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Platinum Buoyant Against Backdrop of Potential Labour Unrest
ETF Securities Commodity ETP Weekly Platinum Buoyant Against Backdrop of Potential Labour Unrest
Platinum defies precious metals trend with strongest inflows in 19 weeks.
ETFS Industrial Metals (AIGI) inflows reverse prior trend.
Energy price gains prompt 12th consecutive weekly outflow from long oil ETPs as investors anticipate near-term correction.
Last week we hosted a post-OPEC webinar providing an update on the current state of the oil industry with Amrita Sen, Oil Analyst at Energy Aspects
Divergent agricultural outflows led by wheat and coffe.
The energy sector was the one bright spot within a gloomy week for commodity markets. Lingering Greek uncertainty and rising geopolitical risk is likely to remain a supportive influence for precious metals in coming weeks. At the margin, the US Dollar’s recent strength is having an adverse impact on commodity markets. We expect further US Dollar strength to keep commodity gains capped in the near-term, but rising economic activity, is likely to be supportive of commodity markets later in the year. Moreover, with commodities being priced in USD, European investors receive a currency benefit if local currencies posts further falls against the USD – a product of diverging monetary policy and the sluggish European growth.
Platinum defies precious metals trend with strongest inflows in 19 weeks. Reports of potential strikes at gold mining companies in South Africa appear to have prompted investors to deposit the largest amount of funds in long platinum ETPs since late January, fearing potential contagion in the mining sector. South Africa, a traditional hotbed of labour market unrest, is again experiencing tension between the two largest rival trade unions, the NUM and the AMCU over gold mining worker pay levels. Meanwhile palladium has traded to its lowest level in over two years after evidence of slowing Chinese auto sales. Palladium responded negatively to an announcement by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers that sales fell 0.4% in May on a year earlier.
ETFS Industrial Metals (AIGI) inflows reverse prior trend. Investors are favouring broad industrial metals exposure at the expense of single commodity positions. AIGI received US$8mn in inflows, the largest in three weeks, as fundamental conditions appear to be tightening for a range of industrial metals. While individual industrial metals will continue to trade in line with their own fundamentals, we believe that an upside surprise in Chinese and European activity should be beneficial for the industrial metal complex, as policy makers from both jurisdictions continue to stimulate their economies.
Energy price gains prompt 12th consecutive weekly outflow from long oil ETPs as investors anticipate near-term correction. A further US$39.3mn was withdrawn from long oil ETPs last week, as investors continued to book profits ahead of a potential correction. US rig counts are appearing to stabilise at current price levels, with a decline of only four rigs last week. Investor positioning also highlights the near term pessimism for oil prices, with Brent and WTI positioning declining 44% and 5% on a month earlier, respectively.
Divergent agricultural outflows led by wheat and coffee. Broad based price declines prompted withdrawals from agricultural ETPs last week. The largest outflows in the agricultural sector since January was led by US$5.6mn outflows from wheat ETPs. The USDA surprisingly increased wheat supply forecasts for this year. Wheat had previously been rallying following excess rain in in the key growing areas in the US.
Key events to watch this week. Amongst a raft of central bank meeting this week, the FOMC meeting is the key event in the coming week, in order to gauge how far away the Fed is from the beginning of its tightening cycle. Other central banks (Bank of Japan and the ECB) will keep policy extremely loose, assisting the gradual recovery of their domestic economies.
Video Presentation
Martin Arnold, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.
Important Information
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
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Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
IncomeShares passed three milestones in August. Assets under management climbed to almost $66 million, cumulative fund flows topped $72 million, and turnover across London and Xetra listings reached over $27 million. Palantir paid the highest annualised distribution yield at 57.11%. The sections below break the numbers down in more detail.
Cumulative fund flows
Fund flows track how much money investors put into or take out of IncomeShares ETPs (exchange-traded products). Positive flows mean more money coming in than going out – a sign of demand for the products.
Flows have risen every month this year. In January, they stood at $13.7 million. By the end of August, they reached $72.4 million. That’s over $8 million of new money added in August alone – the biggest increase since May.
Trading turnover
Turnover is the total dollar value of IncomeShares ETPs bought and sold on the exchanges. Higher turnover means more activity and liquidity for investors.
Turnover reached $27.3 million in August – the highest on record and more than double January’s $13.0 million. London listings (USD and GBP combined) made up $14.2 million, with Xetra listings close behind at $13.1 million. Both exchanges have seen steady increases through 2025, showing rising interest in income options strategies across the board.
Note: Figures use IDC FX rates as of the August month-end to convert GBP and EUR into USD. We apply the same August rates to all prior months to compare turnover on a like-for-like basis.
Assets under management (AUM)
AUM is the total value of assets held across all IncomeShares ETPs. It grows when new investors buy in, or when the underlying assets rise in value.
AUM grew from $13.8 million in January to $65.8 million at the end of August. It was also $8 million more than in July. Steady inflows and consistent income distributions are helping the product range build scale.
Distribution yields
Distribution yields represent the annualised income paid to investors as a percentage of the current NAV (net asset value), based on the latest month’s yield. IncomeShares ETPs aim to generate this income from selling options. Yields change each month depending on strategy performance and market volatility.
Annualised August yields (ranked highest to lowest):
• Palantir Options ETP (PLTY): 57.11%
• Nasdaq 100 Options ETP (QQQY): 46.44%
• Coinbase Options ETP (COIY): 43.60%
• AMD Options ETP (AMDY): 41.43%
• Tesla Options ETP (TSLI): 40.97%
• Broadcom Options ETP (AVGY): 40.96%
• MicroStrategy Options ETP (MSTY): 37.61%
• Alibaba Options ETP (BABY): 35.90%
• S&P 500 Options ETP (SPYY): 32.95%
• NVIDIA Options ETP (NVDI): 28.42%
• Alphabet Options ETP (GOOI): 18.15%
• Magnificent 7 Options ETP (MAGO): 16.87%
• Apple Options ETP (AAPPY): 15.55%
• 20+ Year Treasury Options ETP (TLTY): 12.38%
• Amazon Options ETP (AMZI): 12.00%
• Silver+ Yield Options ETP (SLVY): 11.56%
• Meta Options ETP (METY): 11.32%
• Gold+ Yield Options ETP (GLDI): 6.74%
• Microsoft Options ETP (MSFY): 6.54%
Our Palantir ETP topped the list with an annualised yield of 57.11% for August, up from 30.57% in July. The stock was volatile in August, trading between $142 and $190. That wider range increased option premiums, which boosted the ETP’s yield. The ETP sells put options on Palantir stock and holds shares – the strategy used for all our single stock ETPs and the Magnificent 7 product.
The Nasdaq 100 ETP paid an annualised yield of 46.44% in August, up slightly from 44.52% in July. At the other end, Gold+ and Microsoft stayed below 7%, reflecting relatively calmer conditions in their underlying assets.
The table below shows the annalised distribution yields for all IncomeShares ETPs so far this year. Note that the bottom eight ETPs launched in late June, so they only have yields for July and August.
Key takeaways
• Fund flows climbed to $72.4 million, with August adding more than $8 million.
• Turnover hit a record $27.3 million, split almost evenly between London and Xetra.
• Palantir topped the yield table at 57%, with Nasdaq 100 and Coinbase also paying above 40%.
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