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Can palladium turn from laggard to leader?

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courted at the expense of platinum group metals. Palladium in particular has been ignored. Can palladium turn from laggard to leader?

If being a contrarian investor is appealing, palladium should be the new go-to precious metal of choice. In terms of where investors have flocked, gold and silver have been courted at the expense of platinum group metals. Palladium in particular has been ignored. Can palladium turn from laggard to leader?

While low prices and heightened economic uncertainty have justifiably seen investors brace portfolios with the defensive properties that gold and silver offer, investor positioning is stretched. Futures market positioning for both gold and silver are hovering over two standard deviations above the respective five year averages. Indeed, both gold and silver net long speculative positioning is at the highest level on record (data commenced in 1994).

palladium-positioning

(Click to enlarge)

Platinum futures positioning is at the highest since August 2014, while palladium positioning is plumbing historical depths. Net speculative positioning reached the second lowest level in April 2016 since September 2008 (the lowest level was reached in March 2016). While sentiment has begun to rebound (largely due to short covering – longs still haven’t broken a multi-year downtrend), there is plenty of room to move. Exchange traded product flows (ETP) also highlight the laggard nature of palladium, with palladium the only ETP experiencing outflows in 2016.

Palladium, like platinum, has been in a supply deficit for the past four years and another deficit is expected in 2016. Although large above ground stocks persist, further supply off-take resulting from South African wage negotiations should see the price rally continue. Moreover, auto applications accounting for 69% of demand, automotive market strength will see the market tighten further. Although growth has plateaued, car registrations remain robust, rising 4% in the US, and Chinese registrations have posted growth of over 6% in the year to April, respectively.

Palladium also shows the weakest price growth in 2016, with gains of 9.4%, compared to 20+% gains for the other precious metals. Consensus expectations for prices in the precious metals sector indicate that palladium looks the likely outperformer – Bloomberg survey forecasts indicate around a 9% rally by year-end 2016 for palladium, with all other precious metals expected to decline.

Martin Arnold, Global FX & Commodity Strategist at ETF Securities

Martin Arnold joined ETF Securities as a research analyst in 2009 and was promoted to Global FX & Commodity Strategist in 2014. Martin has a wealth of experience in strategy and economics with his most recent role formulating an FX strategy at an independent research consultancy. Martin has a strong background in macroeconomics and financial analysis – gained both at the Reserve Bank of Australia and in the private commercial banking sector – and experience covering a range of asset classes including equities and bonds. Martin holds a Bachelor of Economics from the University of New South Wales (Australia), a Master of Commerce from the University of Wollongong (Australia) and attained a Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from the Securities Institute of Australia.

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A slice of Bitcoin gives a big portfolio boost

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Many investors wonder: If I add Bitcoin to my portfolio, what difference will it make? To answer these questions, we analyzed data to see how even a small Bitcoin allocation can impact your overall investment returns and risk.

Many investors wonder: If I add Bitcoin to my portfolio, what difference will it make? To answer these questions, we analyzed data to see how even a small Bitcoin allocation can impact your overall investment returns and risk.

It’s Crypto Week. Keep an eye on these bills

This week, the US House of Representatives will host “Crypto Week,” a focused effort to create clearer rules for digital assets. If these new laws pass, they could help investors feel more confident about entering the crypto market. The historic Crypto Week will likely benefit crypto lending projects like Aave, which has recently exceeded $45 billion in total value locked. Take a closer look at what’s on Congress’s agenda and why it matters for the future of crypto.

Turning stocks into tokens? Why it’s cool, but complicated

Crypto keeps evolving, and one clear use case is tokenization, turning real-world assets like property, investment funds, or stocks into digital tokens on the blockchain. Tokenized stocks are grabbing headlines right now as they let you trade company shares anytime, anywhere, making investing easier and faster. But it’s still early days, and there are challenges ahead. Explore how stock tokenization works and what’s holding it back.

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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LYOR ETF är en aktiv satsning på ”over night lån”

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Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-EUR (LYOR ETF) med ISIN LU1190417599, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond. Denna ETF strävar efter att uppnå kortsiktig avkastning med låg volatilitet genom att investera i en portfölj av finansiella instrument och återköpsavtal.

Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-EUR (LYOR ETF) med ISIN LU1190417599, är en aktivt förvaltad börshandlad fond. Denna ETF strävar efter att uppnå kortsiktig avkastning med låg volatilitet genom att investera i en portfölj av finansiella instrument och återköpsavtal.

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,10 % p.a. Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-EUR är den billigaste och största ETF som följer Lyxor Smart Overnight Return-index. ETFen replikerar resultatet för det underliggande indexet syntetiskt med en swap.

Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-EUR är en mycket stor ETF med tillgångar på 1 565 miljoner GBP under förvaltning. Denna ETF lanserades den 2 mars 2015 och har sin hemvist i Luxemburg.

Investeringsmål

Lyxor Smart Overnight Return – UCITS ETF C-EUR är en UCITS-kompatibel börshandlad fond som syftar till att uppnå kortsiktig avkastning högre än Euro Short-Term Rate (€STR) med extremt låg volatilitet. Fonden är aktivt förvaltad och investerar i en diversifierad portfölj av finansiella instrument och återköpsavtal, i en miljö med strikt risk- och likviditetsövervakning. €STR återspeglar grossistkostnaderna för euro utan säkerhet över natten för banker i euroområdet. €STR beräknas och publiceras av ECB.

Handla LYOR ETF

Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-EUR (LYOR ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra och London Stock Exchange.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
XETRAEURLYOR
gettexEURLYXW
Borsa ItalianaEURSMART
Euronext ParisEURCSH2

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WisdomTree noterar hävstångsprodukter på Xetra

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WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Leveraged ETP och WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Short ETP erbjuder en trippelhävstångsinvestering i "Magnificent 7" amerikanska blue-chip-aktier. De syftar till att tredubbla den dagliga utvecklingen för WisdomTree U.S. Bluechip Select Index. Båda ETNerna är fullt säkerställda skuldebrev.

WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Leveraged ETP och WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Short ETP erbjuder en trippelhävstångsinvestering i Magnificent 7amerikanska blue-chip-aktier. De syftar till att tredubbla den dagliga utvecklingen för WisdomTree U.S. Bluechip Select Index. Båda ETNerna är fullt säkerställda skuldebrev.

WisdomTree PHLX Semiconductor 3x Daily Leveraged ETP och WisdomTree PHLX Semiconductor 3x Daily Short ETP ger en trippel daglig hävstångsexponering, lång respektive kort, mot de 30 största börsnoterade företagen i USA som huvudsakligen är involverade i design, distribution, tillverkning och försäljning av halvledare. Båda ETNerna är fullt säkerställda skuldebrev.

NamnISIN
Kortnamn*
AvgiftUtdelnings-
policy
WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Leveraged ETPXS3091654114
M73L (EUR)
0,75%Ackumulerande
WisdomTree Magnificent 7 3x Daily Short ETPXS3091657307
M73S (EUR)
0,75%Ackumulerande
WisdomTree PHLX Semiconductor 3x Daily Leveraged ETPXS3091657729
3SEM (EUR)
0,75%Ackumulerande
WisdomTree PLHX Semiconductor 3x Daily Short ETPXS3091646797
3SES (EUR)
0,75%Ackumulerande

Produktutbudet inom Deutsche Börses ETF- och ETP-segment omfattar för närvarande totalt 2 484 ETFer, 202 ETCer och 265 ETNer. Med detta urval och en genomsnittlig månatlig handelsvolym på cirka 25 miljarder euro är Xetra den ledande handelsplatsen för ETFer och ETPer i Europa.

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