ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Continued inflows for commodities as energy sector bucks the trend
Gold price continues higher, with 2016 inflows near US$1.9bn, as policy uncertainty reigns.
Palladium inflows hit six month highs on rising US car sales.
Profit-taking continues for crude oil ETPs, led by WTI products.
Gold ETP inflows have experienced withdrawals in only two weeks in 2016, with inflows totalling US$1.9bn. Gold’s rally appears to be set to continue as the market reacts to softer economic data in the US. The downside surprise for US jobs will keep uncertainty surrounding US Fed policy elevated and will certainly support gold as a potential inflation overshoot in the US seems likely. Nonetheless, the gold price needs to sustainably break above the US$1300/oz level for confidence in the precious metal to remain high. Although futures market positioning is reaching stretched levels, with myriad economic indicators to be released this week from the US, China, the Eurozone and the UK, any disappointment will boost gold higher.
Palladium inflows reach the highest level since November 2015. Although modest, the US$3.0mn inflows represent the second consecutive week of inflows, and the largest since late November 2015. Car sales have been buoyant with US light vehicle sales rising 5% over the past month (4% yoy), according to Autodata. Meanwhile, support for platinum group metals could be renewed in coming weeks, as the so-called ‘strike season’ in the South African mining industry looms. New wage negotiations are expected to occur in June, when current agreements lapse. All indications point to troubled negotiations, which led to strikes and a slump in production from the world’s largest PGM mining country.
Energy sector bucks the trend with fourth consecutive week of outflows led by oil ETPs. More profit-taking has been evident in oil ETPs, as prices struggle around US$45/bbl. Last week’s outflows of US$38.7mn takes outflows over the past month to US$236mn. While crude prices were supported late last week as a wild fire threatened a not insignificant amount of Canadian oil sands output, such support is likely to fade with ongoing builds in US oil storage volumes. Last week’s outflows of US$38.7mn takes outflows over the past month to US$236mn. 80% of last week’s outflows consisted of withdrawals from WTI crude ETPs.
Diversified industrial metal exposures lead sector with US34.1mn inflows. Tighter fundamentals across a range of industrial metals have seen investors look to gaining broad exposures in the sector, with inflows into broad basket industrial metals ETPs the third highest on record. Copper remains the preferred choice for individual industrial metals exposures, resuming the trend of inflows, which totalled US$5.6mn last week.
Key events to watch this week. The economic calendar is bulging this week, with key economic indicators from around the globe scheduled for release. A raft of Chinese data is released, including trade, retail sales and industrial production will likely be the catalyst for a continued move higher for commodities, particularly industrial metals. Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation and GDP readings will leave no question on the outlook for ECB policy: more stimulus. Central bank report from the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England should shed some light on the outlook for monetary policy, but typically guarded communications could see asset market volatility remain elevated.
Video Presentation
Martin Arnold, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.
For more information contact
ETF Securities Research team ETF Securities (UK) Limited T +44 (0) 207 448 4336 E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
Amid soaring US debt and Gold’s steady gains, Bitcoin has continued to deliver strong returns over the past 15 years. Its scarcity and decentralization make it a hedge that investors can’t ignore, providing new ways to pursue growth, security, and opportunity in an evolving financial landscape.
Investors can’t ignore the corporate world’s big bet on Ethereum
Ethereum is stealing the spotlight, as public companies have accumulated over 4.4 million ETH, worth nearly $19 billion, in the past few months. This treasury boom is outpacing Bitcoin’s early adoption and redefining how Wall Street approaches digital assets.
The rise of Hyperliquid: DeFi’s record-breaking powerhouse
Hyperliquid is making waves in DeFi perpetuals by setting new records, leading trading volumes, and propelling its token to all-time highs. Backed by market volatility, high-performance infrastructure, and concentrated liquidity, the platform continues to draw investors and assert its market dominance.
Research Newsletter
Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com
Disclaimer
The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.
iShares NASDAQ 100 SwapUCITSETF USD (Acc) (N100 ETF) med ISIN IE0001ZFMLN7, försöker följa Nasdaq 100®-indexet. Nasdaq 100®-indexet spårar ett urval av 100 aktier valda bland icke-finansiella aktier noterade på NASDAQ-börsen.
Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,20 % p.a. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda syntetiskt med en swap. Utdelningarna i ETFen ackumuleras och återinvesteras.
iShares NASDAQ 100 SwapUCITSETF USD (Acc) är en mycket liten ETF med 4 miljoner euro under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 3 oktober 2024 och har sin hemvist i Irland.
Varför N100?
Exponering mot 100 av de största amerikanska och internationella icke-finansiella aktierna noterade på NASDAQ-börsen.
Exponering för företag inom stora industrigrupper inklusive hårdvara och mjukvara, telekommunikation, detaljhandel/grossisthandel och bioteknik.
Använd i din portfölj för att söka tillväxt på medellång till lång sikt även om fonden också kan vara lämplig för kortsiktig exponering mot index.
Investeringsmål
Fonden strävar efter att uppnå avkastning på din investering, genom en kombination av kapitaltillväxt och inkomst på fondens tillgångar, vilket återspeglar den totala nettoavkastningen för NASDAQ 100-indexet (”Indexet”).
IncomeShares passed three milestones in August. Assets under management climbed to almost $66 million, cumulative fund flows topped $72 million, and turnover across London and Xetra listings reached over $27 million. Palantir paid the highest annualised distribution yield at 57.11%. The sections below break the numbers down in more detail.
Cumulative fund flows
Fund flows track how much money investors put into or take out of IncomeShares ETPs (exchange-traded products). Positive flows mean more money coming in than going out – a sign of demand for the products.
Flows have risen every month this year. In January, they stood at $13.7 million. By the end of August, they reached $72.4 million. That’s over $8 million of new money added in August alone – the biggest increase since May.
Trading turnover
Turnover is the total dollar value of IncomeShares ETPs bought and sold on the exchanges. Higher turnover means more activity and liquidity for investors.
Turnover reached $27.3 million in August – the highest on record and more than double January’s $13.0 million. London listings (USD and GBP combined) made up $14.2 million, with Xetra listings close behind at $13.1 million. Both exchanges have seen steady increases through 2025, showing rising interest in income options strategies across the board.
Note: Figures use IDC FX rates as of the August month-end to convert GBP and EUR into USD. We apply the same August rates to all prior months to compare turnover on a like-for-like basis.
Assets under management (AUM)
AUM is the total value of assets held across all IncomeShares ETPs. It grows when new investors buy in, or when the underlying assets rise in value.
AUM grew from $13.8 million in January to $65.8 million at the end of August. It was also $8 million more than in July. Steady inflows and consistent income distributions are helping the product range build scale.
Distribution yields
Distribution yields represent the annualised income paid to investors as a percentage of the current NAV (net asset value), based on the latest month’s yield. IncomeShares ETPs aim to generate this income from selling options. Yields change each month depending on strategy performance and market volatility.
Annualised August yields (ranked highest to lowest):
Our Palantir ETP topped the list with an annualised yield of 57.11% for August, up from 30.57% in July. The stock was volatile in August, trading between $142 and $190. That wider range increased option premiums, which boosted the ETP’s yield. The ETP sells put options on Palantir stock and holds shares – the strategy used for all our single stock ETPs and the Magnificent 7 product.
The Nasdaq 100 ETP paid an annualised yield of 46.44% in August, up slightly from 44.52% in July. At the other end, Gold+ and Microsoft stayed below 7%, reflecting relatively calmer conditions in their underlying assets.
The table below shows the annalised distribution yields for all IncomeShares ETPs so far this year. Note that the bottom eight ETPs launched in late June, so they only have yields for July and August.
Key takeaways
• Fund flows climbed to $72.4 million, with August adding more than $8 million.
• Turnover hit a record $27.3 million, split almost evenly between London and Xetra.
• Palantir topped the yield table at 57%, with Nasdaq 100 and Coinbase also paying above 40%.