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Level of debt worries bond investors; majority expects higher risk premiums

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Level of debt worries bond investors; majority expects higher risk premiums

Bond investors see high debt levels as the greatest concern for the global economy. More than three-quarters of respondents consider high government debt as a possible trigger of a new recession or market crisis.

This is one of the conclusions of the second Global Fixed Income Study by asset manager Invesco, based on interviews with 145 bond specialists and CIOs in EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa), North America and Asia. Together the respondents account for assets under management of $ 14.1 trillion.

A possible new crisis in emerging markets, the Chinese debt position and the high debt of companies and consumers were also often mentioned as the likely cause of a recession or market correction. Rising interest rates will have a significant impact on financing costs and the number of defaults. A majority (60%) of bond investors expect rising risk premiums over the next three years.

The risk of central banks raising interest rates too quickly is estimated as being much lower: less than one in three fear this scenario. Geopolitical tensions, a housing market crisis or the break-up of the eurozone are also low on the list of concerns of fixed-interest investors. A minority (27%) expects a reverse yield curve within three years; almost half (45%) foresee contrast the persistence of a flat yield curve. One in three (34%) is concerned about rising inflation.

Invesco also asked investors whether they expect a market correction. 44% of the respondents think we are heading for a ’significant’ correction, 28% disagree. More than one in three (37%) anticipates a crash on the stock markets within twelve months, 34% consider a crash on the bond markets as the largest tail risk.

American investors are significantly more pessimistic: nearly six out of ten expect a significant market correction, 56% are worried about inflation and almost half (48%) are concerned that central banks are raising interest rates too quickly. More than half of the US respondents also expect that the current economic expansion will end within a year – European investors by contrast see the phase of economic expansion continuing for another one to two years.

Nick Tolchard, Head of Europe, the Middle East & Africa (EMEA) for Invesco Fixed Income commented

“The U.S. political situation has likely contributed to the pessimistic outlook of North American fixed-income investors. Elevated rhetoric from the Trump administration regarding trade with China, Europe, Canada, and Mexico, plus the introduction of tariffs, have had a significant impact on optimism. From a political and market perspective, perceptions that the Fed has remained determined not to provide further policy support, and speculation about the potential for the yield curve to invert, have added to concerns.”

Invesco also asked the bond investors for their view on China, whose importance in international bond indices is on the rise. In Europe, 40% of respondents have exposure to the country, while in North America it is even lower. Western investors are well behind those in Asia, where nearly 70% of fixed-income investors are invested in China. In the EMEA region, one in ten investors wants to increase the weight of Chinese bonds over the next three years. This figure is in stark contrast to North America, where nearly 60% of the respondents want to invest more in Chinese bonds.

The planned expansion aside, China’s weight in the average bond portfolio is still low: an average of 5% for an institutional portfolio. Investors see different obstacles and are particularly afraid of higher risks and government intervention (such as capital restrictions). Nevertheless, nearly two out of three respondents are of the opinion that China is currently underrepresented in international bond portfolios.

Invesco’s Global Fixed Income Study also focuses extensively on LDI (liability-driven investing) and sustainable investing.

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Börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot Sui

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I denna text tittar vi närmare på olika börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot Sui. Precis som för många andra kryptovalutor och tokens finns det flera olika börshandlade produkter som spårar Sui. Vi har identifierar tre stycken sådana produkter.

I denna text tittar vi närmare på olika börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot Sui. Precis som för många andra kryptovalutor och tokens finns det flera olika börshandlade produkter som spårar Sui. Vi har identifierar tre stycken sådana produkter.

De olika produkterna skiljer sig en del åt, en del av emittenter av ETPer arbetar med så kallad staking för vissa kryptovalutor, vilket gör att förvaltningsavgiften kan pressas ned. Det är emellertid inte så att alla dessa börshandlade produkter är identiska varför det är viktigt att läsa på.

Börshandlade produkter som ger exponering mot Sui

Precis som för många andra kryptovalutor och tokens finns det flera olika börshandlade produkter som spårar Sui. Det finns faktiskt tre börshandlad produkter som är noterade på svenska börser vilket gör att den som vill handla med dessa slipper växlingsavgifterna, något som kan vara skönt om det gäller upprepade transaktioner i olika riktningar.

För ytterligare information om respektive ETP klicka på kortnamnet i tabellen nedan.

NamnTickerValutaUtlåningStakingISINAvgift
21Shares Sui Staking ETPASUIUSDNejJaCH13606121592,50%
Valour Sui (SUI) SEKValour Sui (SUI) SEKSEKNejNejCH12136046011,90%
VanEck Sui ETNVSUIUSDNejNejDE000A4A5Z721,50%

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The Dogecoin case study: How to value memecoins

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Dogecoin’s performance and staying power across multiple market cycles suggest it is not “just another one of those memecoins”.

Dogecoin’s performance and staying power across multiple market cycles suggest it is not “just another one of those memecoins”.

Over the past decade, DOGE has outperformed even Bitcoin, delivering over 133,000% in returns, nearly 1,000x BTC’s gains in the same period. Despite deep drawdowns during bear markets, Dogecoin has shown remarkable structural resilience.

Following each major rally, it has consistently formed higher lows, a pattern of long-term appreciation and compounding strength.

Historically, Dogecoin has closely mirrored Bitcoin’s movements, often peaking a few weeks after. While 2024 saw Bitcoin dominate headlines following landmark ETF approvals, DOGE still followed its trajectory, though it has yet to stage its typical delayed breakout.

As macro uncertainty continues to fade and momentum returns to the market, retail participation is likely to accelerate, setting up conditions in which Dogecoin has historically thrived.

At the same time, regulatory clarity around Dogecoin has improved. The SEC recently confirmed that most memecoins are not considered securities, comparing them to collectibles. Additionally, they clarified that proof-of-work rewards, like those earned from mining DOGE, also fall outside that scope. These developments further legitimize Dogecoin’s role in the ecosystem, potentially setting the stage for its next paw up, especially as it now holds a firm base around $0.17, nearly 3x its pre-rally level before reaching a new all-time high in the last cycle.

In addition to its long-term performance, Dogecoin stands out as an asset that behaves asymmetrically, offering investors a rare source of uncorrelated returns across both traditional and crypto portfolios. With an average correlation of just 15% to major assets, DOGE’s price action remains largely detached from broader macroeconomic trends, reinforcing its value as a true diversification tool.

Dogecoin demonstrates significant independence within the crypto market, with its correlation to Bitcoin at only 31% and to Ethereum at 37%. This divergence stems from unique capital flow dynamics, where higher-beta assets like DOGE tend to rally after blue-chip crypto assets reach major milestones.

While Bitcoin slowly evolves into a digital store of value and Ethereum powers decentralized infrastructure, Dogecoin remains largely a cultural asset, thriving on narrative momentum and crowd psychology, offering explosive upside when risk appetite surges.

For investors seeking an upside without mirroring the behavior of core holdings, Dogecoin offers a compelling case. Its ability to decouple from market trends while tapping into more speculative surges makes it a powerful, though unconventional, addition to a portfolio with wildcard potential.

Research Newsletter

Each week the 21Shares Research team will publish our data-driven insights into the crypto asset world through this newsletter. Please direct any comments, questions, and words of feedback to research@21shares.com

Disclaimer

The information provided does not constitute a prospectus or other offering material and does not contain or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction. Some of the information published herein may contain forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. The information contained herein may not be considered as economic, legal, tax or other advice and users are cautioned to base investment decisions or other decisions solely on the content hereof.

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MWOA ETF köper aktier i industriföretag

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Amundi S&P Global Industrials ESG UCITS ETF EUR (D) (MWOA ETF) med ISIN IE00026BEVM6, försöker följa S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials-indexet spårar industrisektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Amundi S&P Global Industrials ESG UCITS ETF EUR (D) (MWOA ETF) med ISIN IE00026BEVM6, försöker följa S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials index. Det S&P-utvecklade ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials-indexet spårar industrisektorn. Aktierna som ingår filtreras enligt ESG-kriterier (miljö, social och bolagsstyrning).

Den börshandlade fondens TER (total cost ratio) uppgår till 0,18 % p.a. Amundi S&P Global Industrials ESG UCITS ETF EUR (D) är den billigaste ETF som följer S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials index. ETFen replikerar det underliggande indexets prestanda genom full replikering (köper alla indexbeståndsdelar). Utdelningarna i denna ETF delas ut till investerarna (Årligen).

Amundi S&P Global Industrials ESG UCITS ETF EUR (D) är en mycket liten ETF med 4 miljoner euro under förvaltning. ETFen lanserades den 20 september 2022 och har sin hemvist i Irland.

Investeringsmål

AMUNDI S&P GLOBAL INDUSTRIALS ESG UCITS ETF DR – EUR (D) försöker replikera, så nära som möjligt, resultatet av S&P Developed Ex-Korea LargeMidCap Sustainability Enhanced Industrials Index (Netto Total Return Index). Denna ETF har exponering mot stora och medelstora företag i utvecklade länder. Den innehåller uteslutningskriterier för tobak, kontroversiella vapen, civila och militära handeldvapen, termiskt kol, olja och gas (inkl. Arctic Oil & Gas), oljesand, skiffergas. Den är också utformad för att välja ut och omvikta företag för att tillsammans förbättra hållbarhet och ESG-profiler, uppfylla miljömål och minska koldioxidavtrycket.

Handla MWOA ETF

Amundi S&P Global Industrials ESG UCITS ETF EUR (D) (MWOA ETF) är en europeisk börshandlad fond. Denna fond handlas på flera olika börser, till exempel Deutsche Boerse Xetra.

Det betyder att det går att handla andelar i denna ETF genom de flesta svenska banker och Internetmäklare, till exempel DEGIRONordnet, Aktieinvest och Avanza.

Börsnoteringar

BörsValutaKortnamn
gettexEURWELT
XETRAUSDMWOA
XETRAEURWELT

Största innehav

Denna fond använder fysisk replikering för att spåra indexets prestanda.

NamnValutaVikt %Sektor
SCHNEIDER ELECT SEEUR4.22 %Industri
SIEMENS AG-REGEUR4.10 %Industri
GENERAL ELECTRIC COUSD3.93 %Industri
UNION PACIFIC CORPUSD3.19 %Industri
CATERPILLAR INCUSD3.03 %Industri
UBER TECHNOLOGIES INCUSD2.50 %Industri
EATON CORP PLCUSD2.25 %Industri
RELX PLCGBP2.24 %Industri
RECRUIT HOLDINGS CO LTDJPY2.06 %Industri
TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLCUSD1.99 %Industri

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