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The US Dollar: In Trump we trust

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Moreover, Trump’s acceptance speech went a long way to calm market jitters, not only in currency markets but across asset classes. The US Dollar: In Trump we trust.

The Trump Presidency makes the chance of a rate rise in the US more likely. Unlike Brexit, the election of Trump as the US President creates greater certainty for global markets because the framework is now known: the Republicans have won and have control of both Congress and the Senate. The stalemate that has been in effect for the past six years has been broken, and Republicans will be able to enact new legislation. Moreover, Trump’s acceptance speech went a long way to calm market jitters, not only in currency markets but across asset classes. The US Dollar: In Trump we trust.

The US has spoken: the populist pro-growth policies that Trump espouses, namely infrastructure spending, is good for the economy and jobs creation. One risk is that a more insular trade policy that Trump has been promoting takes some upside away from potential growth. Nonetheless, small businesses account for 50% of the working population in the US, and also accounts for 64% of all new jobs created according to the US Small Business Administration. Inferring from the election landslide, that the majority of employers will be buoyed by the result, consumer and business sentiment should be rising. That means businesses are more likely to hire. Job creation in an already tight labour market is likely to give further impetus to wage growth. In addition to hiking rates in December, the Fed could be forced to act in a more aggressive manner than the most recent projections indicate.

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The US economy is already showing a solid recovery and with a more supportive fiscal stance, the recovery is likely to be further buttressed. Central bankers across the globe have been indicating that monetary policy alone cannot do all the ‘heavy lifting’ and that fiscal policy needs to lend a hand.

Trump has already stated his aversion to loose monetary policy and said that Yellen will be out of a job if he became President. Without a material change in the underlying fundamentals of the US economy, the Fed is likely to raise rates in December. Going into 2017, a further boost to wages could see a more hawkish Fed stance, in turn giving fresh upward momentum to the US Dollar. The US Dollar has initially experienced a knee jerk reaction down, but remains within its recent trading range. Although swap markets have reduced the chances of a rate hike to 51% from 78% in December, Fed Fund futures are virtually unchanged. Both markets retraced the moves leading up to the election declaration after the Trump acceptance speech appeared to calm market nerves. If the market begins to take the election result in its stride, the US Dollar could break to the upside of its range.

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Martin Arnold, Global FX & Commodity Strategist at ETF Securities

Martin Arnold joined ETF Securities as a research analyst in 2009 and was promoted to Global FX & Commodity Strategist in 2014. Martin has a wealth of experience in strategy and economics with his most recent role formulating an FX strategy at an independent research consultancy. Martin has a strong background in macroeconomics and financial analysis – gained both at the Reserve Bank of Australia and in the private commercial banking sector – and experience covering a range of asset classes including equities and bonds. Martin holds a Bachelor of Economics from the University of New South Wales (Australia), a Master of Commerce from the University of Wollongong (Australia) and attained a Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from the Securities Institute of Australia.

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Virtune noterar Virtune Sui ETP på Nasdaq Stockholm

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Virtune, en svensk reglerad kapitalförvaltare av kryptotillgångar, meddelar noteringen av Virtune Sui ETP på Nasdaq Stockholm, den största börsen i Norden.

Virtune, en svensk reglerad kapitalförvaltare av kryptotillgångar, meddelar noteringen av Virtune Sui ETP på Nasdaq Stockholm, den största börsen i Norden.

Virtune är en svensk kapitalförvaltare och emittent av fysiskt backade börshandlade produkter (ETPer) inom krypto. Sedan lanseringen 2023 har Virtune fått förtroende av mer än 160 000 investerare och har idag cirka 300 miljoner USD i förvaltat kapital (AUM), vilket stärker bolagets position som en av Europas ledande emittenter av reglerade krypto-ETPer. Bolaget har över 90% marknadsandel för krypto-ETNer på Nasdaq Nordics.

Om Virtune Sui ETP

Virtune Sui ETP är en fysiskt backad börshandlad produkt som är utformad för att erbjuda investerare ett säkert och kostnadseffektivt sätt att få exponering mot Sui. Detta möjliggörs genom en transparent och fysiskt backad struktur med institutionell säkerhetsnivå.

Viktig information om Virtune Sui ETP

• 1:1 exponering mot SUI

• 100% fysiskt uppbackad av SUI

• 0,95% årlig förvaltningsavgift

Virtune Sui ETP

• Fullständigt namn: Virtune Sui ETP

• Kortnamn: Virtune Sui

• Ticker: VIRSUI

• Handelsvaluta: SEK

Första handelsdag: Tisdagen den 28 april 2026

ISIN: SE0025159833

Om Sui

Sui (SUI) är en blockkedja av nästa generation som är utformad för att hantera höga transaktionsvolymer med nästan omedelbar slutgiltighet och låga avgifter. Drivs av programmeringsspråket Move och en innovativ objektcentrerad datamodell, vilket gör det möjligt för utvecklare att skapa skalbara applikationer såsom spel, DeFi och NFT:er samtidigt som en sömlös användarupplevelse levereras.

Christopher Kock, VD för Virtune:
“Vi är mycket glada över att fortsätta expandera vårt produkterbjudande på vår hemmamarknad, Nasdaq Stockholm. Idag noterar vi Virtune Sui ETP, en produkt som har varit efterlängtad av investerare runt om i Norden. ETP:n är nu tillgänglig via banker och nätmäklare i Norden, handlas i SEK och är 100% fysiskt backad av SUI.”

Kryptoinvesteringar är förknippat med hög risk. Virtune ger inte investeringsråd. Investeringar görs på egen risk. Värdepapper kan öka eller minska i värde, det finns ingen garanti att man får tillbaka investerat kapital. Läs prospekt, KID, villkor på www.virtune.com.

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Invesco: Gold signals a shifting world order without a new leader

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The United States remains economically and financially dominant, but beneath the surface doubts are growing about how sustainable that position really is. According to Benjamin Jones, head of research at Invesco, the continued rise in gold suggests that investors are preparing for a world in which the balance of power is shifting, without any clear alternative leader emerging.

The United States remains economically and financially dominant, but beneath the surface doubts are growing about how sustainable that position really is. According to Benjamin Jones, head of research at Invesco, the continued rise in gold suggests that investors are preparing for a world in which the balance of power is shifting, without any clear alternative leader emerging.

The US twin deficits

The joint, pre-2025 rally in US risk assets and the dollar sits uneasily with concerns over US fiscal and current-account deficits, a deteriorating Net International Investment Position (NIIP), reindustrialisation goals, and the secular rise in gold, explains Jones.

“In our view, the long-running rally in gold alongside high returns and rising concentration in dollar assets reflects two forces: a faltering world order and the economics of heavy US fiscal imbalances, rising external obligations, and persistent deficits; but also, the unique success of US firms in driving GDP growth, earnings and innovation. Ironically, that strength may itself increase the risk of a financial, currency or balance-of-payments shock in a geopolitical crisis.”

According to Jones, the sharp drop in the US NIIP has come as foreign claims outstrip US claims abroad. “This was driven less by foreign Treasury holdings, which have stabilised, and more by inflows into private-sector assets, especially equities, as investors embraced “US Exceptionalism” as shorthand for superior growth and financial performance relative to peers such as Western Europe and Japan. The result has been major inflows into US equities, corporate debt and private markets.”

Even though much of the increase in exposure has been to risk assets rather than bonds, large outflows could still threaten fiscal and financial stability, says Jones. “For now, trade barriers and efforts to weaken the dollar to promote reindustrialisation have prompted rebalancing away from US stocks, bonds and the dollar. Amid geopolitical tensions, weaker fiscal and external positions, and renewed protectionism and unpredictability, official investors and private investors have sharply increased gold purchases as a store of value.”

Heavy gold flow in financial markets

US financial leadership persists despite geoeconomic rebalancing toward rivals, Jones continues. “The US still leads in market capitalisation, turnover and liquidity, while the Treasury market remains the largest and deepest pool of debt issuance. Dollar liquidity is so high that trades <<between other currencies are often executed through the dollar. Global portfolio concentration in the US has also been reinforced by inflows into benchmarked funds and passive trackers. The core driver remains US exceptionalism. Rich valuations and concentration in US tech may suggest a bubble, yet US firms have continued to deliver innovation, market share, revenue and earnings growth.”

According to Jones, rivals remain less compelling from a market perspective. “Europe has lagged the US since the financial crisis, while China has matched or surpassed US innovation but, until recently, delivered weaker market returns due to domestic de-risking policies.”

The US share of official reserves has declined somewhat, while the euro and most other currencies have levelled off, Jones continues. “Gold’s share has risen sharply since the start of the war in Ukraine in 2022, suggesting the TINA problem persists: there is no real alternative to the dollar other than gold itself. Central banks increasingly prefer the safety of gold, the liability of no government.”

Future: Geopolitical, economic, technological and military competition
An open world economy helped many countries narrow productivity gaps with the US, but leadership is no longer aligned across power domains. “Economically, the world is increasingly tripolar, centred on the US, China and the eurozone. Militarily, power is concentrated in the US, China and Russia. Technologically, the US and China are at or near parity, while others lag. Financially, however, the US still has no peer,” notes Jones.

He continues: “Conventional economic, military and technological competition therefore still matters, even in a nuclear world. US concerns about overextension are sharpened by China’s vast industrial capacity, with output and shipbuilding far exceeding that of the US. Recent wars have shown that modern conflict still depends on industrial mobilisation for technology, drones and ammunition. This helps explain the US push for reindustrialisation.”

At the same time, US fiscal and external obligations create vulnerabilities if confidence were shaken by a future crisis, conflict or major shock. Jones concludes: “Washington is also retreating from parts of the multilateral order while seeking to reshape global trade more in its favour, reinforcing perceptions of unilateralism. Gold may be signaling an incomplete global reordering: not a clear new polarity, but an “unipolar” world in which leadership shifts by issue, region and moment. The US and the dollar would still likely remain first among equals, supported by deep financial markets, technological dynamism and strategic advantages, even as rival powers continue to rise.”

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ASLT ETF företagsobligatoner med kort duration

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AXA IM Short Duration Income UCITS ETF USD Dist (ASLT ETF) med ISIN IE000P0AMD16, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

AXA IM Short Duration Income UCITS ETF USD Dist (ASLT ETF) med ISIN IE000P0AMD16, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

ETFen investerar i företagsobligationer från hela världen. Rating: Investment grade. Löptid: 1–3 år.

Den börshandlade fondens totala kostnadskvot (TER) uppgår till 0,19 % per år. Ränteintäkterna (kuponger) i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (månadsvis).

AXA IM Short Duration Income UCITS ETF USD Dist är en mycket liten ETF med 0 miljoner euro förvaltade tillgångar. Denna ETF lanserades den 9 juli 2025 och har sitt säte i Irland.

Handla ASLT ETF

AXA IM Short Duration Income UCITS ETF USD Dist (ASLT ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och Borsa Italiana.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel  Nordnet, SAVR, DEGIRO och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Borsa ItalianaEURASLU
XETRAUSDASLU
XETRAEURASLT

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