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Emerging Markets Shake Off Brexit

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China, Brazil, and Hungary are Strong Performers. Emerging Markets Shake Off Brexit. Emerging markets continued to gather momentum

China, Brazil, and Hungary are Strong Performers. Emerging Markets Shake Off Brexit. Emerging markets continued to gather momentum and flows following the June Brexit vote and, in the third quarter, outperformed most global indices including the S&P 500® Index. Large-caps outpaced small-caps, again extending the performance gap for the year. Growth stocks staged a modest comeback over value stocks.

After a couple of quarters of weakness, China was among the best performing countries in the third quarter, accompanied by Brazil (a familiar outperformer this year) and Hungary. India also advanced. Turkey, on the other hand, declined substantially in 3Q as a result of the power grab attempt by Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan following the unsuccessful coup. Technology stocks pushed higher during the quarter to become the third best performing sector for the year following energy and materials. Emerging markets utilities stocks were the worst performers.

3Q’16 Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Review and Positioning

Stock selection added alpha in 3Q, while asset allocation detracted from the strategy’s performance. On a sector level, stock selection in the telecommunications and consumer sectors led the way while stock selection and under allocation to the information technology sector hurt relative performance. On a country level, stock selection in Mexico, Taiwan, and India contributed most to relative performance while stock selection in South Korea, China, and Jordan detracted from relative performance. The strategy’s weighting in small-caps detracted from performance most during the third quarter, while selections in large- and mid-caps aided performance.

3Q Performance Contributors

Our top five contributor companies in 3Q included long-term portfolio position Chinese internet company Tencent Holdings1 and Chinese e-commerce company JD.com,2 both of which rose during the quarter on the back of good earnings results.

India’s Yes Bank Ltd.,3 a high-quality, private sector bank benefited from strong loan and deposit growth, outpaced its peers, while at the same time maintaining a steady non-performing loans level. CP All,4 which operates close to 9,000 corporate, franchise, and sub-area license stores around Thailand reported strong second quarter results, resulting in earnings estimate upgrades.

Finally, Taiwan Semiconductor,5 the undisputed global leader in integrated circuit (IC) manufacturing, benefited from robust sales growth, and a strong 2017 demand outlook.

3Q Performance Detractors

The strategy’s bottom-five performing companies in 3Q included Hikma,6 a London-listed pharmaceutical company with a mix of branded and non-branded generics, and in-licensed drugs. Hikma had a difficult quarter in stock performance terms, reversing a strong second quarter. The proximate cause was a downgrade to company guidance, specifically related to delayed product approvals, which lead most analysts to downgrade earnings for this year, and conservatively, also for 2017.

Robinson Retail,7 a Philippines-based retailer with a variety of retail formats, also reversed relatively strong second quarter performance. In part this was due to a diminished enthusiasm for Philippines stocks generally, following the election of its new president. Although operations for the company are robust, there has been some frustration at the pace of deployment of capital, and concern about strong competition, particularly in Metro Manila.

Techtronic,8 a China-based producer of power tools that are sold mainly in the U.S. and Western Europe, declined due to weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue growth, and higher-than-expected promotional costs on new products, which depressed margins.

Credicorp,9 the leading bank in Peru, pared back gains from earlier in the year after it reported weaker-than-expected loan growth in the second quarter driven by economic uncertainty caused by Peru’s presidential election. Hence, loan growth for the full year is now expected to be lower than the market originally expected.

Eva Precision10 rounds out the performance detractors, and the strategy no longer holds this position. Hopeful signs of better plastic molding orders did not actually translate into orders, leading to worse-than-expected revenue and poor gross margins.

Emerging Markets Challenged by Brexit and “Populist Politics”

Global markets have seen some significant challenges, including record low and negative bond yields and concern about the limits of quantitative easing. Markets have been challenged by Brexit, and concerns about the rise of “populist politics” – to name a few issues. Emerging markets specifically have seen some challenges, including political change in Brazil and an attempted coup in Turkey. Notwithstanding these risks, the summer was actually a period of restrained market volatility, which surprised many market participants.

We Believe that China Should Remain Stable

Many factors combined to create the stronger relative performance from emerging markets during the quarter, and so far this year, compared to global indices. First, the rapid appreciation of the U.S. dollar appears to have faded as market expectation of a U.S. Federal Reserve (“Fed”) rate hike has been pushed back until the end of the year and possibly next year. Second, despite the febrile headline grabbing comments of market pundits, China has not had any kind of “Minsky moment” (a collapse in asset prices following the exhaustion of credit expansion), whether related to capital outflows or leverage. Although we certainly concede that there are some significant imbalances in China’s economy, we believe that the extra “stabilizers” available to authorities will be used to attempt to achieve a reasonably stable outcome over the medium term. Third, the supply and demand equation for commodities looks more balanced. Fourth, earnings are likely to be much less disappointing this year, partly because expectations have been reset to lower levels, and partly because corporates are gradually acclimatizing to a slower growth world and generating more efficiencies, rather than focusing predominantly on top-line growth.

Reform efforts have been uneven in emerging markets, but we are encouraged by the long-term impact of the passage of the GST (goods and services tax) in India. In China, some reform efforts are often opaque and sometimes appear to represent “two steps forward then one back”. The outcome of tax amnesties in India and Indonesia appears to have been better than expected, and, finally, infrastructure projects seem to be developing greater impetus in a number of countries, for example, the Philippines.

Emerging Markets Have Shown Considerable Relative Strength in 2016

We remain constructive on the continuing outperformance of emerging markets in a global context. After an extended period in the wilderness, emerging markets assets have shown considerable relative strength so far this year. We feel that there is reasonable evidence for that outperformance to continue for the asset class as a whole. Broadly speaking, a stable U.S. dollar, better commodities’ prices, a more resilient earnings profile, and light positioning in the asset class ought to combine to increase the relative attractiveness of emerging markets.

One facet of the uptick in interest is that substantially all inflows into the asset class this year have come through passive fund offerings. While appreciating the convenience that ETFs offer, we caution that allocation of capital through market capitalization can be particularly pernicious in emerging markets.

We make this comment because, given the economic history of many emerging markets economies, there are many very large scale state-owned companies in the emerging markets universe. The prominence of these companies we feel comes less from superior competence than from historically state-sponsored systemic advantage which is unlikely to be sustained in the long run. In addition, we believe many of these large companies are essentially driven by global cyclical factors such as energy and materials. We will continue to implement our philosophy of structural growth at a reasonable price. We are not style agnostic, drifting into whatever appears to be working at any given time. We are style specific and we continue to find that there are many areas of superior, sustained growth that are essentially non-cyclical in nature and will likely provide reliable opportunities for well-managed companies to exploit.

While there may be some countries where economic growth has stabilized or even picked up, the evidence for a sustained, strong improvement in global GDP appears limited at best. In a growth-challenged world, our philosophy of focusing on investment opportunities where strong, innovative management teams are able to capitalize on dynamic change and extract real value, ought to be rewarded over the medium term, despite the vagaries of commodity pricing and ETF flows.

Valuations for emerging markets equities and currencies are generally constructive, but not compellingly cheap. Expectations for earnings are much more realistic, and positioning in the asset class is cautious. Delayed expectations of further Fed tightening have also been positive for the asset class. Finally, it is perhaps hard to construct a case for alternative geographies and asset classes; arguably, the U.S. equity market looks overvalued, Japan is struggling with a strong currency, and Europe faces significant questions and uncertainties surrounding its political and economic future.

Consequently, we approach the remainder of this year, and the following years, with cautious optimism for the asset class. Much more importantly, we remain unabashedly enthusiastic about the companies that we actually own in emerging markets. As most investors know, we have a high active share and a healthy skepticism that the large emerging markets companies necessarily represent some of the best investable dynamics in emerging markets.

Post Disclosure

1 Tencent Holdings represented 3.5% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
2 JD.com represented 2.8% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
3 Yes Bank Ltd. represented 3.0% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
4 CP All represented 2.2% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
5 Taiwan Semiconductor represented 2.8% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
6 Hikma represented 0.7% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
7 Robinson Retail represented 1.5% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
8 Techtronic represented 1.4% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
9 Credicorp represented 2.2% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.
10 Eva Precision represented 0.0% of the Fund’s net assets as of 9/30/16.

The S&P 500® Index (S&P 500) consists of 500 widely held common stocks covering industrial, utility, financial, and transportation sectors. This Index is unmanaged and does include the reinvestment of all dividends, but does not reflect the payment of transaction costs, advisory fees or expenses that are associated with an investment in the strategy. An index’s performance is not illustrative of the strategy’s performance. Indices are not securities in which investments can be made.

AUTHORED BY

David Semple
Portfolio Manager for the Emerging Markets Equity strategy
Oversees the Emerging Markets Equity team; responsible for company research, stock selection, and portfolio construction
Investment Management Team member since 1998
Prior to joining VanEck, served on the team sub-advising VanEck’s emerging markets VIP insurance fund at Peregrine Asset Management (Hong Kong)
Previously held regional strategy and regional sales positions at Peregrine Brokerage (Hong Kong)
Formerly a portfolio manager specializing in Asian equity markets at Murray Johnstone (Glasgow)
Member of the Association of Investment Management and Research (AIMR); member of the CFA Institute
Media appearances include CNBC, Bloomberg, and NPR; quoted in Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, and Barron’s, among others
Bachelor of Law with Honors, University of Edinburgh, Scotland

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BlackRocks Bitcoin ETF genererar nu mer intäkter än deras S&P 500 ETF

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BlackRocks spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) genererar nu ~187,2 miljoner dollar i årliga avgifter, enligt Bloomberg. Det är mer än de ~187,1 miljoner dollar i årliga avgifter som deras Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) drar in, trots att IVV är nästan 9 gånger större, med 624 miljarder dollar i tillgångar jämfört med IBITs 75 miljarder dollar.

BlackRocks spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) genererar nu ~187,2 miljoner dollar i årliga avgifter, enligt Bloomberg. Det är mer än de ~187,1 miljoner dollar i årliga avgifter som deras Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) drar in, trots att IVV är nästan 9 gånger större, med 624 miljarder dollar i tillgångar jämfört med IBITs 75 miljarder dollar.

Med en kostnadskvot på 0,25 % har IBIT mycket snabbt blivit en seriös inkomstkälla för världens största kapitalförvaltare.

IBIT är nu den tredje mest intäktsgenererande ETFen för BlackRock som har mer än 1 000 ETFer, och är bara 9 miljarder dollar ifrån (och ett praktiskt taget hinder) att vara nummer 1. Bara ännu en galen statistik för en 1,5 år gammal ETF. Här är topp 10-listan för Blackrock/iShares.

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Hur investerar jag i amerikanska småbolag med en ETF?

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Det är välkänt att företag med mindre börsvärden genererar högre avkastning på lång sikt. Men de kommer också med högre risker som investerare bör hantera effektivt. Diversifiering av investeringar med ETFer är det säkraste alternativet för en oberoende investerare att närma sig amerikanska småbolag.

Det finns i huvudsak tre index tillgängliga för att investera med ETF:er i småbolag i USA. Denna investeringsguide för småbolagsaktier i USA hjälper dig att navigera mellan särdragen hos Russell 2000®, MSCI USA Small Cap, S&P SmallCap 600 och ETF:erna som spårar dem. Det gör att du kan hitta de mest lämpliga ETFerna för amerikanska småbolag för dig genom att rangordna dem enligt dina preferenser.

Vi har identifierat olika index för amerikanska småbolag som spåras av 15 olika börshandlade fonder. Den årliga förvaltningskostnaden för dessa ETFer ligger mellan 0,14 och 0,49 procent.

De största US Small Cap ETF efter fondstorlek i EUR

1SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS ETF2,580 m
2iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETF1,531 m
3iShares MSCI USA Small Cap ESG Enhanced UCITS ETF (Acc)1,451 m

De billigaste US Small Cap ETF efter totalkostnadskvot

1Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETF A0.14%
2JPMorgan BetaBuilders US Small Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD (acc)0.14%
3JPMorgan BetaBuilders US Small Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD (dist)0.14%

Olika index för amerikanska småbolag

Metoder för de viktigaste indexen

MSCI USA Small CapRussell 2000®S&P SmallCap 600
Antal ETFer0 52
Antal aktier2,000600
InvesteringsuniversumMSCI USA Investable Market Index: ca. 2 400 amerikanska företagRussell 3000®-index: 3 000 amerikanska företagS&P 1500® Composite index: ca. 1 500 amerikanska företag
IndexombalanseringKvartalsvisÅrsvisKvartalsvis
UrvalskriterierDe minsta företagen (cirka 14 procent av det fria börsvärdet justerat) i MSCI USA Investable Market IndexCa. 2 000 av de minsta företagen från Russell 3000®-index (rankad efter totalt marknadsvärde)De 600 minsta företagen från S&P 1500® Composite-index
Index weightingMarket cap
(free float)
Market cap
(free float)
Market cap
(free float)

Russell 2000®-index

Russell 2000®-indexet spårar ca. 2 000 av de minsta företagen (mätt som totalt börsvärde) från det underliggande Russell 3000®-indexet, som består av de största 3 000 amerikanska företagen. Russell 2000®-indexet representerar ca. 10 procent av det totala börsvärdet för Russell 3000®-index. Aktierna som passerar urvalsskärmen viktas av deras marknadsvärde på fritt flytande nivå.

Metodik för Russell 2000®

Ca. 2000 småbolagsaktier från USA

  • Indexomräkning sker årligen. Undantag: tillägg på grund av nya börsintroduktioner, som sker kvartalsvis
  • Underliggande index har krav för inkludering såsom lägsta börsvärde, stängningskurs, fritt flytande, plats för handel med majoriteten av ett företags aktier
  • Aktieurval baseras på totalt börsvärde
  • Urvalskriterier: ca. 2 000 minsta aktier från Russell 3000®-indexet ingår
  • Index viktat med fritt flytande marknadsvärde

S&P SmallCap 600-index

S&P SmallCap 600-indexet inkluderar 600 amerikanska småbolagsaktier från det underliggande S&P 1500® Composite-indexet. Företag måste ha ett ojusterat börsvärde på 600 miljoner till 2,4 miljarder USD för att ingå i indexet. Aktierna som passerar urvalsskärmen viktas av deras marknadsvärde på free float nivå.

Metodik för S&P SmallCap 600

  • 600 småbolagsaktier från USA
  • Indexombalansering sker kvartalsvis
  • Indexet har minimikriterier för likviditet, free float och finansiell bärkraft (positiv vinst under det senaste året och kvartalet)
  • Urvalskriterier: 600 minsta företag från det underliggande S&P 1500® Composite-indexet med ett ojusterat börsvärde på 600 miljoner till 2,4 miljarder USD
  • Index viktat med fritt flytande marknadsvärde

En jämförelse av ETFer för amerikanska småbolag

Förutom avkastning finns det ytterligare viktiga faktorer att tänka på när du väljer en ETF för amerikanska småbolag. För att ge ett bra beslutsunderlag hittar du en lista över alla ETFer för amerikanska småbolag med information om kortnamn, kostnad, utdelningspolicy, fondens hemvist och replikeringsmetod.

För ytterligare information om respektive börshandlad fond, klicka på kortnamnet i tabellen nedan.

Namn
ISIN
KortnamnAvgift %Utdelnings-
policy
HemvistReplikerings-
metod
SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS ETF
IE00BJ38QD84
ZPRR0.30%AckumulerandeIrlandOptimerad sampling
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETF
IE00B2QWCY14
IUS30.30%UtdelandeIrlandOptimerad sampling
iShares MSCI USA Small Cap ESG Enhanced UCITS ETF (Acc)
IE00B3VWM098
SXRG0.43%AckumulerandeIrlandOptimerad sampling
Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1C
IE00BJZ2DD79
XRS20.30%AckumulerandeIrlandFysisk replikering
SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF
IE00BSPLC413
ZPRV0.30%AckumulerandeIrlandOptimerad sampling
CSIF (IE) MSCI USA Small Cap ESG Leaders Blue UCITS ETF B USD
IE00BMDX0L03
CSY80.20%AckumulerandeIrlandFysisk replikering
Amundi Russell 2000 UCITS ETF EUR (C)
LU1681038672
RS2K0.35%AckumulerandeLuxemburgOfinansierad swap
JPMorgan BetaBuilders US Small Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD (dist)
IE0001O84583
BBSD0.14%UtdelandeIrlandFysisk replikering
Amundi S&P SmallCap 600 ESG UCITS ETF Dist
IE000XLJ2JQ9
MWON0.35%UtdelandeIrlandFysisk replikering
Invesco Russell 2000 UCITS ETF Acc
IE00B60SX402
SC0K0.25%AckumulerandeIrlandOfinansierad swap
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETF
IE00B3CNHJ55
ETLZ0.30%AckumulerandeIrlandOptimerad sampling
Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETF A
IE00BH3YZ803
SMLK0.14%AckumulerandeIrlandOfinansierad swap
Amundi Russell 2000 UCITS ETF USD
LU1681038839
RS2U0.35%AckumulerandeLuxemburgOfinansierad swap
JPMorgan BetaBuilders US Small Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD (acc)
IE000JNKVS10
JPSC0.14%AckumulerandeIrlandFysisk replikering
VanEck Morningstar US SMID Moat UCITS ETF A
IE000SBU19F7
SMTV0.49%AckumulerandeIrlandFysisk replikering

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EMEE ETF är en aktivt förvaltad ETF med fokus på emerging markets

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iShares Emerging Markets Equity Enhanced Active UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (EMEE ETF) med ISIN IE000OVF8Q66, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

iShares Emerging Markets Equity Enhanced Active UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (EMEE ETF) med ISIN IE000OVF8Q66, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond.

Den börshandlade fonden investerar minst 70 procent i aktier från tillväxtmarknader över hela världen. Upp till 30 procent av tillgångarna kan placeras i private equity-instrument, värdepapper med fast ränta med investment grade-rating och penningmarknadsinstrument. Värdepapper väljs utifrån hållbarhetskriterier och en kvantitativ investeringsmodell.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,30 % p.a. iShares Emerging Markets Equity Enhanced Active UCITS ETF USD (Acc) är den enda ETF som följer iShares Emerging Markets Equity Enhanced Active-index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom fullständig replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.

Denna ETF lanserades den 31 juli 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Varför EMEE?

Fonden förvaltas aktivt och använder kvantitativa modeller som ägs av investeringsförvaltaren för att uppnå en systematisk, regelbaserad strategi för aktieurval på tillväxtmarknader.

Modellerna väljer aktier från ett brett universum av aktier och rangordnar dem brett enligt tre kategorier: företagsfundament, marknadssentiment och makroekonomiska teman.

Fonden har kategoriserats som en artikel 8-fond enligt SFDR.

Investeringsmål

Fonden förvaltas aktivt och strävar efter att uppnå långsiktig kapitaltillväxt på din investering, med hänvisning till MSCI Emerging Markets Index (”Riktmärket”) för avkastning.

Handla EMEE ETF

iShares Emerging Markets Equity Enhanced Active UCITS ETF USD (Acc) (EMEE ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
Euronext AmsterdamUSDEMEE
XETRAEUREMEE
London Stock ExchangeGBPEMEE

Största innehav

KortnamnNamnSektorVikt (%)ISINMarket Currency
USDUSD CASHCash and/or Derivatives11.99USD
2330TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURINGInformationsteknologi9.13TW0002330008TWD
ISTUSADBLK ICS US TREAS AGENCY DISCash and/or Derivatives4.84IE00B3YQRB45USD
700TENCENT HOLDINGS LTDKommunikationstjänster4.78KYG875721634HKD
005930SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS LTDInformationsteknologi4.08KR7005930003KRW
IKSAISHARES MSCI SAUDI ARABIA CAPPEDFinans3.79IE00BYYR0489USD
9988ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTDSällanköpsvaror2.15KYG017191142HKD
MSIFTCASH COLLATERAL USD MSIFTCash and/or Derivatives1.59USD
939CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORP HFinans1.50CNE1000002H1HKD
3690MEITUANSällanköpsvaror1.26KYG596691041HKD

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