperbitcoinization” in the context of Bitcoin.
• Chances are that the growth of adoption will surprise to the upside due to the fact that we are most likely at the inflection point from ”Early Adopters” to ”Early Majority”.
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