Fears at the prospect of a global trade war has caused huge volatility in equity markets in 2018; yet for those looking to maintain long-term allocations to equities, there are segments of the equity market that tend to be less affected by the current issues. Small cap stocks in particular, many of which tend to be less global and more domestically-focused, generally export less than their large cap peers on a regional basis, which can provide some protection for future revenue streams. Revenue analysis underlines need for small cap diversification
Local revenue vs global revenue for small cap companies on a regional basis
Analysis shows that European small caps generate almost twice the weighted average revenue from within Europe as companies within the large cap focused MSCI Europe Index. This suggests that if investors have a desire to allocate to Europe but wish to invest in non-exporters, one approach is to focus on small cap equities. It’s also important to make the connection to currency performance, as export-oriented firms tend to benefit when their home currency weakens, and their goods and services become less expensive in their targeted markets abroad. Over the last 12 months1, the euro appreciated 16.2% against the U.S. dollar and the British pound appreciated 13.9% against the U.S. dollar.
Looking at other regions there are distinct differences. In Japan, small caps derive more than 80% of their weighted average revenue inside Japan. Emerging markets meanwhile exhibit the smallest difference when comparing the weighted average revenue distribution of smaller companies to larger companies.
U.S. small caps were in focus after President Trump’s 2016 election victory, as it was assumed that a Republican victory would result in corporate tax reform. U.S. small caps do derive a higher proportion of revenues from inside the U.S. than larger caps and therefore have greater potential for earnings growth now that corporate tax rates have been lowered.
For investors considering portfolio exposure and asset allocation to small cap equities, it is crucial to understand geographical revenue differences when considering which strategy may be most appropriate. Furthermore, deeper analysis shows that regional small caps indices also deliver distinctly different performance.
Small cap performance on a regional basis
The chart above shows that small cap stocks have underperformed in the U.S. over several time horizons but outperformed in Europe, Japan and the emerging markets. The U.S. comparison clearly exhibits a distinct difference to the other global regions shown, in that small caps underperformed large caps over each period.
On a one-year basis, the comparison was particularly challenging. A key contributor to this is that many global currencies have strengthened significantly against the U.S. dollar over the past year. This has created a tailwind for U.S. large cap multinational exporters, but since small cap companies don’t export to the the same extent, it has not impacted them to an equivalent degree.
Additionally, the strong performance of large cap U.S. equities exhibiting sensitivity to momentum as a factor, leading the industry and media to create acronyms like F-A-N–G (Facebook-Amazon-Netflix-Google) has also contributed to the large cap performance advantage. Allocation to small cap equities can provide much-needed diversification for investors; but when considering portfolio exposure and asset allocation, it is important investors understand and consider geographical differences between performance and revenue streams.
Source: Bloomberg. Data is as of 31 Mar. 2018. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You cannot invest directly in an Index. USA refers to the difference in average annual returns of the WisdomTreeU.S. SmallCap Dividend Index and the S&P 500 Index. Europe refers to the difference in average annual returns of the WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend Index and the MSCI Europe Index, with returns measured in euro terms. Emerging Markets refers to the difference in average annual returns between the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Japan refers to the difference in average annual returns between the WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend Index and the MSCI Japan Index.
As April winds down, markets remain on edge, with escalating tariffs and renewed trade tensions keeping volatility in focus. In this summary of our full-length newsletter, we spotlight gold and gold equities, both of which have surged to record levels. We also take a step back from the day-to-day noise in crypto to explore the broader shifts in the regulatory landscape in our latest Whitepaper and present Celestia in detail. Finally, we assess how Moat indexes have held up and evolved amid the turbulence.
Gold & Gold mining equities tend to shine during stress periods
Source: VanEck, World Gold Council.
Gold has attracted renewed interest from investors amid concerns about inflation, currency volatility, and overall market uncertainty. Gold mining companies have recently reported improved profit margins and cash generation, with some initiating share buybacks and maintaining relatively strong balance sheets. Despite these developments, many continue to trade below their historical valuation averages.
While historical trends indicate that gold and gold mining equities have outperformed during certain periods of market stress, these patterns may not repeat under different economic conditions. Performance can be influenced by a range of factors including interest rates, central bank policy, geopolitical developments, and investor sentiment.
⚖️ Whitepaper Highlights: How New Crypto Regulations May Shape the Future
Cryptocurrencies are entering a new era. With the re-election of Donald Trump and the implementation of the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, digital assets are moving into a landscape defined not just by innovation, but also by regulatory clarity.
MiCA’s structured and transparent approach aims to promote legitimacy, safeguard investors, and enhance trust in digital asset markets across Europe. It could also serve as a blueprint for other jurisdictions looking to regulate crypto effectively.
Most blockchains, like Ethereum or Bitcoin, are monolithic which means they perform all major functions (consensus, data availability, and execution) on a single layer. This design ensures security but according to new modular networks, limits scalability and flexibility.
The modular blockchain thesis, which Celestia is leading, proposes separation of layers and respective responsibilities in the network.
Note: This article in not accessible to our UK readers.
🌊 Riding the Gold Wave
Chasing the Vein: Fund Flows into Gold Miners
Source: Mining.com. Data as of 21 March 2025. Note: Data covers 493 funds with combined assets under management of $62 billion.
U.S. equity markets experienced significant declines during the month of March. Meanwhile, spot gold price recorded new all-time highs, surpassing the $3,000 per ounce mark on 14 March and closing at a record price of $3123.57 on March 31, a 9.30% ($265.73) monthly gain. As of 31 March, gold prices have risen by 93.61% over the past five years (1). Investors should keep in mind that past performance is not representative of future results.
The gold miners, as represented by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDMNTR), outperformed significantly, up 15.51% during March (2). This gain reflects both their operational leverage to rising gold prices and market perceptions of relative value. However, gold miners can also be subject to heightened volatility, operational risks, and sensitivity to commodity price swings.
While gold and gold equities may serve as diversifiers in a portfolio due to their historically low correlations with many asset classes, investors should remain mindful of the inherent risks, including price volatility, currency movements, and shifts in investor sentiment that can lead to rapid reversals in performance.
Market turbulence in March weighed on stocks. The Moat Index was not immune to the market turmoil, as it declined along with the broad U.S. equity market ending the month lower. However, the Moat Index showed resilience relative to the S&P 500—thanks in part to defensive sector resilience and underweight exposure to mega-caps.
At the same time, the SMID Moat Index lagged small and mid-caps in March. Smaller U.S. stocks were also impacted by global trade tensions and economic growth concerns with the broad small- and mid-cap benchmarks falling during the month. However, year-to-date, the SMID Moat Index remains ahead of the broader small- and mid-cap markets.
(1) Source: World Gold Council, ICE Data Services, FactSet Research Systems Inc.
(2) Source: Financial Times.
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BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado (BBVAE ETF) med ISIN ES0105321030, strävar efter att spåra EURO STOXX® 50-index. EURO STOXX® 50-indexet följer de 50 största företagen i euroområdet.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,20 % p.a. ETFen replikerar resultatet av det underliggande indexet genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen delas ut till investerarna (halvårsvis).
BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado har tillgångar på 133 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 3 oktober 2006 och har sin hemvist i Spanien.
Beskrivning BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado
Med BBVA Acción Eurostoxx 50 ETF FI Cotizado Armonizado deltar investerare i ökningen av värdet på aktierna i de 50 största konglomeraten i euroområdet (euroområdet). Euro Stoxx 50-indexet inkluderar aktier från 8 länder i euroområdet: Belgien, Finland, Frankrike, Tyskland, Irland, Italien, Nederländerna och Spanien.
Explore Dogecoin’s impact on crypto, turning internet memes into cultural and financial assets.
𝕋𝕚𝕞𝕖 ℂ𝕠𝕕𝕖𝕤:
00:00 – Intro
00:27 – Where do Memes come from?
03:13 – What are some of the first Memes you remember?
10:28 – Do these things have value?
14:04 – The different types of cryptocurrencies
17:20 – How did Dogecoin start?
24:26 – What is some of the utility?
28:36 – How does it fit into the portfolio?
30:38 – Final thoughts
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.